Too early to say: United Arab Emirates have 4 points over their last 3 AFC Asian Cup games against 4.17 expected points (xPts), and 3 games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything.
United Arab Emirates create 2.06 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 3 AFC Asian Cup games, 6.18 in all, and have scored 5 goals from those chances, 1.18 fewer than that xG would expect.
United Arab Emirates allow 2.03 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 3 AFC Asian Cup games, 6.08 in all, and have conceded 4 goals from those chances, 2.08 fewer than that xGA would expect.
3 tracked games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything. The numbers below are real, the verdict is not yet.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 6.18 | 5 | -1.18 | 6.08 | 4 | +2.08 | 4.17 | 4 | -0.17 |
| Home | 1 | 4.17 | 3 | -1.17 | 1.69 | 1 | +0.69 | 2.41 | 3 | +0.59 |
| Away | 2 | 2.01 | 2 | -0.01 | 4.39 | 3 | +1.39 | 1.76 | 1 | -0.76 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan | AFC Asian Cup | Iran (A) | 2-1 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 1.58 | 0 | W |
| 18 Jan | AFC Asian Cup | Palestine (A) | 1-1 | 0.51 | 3.19 | 0.18 | 1 | L |
| 14 Jan | AFC Asian Cup | Hong Kong (H) | 3-1 | 4.17 | 1.69 | 2.41 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yahya Alghassani | attacker | 3 | 147 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Zayed Sultan | defender | 3 | 203 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |