Yes, St. Vincent and the Grenadines have taken 13 points over their last 6 Friendly International games, 4.27 more than the 8.73 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
St. Vincent and the Grenadines create 1.15 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Friendly International games, 6.91 in all, and have scored 11 goals from those chances, 4.09 more than that xG would expect.
St. Vincent and the Grenadines allow 1.04 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Friendly International games, 6.26 in all, and have conceded 6 goals from those chances, 0.26 fewer than that xGA would expect.
St. Vincent and the Grenadines have taken 4.3 points more than their chances warranted over 6 games: +4.1 goals against their xG, and +0.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 6.91 | 11 | +4.09 | 6.26 | 6 | +0.26 | 8.73 | 13 | +4.27 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.92 | 8 | +2.08 | 5.41 | 5 | +0.41 | 7.28 | 10 | +2.72 |
| Home | 3 | 4.19 | 5 | +0.81 | 2.50 | 1 | +1.50 | 5.40 | 7 | +1.60 |
| Away | 3 | 2.72 | 6 | +3.28 | 3.76 | 5 | -1.24 | 3.33 | 6 | +2.67 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Friendly International | Barbados (A) | 2-3 | 0.99 | 1.40 | 1.07 | 3 | L |
| 13 Nov | Friendly International | Dominican Republic (A) | 2-0 | 0.74 | 1.51 | 0.81 | 0 | L |
| 9 Oct | Friendly International | Cuba (H) | 1-0 | 1.38 | 1.42 | 1.35 | 3 | L |
| 30 May | Friendly International | British Virgin Islands (H) | 1-1 | 1.76 | 0.81 | 2.03 | 1 | W |
| 25 May | Friendly International | St. Kitts and Nevis (H) | 3-0 | 1.05 | 0.27 | 2.02 | 3 | W |
| 20 May | Friendly International | St. Kitts and Nevis (A) | 1-3 | 0.99 | 0.85 | 1.45 | 3 | W |