Too early to say: Tahiti have 6 points over their last 2 WC Qualification Oceania games against 3.46 expected points (xPts), and 2 games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything.
Tahiti create 1.73 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 2 WC Qualification Oceania games, 3.45 in all, and have scored 5 goals from those chances, 1.55 more than that xG would expect.
Tahiti allow 1.19 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 2 WC Qualification Oceania games, 2.38 in all, and have conceded 0 goals from those chances, 2.38 fewer than that xGA would expect.
2 tracked games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything. The numbers below are real, the verdict is not yet.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 2 | 2 | 3.45 | 5 | +1.55 | 2.38 | 0 | +2.38 | 3.46 | 6 | +2.54 |
| Home | 1 | 1.30 | 2 | +0.70 | 1.89 | 0 | +1.89 | 1.01 | 3 | +1.99 |
| Away | 1 | 2.15 | 3 | +0.85 | 0.49 | 0 | +0.49 | 2.45 | 3 | +0.55 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov | WC Qualification Oceania | Vanuatu (H) | 2-0 | 1.30 | 1.89 | 1.01 | 3 | L |
| 15 Nov | WC Qualification Oceania | Samoa (A) | 0-3 | 2.15 | 0.49 | 2.45 | 3 | W |