Too early to say: Saint Martin have 6 points over their last 3 Friendly International games against 5.17 expected points (xPts), and 3 games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything.
Saint Martin create 0.85 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 3 Friendly International games, 2.55 in all, and have scored 6 goals from those chances, 3.45 more than that xG would expect.
Saint Martin allow 0.39 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 3 Friendly International games, 1.16 in all, and have conceded 3 goals from those chances, 1.84 more than that xGA would expect.
3 tracked games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything. The numbers below are real, the verdict is not yet.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 2.55 | 6 | +3.45 | 1.16 | 3 | -1.84 | 5.17 | 6 | +0.83 |
| Home | 2 | 2.08 | 4 | +1.92 | 1.00 | 2 | -1.00 | 3.60 | 3 | -0.60 |
| Away | 1 | 0.47 | 2 | +1.53 | 0.16 | 1 | -0.84 | 1.57 | 3 | +1.43 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov | Friendly International | Belize (H) | 0-1 | 1.03 | 0.73 | 1.58 | 0 | W |
| 12 Nov | Friendly International | Dominica (A) | 1-2 | 0.47 | 0.16 | 1.57 | 3 | D |
| 25 May | Friendly International | St. Kitts and Nevis (H) | 4-1 | 1.05 | 0.27 | 2.02 | 3 | W |