No, St. Kitts and Nevis have taken 3 points over their last 6 Friendly International games, 1.15 fewer than the 4.15 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
St. Kitts and Nevis create 0.71 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Friendly International games, 4.23 in all, and have scored 8 goals from those chances, 3.77 more than that xG would expect.
St. Kitts and Nevis allow 1.78 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Friendly International games, 10.65 in all, and have conceded 22 goals from those chances, 11.35 more than that xGA would expect.
St. Kitts and Nevis have taken 1.2 points fewer than their chances warranted over 6 games: +3.8 goals against their xG, and -11.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 4.23 | 8 | +3.77 | 10.65 | 22 | -11.35 | 4.15 | 3 | -1.15 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.38 | 7 | +3.62 | 9.66 | 19 | -9.34 | 2.93 | 3 | +0.07 |
| Home | 3 | 3.47 | 7 | +3.53 | 6.45 | 11 | -4.55 | 2.65 | 3 | +0.35 |
| Away | 3 | 0.76 | 1 | +0.24 | 4.20 | 11 | -6.80 | 1.50 | 0 | -1.50 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar | Friendly International | Solomon Islands (H) | 4-2 | 1.55 | 2.10 | 1.07 | 3 | L |
| 27 Mar | Friendly International | Indonesia (A) | 4-0 | 0.22 | 2.10 | 0.24 | 0 | L |
| 18 Nov | Friendly International | Belize (H) | 2-6 | 1.07 | 3.36 | 0.36 | 0 | L |
| 25 May | Friendly International | Saint Martin (A) | 4-1 | 0.27 | 1.05 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| 25 May | Friendly International | St. Vincent and the Grenadines (A) | 3-0 | 0.27 | 1.05 | 0.63 | 0 | L |
| 20 May | Friendly International | St. Vincent and the Grenadines (H) | 1-3 | 0.85 | 0.99 | 1.22 | 0 | L |