Updated 15 November 2026.
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 13.6% |
| 0-1 | Bragantino win | 9.1% |
| 1-2 | Bragantino win | 8.8% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8.5% |
| 1-0 | Vitória win | 7.5% |
| 2-1 | Vitória win | 7.5% |
| 0-2 | Bragantino win | 7.3% |
| 2-2 | Draw | 5.3% |
| 2-0 | Vitória win | 5.2% |
| 1-3 | Bragantino win | 4.2% |
| Market | Chance |
|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Vitória clean sheet | 24% |
| Bragantino clean sheet | 30% |
The most likely score in Vitória vs Bragantino is 1-1, a 14% chance in the Statz model, ahead of 0-1 at 9%. The Campeonato Brasileiro game kicks off at 22:30 UK time on Thursday 19 November 2026, and the projection refreshes as the team news lands.
The Statz model projects Vitória 1.20 - 1.42 Bragantino in goals for Vitória vs Bragantino, with over 2.5 goals 49% likely and both teams to score 54%.
Statz projects 22 players for Vitória vs Bragantino on Thursday 19 November 2026, across 9 markets from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes. The projections cover the XI the Lineups tab shows, and refresh as the team news lands before the 22:30 UK time kick-off.
Vitória host Bragantino at Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador on 19 November 2026 at 22:30 in the Campeonato Brasileiro. Vitória's last five results: L D D L L (2 draws and 3 losses). Bragantino's last five: W D L W W (3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss). In their last 5 meetings, Vitória have won 2, Bragantino 3, with 0 draws.
Vitória vs Bragantino kicks off at 22:30 UK time on Thursday 19 November 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro, at Estádio Manoel Barradas, Salvador. Estádio Manoel Barradas holds 34,535 people. The confirmed lineups replace the predicted XIs on this page about an hour before kick-off, and the live score and match stats follow from 22:30.
Vitória vs Bragantino is being played at Estádio Manoel Barradas in Salvador on Thursday 19 November 2026, the home ground of Vitória, which holds 34,535 people. Kick-off is at 22:30 UK time, and the match is part of the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Vitória have won 0, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games, scoring 3 and conceding 9, with results reading L D D L L from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 0-3 defeat at home to Fluminense in the Campeonato Brasileiro on 6 November.
Bragantino have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games, scoring 10 and conceding 6, with results reading W D L W W from oldest to newest. Their last game was a 2-1 win at home to Santos in the Campeonato Brasileiro on 2 November.
Across the last 5 meetings Vitória have won 2, Bragantino have won 3 and 0 were drawn, with Vitória scoring 3 goals to Bragantino's 8. The most recent was Bragantino 2-0 Vitória on 17 May 2026 in the Campeonato Brasileiro.
Renê leads Vitória with 5 goals across their last 10 games, 0.5 a game, the most of any Vitória player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Vitória player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Wallace Yan leads Bragantino with 17 shots on target across their last 10 games, 1.7 a game, the most of any Bragantino player in that run. The Stats tab of this page ranks every Bragantino player on shots, fouls, cards and tackles over the same games.
Ramon Abatti is the referee for Vitória vs Bragantino, averaging 31.0 fouls and 3.5 yellow cards per game across 2 games this season. That is 0.00 red cards a game, and the referee card on this page sets the record beside both teams' fouls and cards.
Statz predicts Vitória vs Bragantino with 11 starters a side: Vitória line up 4-2-3-1 and Bragantino 4-2-3-1, ahead of the 22:30 UK time kick-off on Thursday 19 November 2026. The predicted XIs are on the Lineups tab of this page, and update to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
Statz's projection model makes Bragantino the favourite with a 41% chance of winning, against 31% for Vitória and 29% for the draw. Projected goals are Vitória 1.2 - 1.4 Bragantino.
The most likely score in Vitória vs Bragantino is 1-1, a draw, at 14%, from Statz's projection model. Both teams to score is 54% likely and over 2.5 goals 49%. Every scoreline's chance is on the Projections tab of this page.
Statz projects 9 player markets for Vitória vs Bragantino, from goals and shots to fouls, cards, tackles and passes, for every starter on the Projections tab of this page. The Bets tab prices the best bet builder picks against bet365, and the match projection gives each side's chance of winning.
| Date | Competition | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino vs Vitória | 2-0 |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino vs Vitória | 4-0 |
| 20 Jul 2025 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória vs Bragantino | 1-0 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Vitória vs Bragantino | 1-0 |
| 23 Jun 2024 | Campeonato Brasileiro | Bragantino vs Vitória | 2-1 |
Statz's projection model expects Vitória 1.2 - 1.4 Bragantino in goals. It gives Vitória a 31% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Bragantino 41%. Both teams to score is 54% likely, over 1.5 goals 75% and over 2.5 goals 49%. The most likely scorelines are 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 0-0 (8%), 1-0 (7%).
| Score | Result | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Draw | 14% |
| 0-1 | Bragantino win | 9% |
| 1-2 | Bragantino win | 9% |
| 0-0 | Draw | 8% |
| 1-0 | Vitória win | 7% |
Statz's predicted starting XIs for Vitória vs Bragantino, updated to the confirmed teams around an hour before kick-off.
| # | Vitória | Fouls committed | Bragantino | Fouls committed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Vitor | 15 | L. Barbosa | 14 |
| 2 | D. Tarzia | 11 | J. Capixaba | 13 |
| 3 | Erick | 10 | G. Rodríguez | 11 |
| 4 | C. Gonçalves | 9 | Fabinho | 10 |
| 5 | Mateusinho | 9 | G. Marques | 9 |
| # | Vitória | Shots | Bragantino | Shots |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renê | 17 | Fernando | 36 |
| 2 | Erick | 16 | W. Yan | 29 |
| 3 | Jamerson | 13 | L. Barbosa | 26 |
| 4 | D. Tarzia | 11 | J. Herrera | 15 |
| 5 | R. Kayzer | 10 | E. Sasha | 12 |
| # | Vitória | Shots on target | Bragantino | Shots on target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renê | 9 | W. Yan | 17 |
| 2 | Jamerson | 5 | Fernando | 12 |
| 3 | R. Kayzer | 4 | E. Sasha | 8 |
| 4 | L. Cândido | 4 | L. Barbosa | 8 |
| 5 | Matheuzinho | 4 | J. Herrera | 7 |
| # | Vitória | Goals | Bragantino | Goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renê | 5 | W. Yan | 3 |
| 2 | Erick | 3 | L. Barbosa | 3 |
| 3 | Matheuzinho | 2 | H. Mosquera | 1 |
| 4 | R. Kayzer | 1 | E. Ramires | 1 |
| 5 | E. Martínez | 1 | J. Herrera | 1 |
| # | Vitória | Yellow cards | Bragantino | Yellow cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | D. Tarzia | 3 | Alix | 2 |
| 2 | Mateusinho | 2 | T. Volpi | 2 |
| 3 | E. Brítez | 2 | J. Herrera | 2 |
| 4 | L. Cândido | 2 | Fernando | 2 |
| 5 | C. Gonçalves | 2 | L. Barbosa | 1 |
Statz's bet builder picks for Vitória vs Bragantino: Wallace Yan 1+ shots on target (80% hit rate at 1.40); Jamerson 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.25); Ryan Augusto Tavares da Silva 1+ shots (80% hit rate at 1.62). Combined odds 2.84 at bet365.
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.1 | 19 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.5 | 16 of 20 |
| Shots | 11.8 | 19 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 4.2 | 14 of 20 |
| Fouls | 12.2 | 16 of 20 |
| Tackles | 16.1 | 4 of 20 |
| Passes | 361.4 | 19 of 20 |
| Corners | 4.4 | 18 of 20 |
| Stat | Per game | Rank |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for | 1.3 | 11 of 20 |
| Goals against | 1.1 | 4 of 20 |
| Shots | 17 | 2 of 20 |
| Shots on target | 5.5 | 3 of 20 |
| Fouls | 13.3 | 6 of 20 |
| Tackles | 14.9 | 12 of 20 |
| Passes | 376.3 | 16 of 20 |
| Corners | 6.1 | 3 of 20 |