No, Sporting Cristal have taken 9 points over their last 11 Copa Libertadores games, within 1.43 of the 10.43 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Sporting Cristal create 0.96 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 11 Copa Libertadores games, 10.59 in all, and have scored 10 goals from those chances, 0.59 fewer than that xG would expect.
Sporting Cristal allow 1.79 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 11 Copa Libertadores games, 19.71 in all, and have conceded 23 goals from those chances, 3.29 more than that xGA would expect.
Sporting Cristal's results and their chances agree, within 1.4 points of xPts over 11 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 11 | 11 | 10.59 | 10 | -0.59 | 19.71 | 23 | -3.29 | 10.43 | 9 | -1.43 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 9.75 | 8 | -1.75 | 15.98 | 20 | -4.02 | 10.22 | 9 | -1.22 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.23 | 5 | -0.23 | 8.62 | 9 | -0.38 | 5.00 | 3 | -2.00 |
| Home | 6 | 7.58 | 7 | -0.58 | 9.46 | 7 | +2.46 | 7.79 | 9 | +1.21 |
| Away | 5 | 3.01 | 3 | -0.01 | 10.25 | 16 | -5.75 | 2.64 | 0 | -2.64 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Copa Libertadores | Cerro Porteño (A) | 2-0 | 0.21 | 1.56 | 0.37 | 0 | L |
| 21 May | Copa Libertadores | Junior FC (A) | 3-2 | 1.55 | 1.42 | 1.46 | 0 | W |
| 5 May | Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras (H) | 0-2 | 1.16 | 2.19 | 0.78 | 0 | L |
| 29 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Junior FC (H) | 2-0 | 1.61 | 0.66 | 2.06 | 3 | W |
| 16 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras (A) | 2-1 | 0.70 | 2.79 | 0.33 | 0 | L |
| 9 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Cerro Porteño (H) | 1-0 | 2.12 | 0.08 | 2.71 | 3 | W |
| 29 May | Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras (A) | 6-0 | 0.31 | 2.31 | 0.24 | 0 | L |
| 14 May | Copa Libertadores | Cerro Porteño (H) | 0-1 | 1.05 | 1.49 | 1.06 | 0 | L |
| 8 May | Copa Libertadores | Club BolÃvar (H) | 2-1 | 0.80 | 1.31 | 0.97 | 3 | L |
| 10 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Club BolÃvar (A) | 3-0 | 0.24 | 2.17 | 0.24 | 0 | L |
| 3 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras (H) | 2-3 | 0.84 | 3.73 | 0.21 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MartÃn Cauteruccio | attacker | 4 | 281 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Jesús Pretell | midfielder | 5 | 379 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| MartÃn Távara | midfielder | 10 | 810 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Catriel Cabellos | midfielder | 10 | 312 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Santiago González | attacker | 6 | 382 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Felipe Vizeu | attacker | 5 | 153 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Juan Gonzalez | defender | 5 | 273 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Yoshimar Yotún | midfielder | 6 | 479 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Gustavo Cazonatti | midfielder | 5 | 355 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Rivadavia | 6 | 8.9 | 15 | 5.4 | 6 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 6 | 7.9 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteño | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 7.2 | 2 | 7.3 | 13 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Universidad Católica | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7.4 | 13 | +5.6 |
| 5 | UCV | 6 | 6.2 | 7 | 12.8 | 11 | 5.1 | 9 | +3.9 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 6 | 7.1 | 8 | 6.5 | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 6 | 10.4 | 9 | 6.1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 8 | Mirassol | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | +2 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 6 | 4.1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 10 | Nacional | 6 | 4.8 | 7 | 7.9 | 9 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 4.9 | 8 | 3.9 | 7 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| 12 | Lanús | 6 | 6.3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| 13 | Independiente del Valle | 6 | 12.6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 6 | 7.6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| 15 | Independiente MedellÃn | 6 | 4.3 | 6 | 7.1 | 11 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| 16 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 5.7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -0 |
| 17 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 6 | 3.1 | 2 | 12.2 | 12 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 18 | Coquimbo Unido | 6 | 8.2 | 8 | 4.9 | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| 19 | Estudiantes | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5.1 | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | 5.3 | 3 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 21 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 3.6 | 6 | 10.6 | 13 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 22 | Palmeiras | 6 | 12.2 | 10 | 5.8 | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 23 | Universitario | 6 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| 24 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 7.3 | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| 25 | Junior FC | 6 | 6.1 | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| 26 | Fluminense | 6 | 7.4 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| 27 | Always Ready | 6 | 6.7 | 7 | 10.7 | 9 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| 28 | Club BolÃvar | 6 | 6.4 | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| 29 | Peñarol | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7.7 | 8 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| 30 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 9 | 6 | 4.3 | 5 | 10.9 | 7 | -3.9 |
| 31 | Cusco FC | 6 | 4.9 | 4 | 7.9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | -5 |
| 32 | Libertad | 6 | 5.4 | 4 | 10.8 | 13 | 5.1 | 0 | -5.1 |