Yes, LDU Quito have taken 23 points over their last 12 Copa Libertadores games, 8.09 more than the 14.91 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
LDU Quito create 1.03 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 12 Copa Libertadores games, 12.37 in all, and have scored 16 goals from those chances, 3.63 more than that xG would expect.
LDU Quito allow 1.34 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 12 Copa Libertadores games, 16.12 in all, and have conceded 9 goals from those chances, 7.12 fewer than that xGA would expect.
LDU Quito have taken 8.1 points more than their chances warranted over 12 games: +3.6 goals against their xG, and +7.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 12 | 12 | 12.37 | 16 | +3.63 | 16.12 | 9 | +7.12 | 14.91 | 23 | +8.09 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 10.31 | 14 | +3.69 | 13.95 | 9 | +4.95 | 12.19 | 19 | +6.81 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.01 | 7 | +0.99 | 5.67 | 5 | +0.67 | 7.08 | 9 | +1.92 |
| Home | 6 | 8.95 | 12 | +3.05 | 4.69 | 2 | +2.69 | 11.18 | 16 | +4.82 |
| Away | 6 | 3.42 | 4 | +0.58 | 11.43 | 7 | +4.43 | 3.73 | 7 | +3.27 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May | Copa Libertadores | Always Ready (H) | 3-2 | 2.75 | 1.85 | 1.88 | 3 | W |
| 21 May | Copa Libertadores | Lanús (H) | 2-0 | 1.63 | 0.21 | 2.43 | 3 | W |
| 7 May | Copa Libertadores | Mirassol (A) | 2-0 | 0.56 | 2.30 | 0.38 | 0 | L |
| 28 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Lanús (A) | 1-0 | 0.40 | 0.88 | 0.87 | 0 | L |
| 15 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Mirassol (H) | 2-0 | 0.67 | 0.43 | 1.52 | 3 | D |
| 8 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Always Ready (A) | 0-1 | 1.13 | 0.82 | 1.59 | 3 | W |
| 29 May | Copa Libertadores | Central Cordoba SdE (H) | 3-0 | 1.37 | 1.29 | 1.43 | 3 | W |
| 16 May | Copa Libertadores | Flamengo (A) | 2-0 | 0.19 | 1.69 | 0.32 | 0 | L |
| 7 May | Copa Libertadores | Deportivo Táchira (A) | 2-3 | 0.78 | 3.97 | 0.16 | 3 | L |
| 22 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Flamengo (H) | 0-0 | 0.83 | 0.51 | 1.61 | 1 | W |
| 10 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Deportivo Táchira (H) | 2-0 | 1.70 | 0.40 | 2.31 | 3 | W |
| 3 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Central Cordoba SdE (A) | 0-0 | 0.36 | 1.77 | 0.41 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álex Arce | attacker | 6 | 457 | 0.00 | 4 | +4.00 | 0.00 |
| Lisandro Alzugaray | attacker | 6 | 402 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Deyverson | attacker | 6 | 394 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Yerlin Quiñónez | attacker | 6 | 509 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Alexander Alvarado | attacker | 7 | 391 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| José Quintero | defender | 11 | 711 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Gabriel Villamíl | midfielder | 12 | 667 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Fernando Cornejo | midfielder | 10 | 752 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Rivadavia | 6 | 8.9 | 15 | 5.4 | 6 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 6 | 7.9 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteño | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 7.2 | 2 | 7.3 | 13 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Universidad Católica | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7.4 | 13 | +5.6 |
| 5 | UCV | 6 | 6.2 | 7 | 12.8 | 11 | 5.1 | 9 | +3.9 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 6 | 7.1 | 8 | 6.5 | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 6 | 10.4 | 9 | 6.1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 8 | Mirassol | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | +2 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 6 | 4.1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 10 | Nacional | 6 | 4.8 | 7 | 7.9 | 9 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 4.9 | 8 | 3.9 | 7 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| 12 | Lanús | 6 | 6.3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| 13 | Independiente del Valle | 6 | 12.6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 6 | 7.6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| 15 | Independiente Medellín | 6 | 4.3 | 6 | 7.1 | 11 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| 16 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 5.7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -0 |
| 17 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 6 | 3.1 | 2 | 12.2 | 12 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 18 | Coquimbo Unido | 6 | 8.2 | 8 | 4.9 | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| 19 | Estudiantes | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5.1 | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | 5.3 | 3 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 21 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 3.6 | 6 | 10.6 | 13 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 22 | Palmeiras | 6 | 12.2 | 10 | 5.8 | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 23 | Universitario | 6 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| 24 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 7.3 | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| 25 | Junior FC | 6 | 6.1 | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| 26 | Fluminense | 6 | 7.4 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| 27 | Always Ready | 6 | 6.7 | 7 | 10.7 | 9 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| 28 | Club Bolívar | 6 | 6.4 | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| 29 | Peñarol | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7.7 | 8 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| 30 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 9 | 6 | 4.3 | 5 | 10.9 | 7 | -3.9 |
| 31 | Cusco FC | 6 | 4.9 | 4 | 7.9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | -5 |
| 32 | Libertad | 6 | 5.4 | 4 | 10.8 | 13 | 5.1 | 0 | -5.1 |