Yes, Universidad Católica have taken 13 points over their last 6 Copa Libertadores games, 5.63 more than the 7.37 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Universidad Católica create 1.17 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Copa Libertadores games, 7.00 in all, and have scored 8 goals from those chances, 1.00 more than that xG would expect.
Universidad Católica allow 1.33 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Copa Libertadores games, 8.00 in all, and have conceded 4 goals from those chances, 4.00 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Universidad Católica have taken 5.6 points more than their chances warranted over 6 games: +1.0 goals against their xG, and +4.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 7.00 | 8 | +1.00 | 8.00 | 4 | +4.00 | 7.37 | 13 | +5.63 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.06 | 7 | +0.94 | 7.07 | 2 | +5.07 | 6.03 | 13 | +6.97 |
| Home | 3 | 5.34 | 3 | -2.34 | 2.76 | 2 | +0.76 | 5.16 | 4 | -1.16 |
| Away | 3 | 1.66 | 5 | +3.34 | 5.24 | 2 | +3.24 | 2.21 | 9 | +6.79 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May | Copa Libertadores | Boca Juniors (A) | 0-1 | 0.10 | 2.31 | 0.14 | 3 | L |
| 22 May | Copa Libertadores | Barcelona Guayaquil (H) | 2-0 | 3.37 | 0.18 | 2.86 | 3 | W |
| 7 May | Copa Libertadores | Cruzeiro (H) | 0-0 | 1.03 | 1.65 | 0.96 | 1 | L |
| 30 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Barcelona Guayaquil (A) | 1-2 | 0.90 | 0.51 | 1.67 | 3 | W |
| 15 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Cruzeiro (A) | 1-2 | 0.66 | 2.42 | 0.40 | 3 | L |
| 8 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Boca Juniors (H) | 1-2 | 0.94 | 0.93 | 1.34 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Zampedri | attacker | 6 | 511 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Clemente Montes | attacker | 6 | 432 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Justo Giani | midfielder | 6 | 445 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Jimmy Martínez | midfielder | 5 | 194 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Juan Ignacio Díaz | defender | 5 | 450 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Rivadavia | 6 | 8.9 | 15 | 5.4 | 6 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 6 | 7.9 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteño | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 7.2 | 2 | 7.3 | 13 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Universidad Católica | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7.4 | 13 | +5.6 |
| 5 | UCV | 6 | 6.2 | 7 | 12.8 | 11 | 5.1 | 9 | +3.9 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 6 | 7.1 | 8 | 6.5 | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 6 | 10.4 | 9 | 6.1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 8 | Mirassol | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | +2 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 6 | 4.1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 10 | Nacional | 6 | 4.8 | 7 | 7.9 | 9 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 4.9 | 8 | 3.9 | 7 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| 12 | Lanús | 6 | 6.3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| 13 | Independiente del Valle | 6 | 12.6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 6 | 7.6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| 15 | Independiente Medellín | 6 | 4.3 | 6 | 7.1 | 11 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| 16 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 5.7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -0 |
| 17 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 6 | 3.1 | 2 | 12.2 | 12 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 18 | Coquimbo Unido | 6 | 8.2 | 8 | 4.9 | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| 19 | Estudiantes | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5.1 | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | 5.3 | 3 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 21 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 3.6 | 6 | 10.6 | 13 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 22 | Palmeiras | 6 | 12.2 | 10 | 5.8 | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 23 | Universitario | 6 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| 24 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 7.3 | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| 25 | Junior FC | 6 | 6.1 | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| 26 | Fluminense | 6 | 7.4 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| 27 | Always Ready | 6 | 6.7 | 7 | 10.7 | 9 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| 28 | Club Bolívar | 6 | 6.4 | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| 29 | Peñarol | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7.7 | 8 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| 30 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 9 | 6 | 4.3 | 5 | 10.9 | 7 | -3.9 |
| 31 | Cusco FC | 6 | 4.9 | 4 | 7.9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | -5 |
| 32 | Libertad | 6 | 5.4 | 4 | 10.8 | 13 | 5.1 | 0 | -5.1 |