Below you'll find player SOT-rate forecasts, the matchup read for the upcoming fixture against Hanwell Town, and a full match-by-match log.
The SOT-rate table below ranks every TBC player by SOT per qualifying appearance (≥20 minutes), six-game form mask and current Bet365 1+ SOT price.
SOT matchup blends our attackers' on-target rate (50%) with the opposition's SOT conceded per game (50%). For the upcoming fixture against Hanwell Town, the page weights each TBC attacker against the opposition's last-season SOT-conceded rate.
A shot is any goal attempt; a shot on target is one that would have gone in if the keeper hadn't saved it, or that did. The shots-to-SOT funnel is shown in the context panel under "Shots/g".
All numbers come from match-level Sportmonks data ingested into Statz. Player odds come from Bet365 player markets when priced.
Conversion is the share of on-target shots that beat the keeper. Pair it with the shots/g funnel to read how the goals number is built.
| Scope | Games | Average | Over 2.5 % | Over 3.5 % | Over 4.5 % | Over 5.5 % | Over 6.5 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Overall | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Scope | Games | Average | Over 2.5 % | Over 3.5 % | Over 4.5 % | Over 5.5 % | Over 6.5 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Overall | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Scope | Games | Average | Over 6.5 % | Over 7.5 % | Over 8.5 % | Over 9.5 % | Over 10.5 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Overall | 0 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| # | Team | MP | For per game | Against per game | Match total per game | Over 8.5 % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 3 | 1.67 | 14 | 15.67 | 100% |
| 2 | Manchester City | 4 | 10.5 | 2.75 | 13.25 | 75% |
| 3 | Al Ahly | 3 | 7.33 | 4.67 | 12 | 67% |
| 4 | Benfica | 4 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 50% |
| 5 | Juventus | 4 | 3.5 | 8.25 | 11.75 | 100% |
| 6 | Porto | 3 | 4.33 | 7.33 | 11.67 | 33% |
| 7 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 11 | 80% |
| 8 | Inter Miami | 4 | 4.25 | 6.75 | 11 | 75% |
| 9 | Real Madrid | 6 | 5.83 | 5 | 10.83 | 83% |
| 10 | Chelsea | 7 | 6.43 | 4.14 | 10.57 | 57% |
| 11 | Atlético Madrid | 3 | 4.33 | 6 | 10.33 | 67% |
| 12 | Al Ain | 3 | 3.67 | 6.67 | 10.33 | 67% |
| 13 | FC Bayern München | 5 | 6.8 | 3.2 | 10 | 40% |
| 14 | Pachuca | 3 | 6.33 | 3.67 | 10 | 67% |
| 15 | Al Hilal | 5 | 3.6 | 6.4 | 10 | 60% |
| 16 | Ulsan HD | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 67% |
| 17 | Seattle Sounders | 3 | 3 | 6.67 | 9.67 | 67% |
| 18 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | 6.71 | 2.86 | 9.57 | 71% |
| 19 | Salzburg | 3 | 4.67 | 4.67 | 9.33 | 67% |
| 20 | Monterrey | 3 | 5.33 | 3.67 | 9 | 67% |
| 21 | Urawa Reds | 3 | 3.67 | 5.33 | 9 | 67% |
| 22 | River Plate | 3 | 4.33 | 3.67 | 8 | 33% |
| 23 | Botafogo | 4 | 3.75 | 4.25 | 8 | 25% |
| 24 | Wydad Casablanca | 3 | 3.33 | 4.67 | 8 | 33% |
| 25 | Flamengo | 4 | 5 | 2.75 | 7.75 | 25% |
| 26 | Boca Juniors | 3 | 4.67 | 3 | 7.67 | 33% |
| 27 | Fluminense | 6 | 3.83 | 3.5 | 7.33 | 17% |
| 28 | Los Angeles FC | 3 | 2.33 | 5 | 7.33 | 33% |
| 29 | Palmeiras | 5 | 4 | 3.2 | 7.2 | 20% |
| 30 | Inter | 3 | 3.67 | 3 | 6.67 | 0% |
| 31 | ES Tunis | 3 | 2.33 | 4.33 | 6.67 | 0% |
| 32 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 33% |
| Kick-off | Opponent | Their match total | Their shots on target for | Their shots on target against | Match total at that venue | For at that venue | Against at that venue |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 19 Sep 14:00 | Hanwell Town (away) | 7 | 4 | 3 | - | - | - |
| Wed 2 Dec 00:00 | Napoli (away) | 9.1 | 4.2 | 4.9 | 9.5 | 4.17 | 5.33 |
| Wed 2 Dec 00:00 | Inter (away) | 9 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 9.75 | 6 | 3.75 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | Shots on target for | Shots on target against | Match total | 1st-half total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Sep | FA Cup | Flackwell Heath FC (A) | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| 30 Aug | FA Cup | Cray Wanderers (A) | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 11 | - |