Yes, Sarmiento have taken 39 points over 28 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 6.31 more than the 32.69 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Sarmiento create 1.03 expected goals (xG) per game over 28 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 28.85 in all, and have scored 34 goals from those chances, 5.15 more than that xG would expect.
Sarmiento allow 1.40 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 28 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 39.27 in all, and have conceded 38 goals from those chances, 1.27 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Junior Marabel has the most expected goals (xG) for Sarmiento over 28 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 10.63 xG in 28 appearances, and has scored 14 goals; Diego Churín is next with 2.52 xG.
Sarmiento have taken 6.3 points more than their chances warranted over 28 games: +5.2 goals against their xG, and +1.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 28 | 28.85 | 34 | +5.15 | 39.27 | 38 | +1.27 | 32.69 | 39 | +6.31 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 11.54 | 17 | +5.46 | 14.97 | 12 | +2.97 | 11.80 | 20 | +8.20 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.08 | 8 | +1.92 | 8.81 | 6 | +2.81 | 5.26 | 8 | +2.74 |
| Home | 14 | 17.85 | 19 | +1.15 | 16.71 | 12 | +4.71 | 20.29 | 27 | +6.71 |
| Away | 14 | 11.00 | 15 | +4.00 | 22.56 | 26 | -3.44 | 12.40 | 12 | -0.40 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | River Plate (H) | 1-1 | 1.04 | 2.22 | 0.69 | 1 | L |
| 9 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Aldosivi (A) | 1-3 | 1.41 | 1.09 | 1.59 | 3 | W |
| 19 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Racing Club (A) | 3-1 | 0.52 | 1.37 | 0.70 | 0 | L |
| 13 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Belgrano (H) | 1-1 | 1.66 | 2.86 | 0.79 | 1 | L |
| 4 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (A) | 0-2 | 1.45 | 1.27 | 1.49 | 3 | W |
| 28 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Unión Santa Fe (A) | 4-1 | 0.65 | 1.18 | 0.92 | 0 | L |
| 23 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes (H) | 2-0 | 1.55 | 1.72 | 1.28 | 3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Huracán (H) | 2-0 | 1.29 | 0.22 | 2.24 | 3 | W |
| 8 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Atlético Tucumán (A) | 1-2 | 1.28 | 1.01 | 1.56 | 3 | W |
| 3 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Independiente Rivadavia (H) | 2-1 | 0.69 | 2.03 | 0.54 | 3 | L |
| 28 Jul | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Banfield (A) | 3-2 | 1.59 | 1.72 | 1.31 | 0 | L |
| 23 Jul | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Argentinos Juniors (H) | 2-3 | 0.92 | 1.63 | 0.88 | 0 | L |
| 3 May | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Belgrano (A) | 4-0 | 0.67 | 1.66 | 0.68 | 0 | L |
| 25 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Tigre (H) | 1-0 | 0.77 | 0.59 | 1.46 | 3 | D |
| 19 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Rosario Central (A) | 2-1 | 0.19 | 1.78 | 0.29 | 0 | L |
| 13 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Gimnasia La Plata (H) | 1-2 | 0.97 | 1.14 | 1.22 | 0 | L |
| 2 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Barracas Central (A) | 1-2 | 0.83 | 1.53 | 0.87 | 3 | L |
| 22 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Aldosivi (H) | 2-0 | 1.81 | 0.35 | 2.41 | 3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | River Plate (A) | 2-0 | 0.16 | 4.09 | 0.04 | 0 | L |
| 11 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Racing Club (H) | 0-0 | 0.34 | 0.48 | 1.09 | 1 | D |
| 3 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (H) | 1-0 | 1.43 | 0.81 | 1.82 | 3 | W |
| 26 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Unión Santa Fe (H) | 1-3 | 1.39 | 1.36 | 1.39 | 0 | W |
| 20 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes (A) | 1-0 | 0.75 | 0.66 | 1.39 | 0 | D |
| 14 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Huracán (A) | 1-0 | 0.11 | 0.89 | 0.54 | 0 | L |
| 8 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Atlético Tucumán (H) | 2-1 | 1.55 | 0.69 | 2.00 | 3 | W |
| 4 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Independiente Rivadavia (A) | 2-1 | 1.27 | 2.23 | 0.83 | 0 | L |
| 30 Jan | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Banfield (H) | 1-0 | 2.44 | 0.61 | 2.48 | 3 | W |
| 26 Jan | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Argentinos Juniors (A) | 1-0 | 0.12 | 2.08 | 0.19 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Marabel | attacker | 28 | 2178 | 10.63 | 14 | +3.37 | 0.44 |
| Julián Mavilla | midfielder | 11 | 794 | 1.37 | 4 | +2.63 | 0.16 |
| Mauricio Martínez | midfielder | 22 | 1566 | 1.09 | 2 | +0.91 | 0.06 |
| Nicolás Pasquini | defender | 8 | 610 | 0.38 | 1 | +0.62 | 0.06 |
| Renzo Orihuela | defender | 18 | 1574 | 0.50 | 1 | +0.50 | 0.03 |
| Lucas Matías Suárez Scalarea | defender | 21 | 1500 | 0.56 | 1 | +0.44 | 0.03 |
| Pablo Magnin | attacker | 11 | 386 | 0.63 | 1 | +0.37 | 0.15 |
| Carlos Villalba | midfielder | 11 | 559 | 0.64 | 1 | +0.36 | 0.10 |
| Gastón González | attacker | 12 | 230 | 0.81 | 1 | +0.20 | 0.32 |
| Jonatan Gómez | midfielder | 12 | 507 | 0.91 | 1 | +0.09 | 0.16 |
| Cristian Zabala | midfielder | 27 | 2356 | 0.93 | 1 | +0.07 | 0.04 |
| Jonathan Herrera | attacker | 12 | 659 | 2.31 | 2 | -0.31 | 0.31 |
| Diego Churín | attacker | 22 | 849 | 2.52 | 2 | -0.52 | 0.27 |
| Julián Contrera | attacker | 23 | 1399 | 1.65 | 1 | -0.65 | 0.11 |
| Santiago Salle | midfielder | 27 | 1835 | 0.70 | 0 | -0.70 | 0.03 |
| Jhon Rentería | attacker | 12 | 571 | 0.85 | 0 | -0.85 | 0.13 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vélez Sarsfield | 29 | 32.4 | 36 | 31.3 | 25 | 40.4 | 52 | +11.6 |
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 29 | 37.2 | 34 | 27 | 24 | 44.5 | 54 | +9.5 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 29 | 35.3 | 31 | 35.5 | 23 | 39.1 | 48 | +8.9 |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 29 | 40.2 | 46 | 31.2 | 36 | 45.2 | 53 | +7.8 |
| 5 | Gimnasia La Plata | 29 | 39.2 | 38 | 35.1 | 37 | 40.7 | 48 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza | 29 | 28.7 | 29 | 41 | 35 | 31.7 | 39 | +7.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 29 | 42.2 | 40 | 31.9 | 27 | 45.8 | 53 | +7.2 |
| 8 | Sarmiento | 28 | 28.9 | 34 | 39.3 | 38 | 32.7 | 39 | +6.3 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 29 | 26.2 | 21 | 34.9 | 26 | 33.4 | 39 | +5.6 |
| 10 | Barracas Central | 28 | 22.9 | 25 | 30.1 | 24 | 33.7 | 39 | +5.3 |
| 11 | Independiente | 29 | 30.9 | 36 | 34.1 | 33 | 38.1 | 43 | +4.9 |
| 12 | Huracán | 29 | 32.1 | 29 | 33 | 25 | 39 | 41 | +2 |
| 13 | Estudiantes | 29 | 38.4 | 35 | 31.3 | 22 | 43.2 | 45 | +1.8 |
| 14 | Defensa y Justicia | 29 | 35.6 | 36 | 33.1 | 33 | 41.4 | 43 | +1.6 |
| 15 | Lanús | 29 | 37.7 | 34 | 30 | 24 | 45.9 | 47 | +1.1 |
| 16 | Boca Juniors | 29 | 41.7 | 43 | 21.7 | 23 | 53.2 | 54 | +0.8 |
| 17 | Newell's Old Boys | 28 | 26 | 26 | 37.1 | 36 | 32 | 32 | -0 |
| 18 | Instituto | 29 | 39.8 | 37 | 22.9 | 27 | 50.6 | 50 | -0.6 |
| 19 | Central Cordoba SdE | 28 | 26.2 | 21 | 42.4 | 37 | 27.7 | 26 | -1.7 |
| 20 | Banfield | 29 | 33.1 | 31 | 46.7 | 38 | 32.8 | 31 | -1.8 |
| 21 | Talleres Córdoba | 29 | 31.8 | 29 | 35.1 | 33 | 37.3 | 35 | -2.3 |
| 22 | River Plate | 29 | 48.3 | 40 | 22.8 | 25 | 54.5 | 49 | -5.5 |
| 23 | Unión Santa Fe | 28 | 37.3 | 41 | 34.5 | 41 | 40.8 | 34 | -6.8 |
| 24 | Racing Club | 29 | 35.8 | 31 | 35.1 | 35 | 40.2 | 33 | -7.2 |
| 25 | Platense | 29 | 31.2 | 22 | 33.8 | 34 | 37 | 27 | -10 |
| 26 | Atlético Tucumán | 29 | 31.1 | 27 | 31.9 | 33 | 38.1 | 28 | -10.1 |
| 27 | Tigre | 29 | 37.5 | 31 | 29.7 | 30 | 44.8 | 33 | -11.8 |
| 28 | Aldosivi | 29 | 26.3 | 20 | 41.8 | 41 | 29.5 | 16 | -13.5 |
| 29 | Deportivo Riestra | 28 | 24.3 | 14 | 26 | 24 | 36.2 | 22 | -14.2 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 29 | 24.8 | 13 | 42.8 | 41 | 29.1 | 14 | -15.1 |