No, Lanús have taken 47 points over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, within 1.14 of the 45.86 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Lanús create 1.30 expected goals (xG) per game over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 37.74 in all, and have scored 34 goals from those chances, 3.74 fewer than that xG would expect.
Lanús allow 1.03 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 29.97 in all, and have conceded 24 goals from those chances, 5.97 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Eduardo Salvio has the most expected goals (xG) for Lanús over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 4.63 xG in 28 appearances, and has scored 2 goals; Allan Wlk is next with 4.23 xG.
Lanús's results and their chances agree, within 1.1 points of xPts over 29 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 29 | 37.74 | 34 | -3.74 | 29.97 | 24 | +5.97 | 45.86 | 47 | +1.14 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 16.03 | 14 | -2.03 | 11.73 | 6 | +5.73 | 16.51 | 20 | +3.49 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.87 | 8 | +1.13 | 6.46 | 1 | +5.46 | 7.18 | 13 | +5.82 |
| Home | 15 | 21.49 | 17 | -4.49 | 10.30 | 11 | -0.70 | 28.25 | 26 | -2.25 |
| Away | 14 | 16.25 | 17 | +0.75 | 19.67 | 13 | +6.67 | 17.61 | 21 | +3.39 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Platense (A) | 0-1 | 1.36 | 1.66 | 1.19 | 3 | L |
| 12 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Vélez Sarsfield (H) | 2-0 | 1.54 | 0.56 | 2.09 | 3 | W |
| 3 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Newell's Old Boys (A) | 0-0 | 0.83 | 0.79 | 1.36 | 1 | D |
| 22 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes (H) | 2-1 | 1.11 | 1.48 | 1.11 | 3 | L |
| 14 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Deportivo Riestra (A) | 0-3 | 2.03 | 1.97 | 1.43 | 3 | W |
| 6 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Defensa y Justicia (H) | 1-0 | 1.49 | 1.02 | 1.70 | 3 | W |
| 29 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Boca Juniors (A) | 1-0 | 1.35 | 1.30 | 1.41 | 0 | W |
| 25 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Argentinos Juniors (H) | 1-1 | 1.45 | 0.81 | 1.83 | 1 | W |
| 17 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Independiente (H) | 1-3 | 2.46 | 1.02 | 2.24 | 0 | W |
| 12 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Talleres Córdoba (A) | 0-3 | 2.41 | 1.12 | 2.15 | 3 | W |
| 6 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Unión Santa Fe (A) | 2-1 | 1.36 | 0.44 | 2.09 | 0 | W |
| 3 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Instituto (H) | 0-1 | 0.92 | 1.08 | 1.22 | 0 | L |
| 26 Jul | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | San Lorenzo (H) | 1-0 | 1.91 | 0.71 | 2.18 | 3 | W |
| 2 May | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Deportivo Riestra (H) | 0-0 | 0.99 | 0.18 | 2.06 | 1 | W |
| 24 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Central Cordoba SdE (H) | 0-0 | 1.79 | 0.37 | 2.38 | 1 | W |
| 21 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (A) | 1-0 | 0.48 | 2.06 | 0.40 | 0 | L |
| 13 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Banfield (H) | 1-0 | 1.23 | 0.51 | 1.93 | 3 | W |
| 1 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Platense (H) | 0-0 | 0.79 | 0.09 | 1.99 | 1 | W |
| 27 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Argentinos Juniors (A) | 2-1 | 0.73 | 3.65 | 0.19 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Vélez Sarsfield (A) | 0-1 | 1.15 | 0.52 | 1.86 | 3 | W |
| 17 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Newell's Old Boys (H) | 5-0 | 2.34 | 0.14 | 2.72 | 3 | W |
| 13 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes (A) | 0-1 | 1.18 | 0.88 | 1.58 | 3 | W |
| 5 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Boca Juniors (H) | 0-3 | 0.52 | 0.60 | 1.21 | 0 | D |
| 2 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Defensa y Justicia (A) | 1-1 | 0.51 | 0.64 | 1.16 | 1 | D |
| 13 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Independiente (A) | 2-0 | 0.26 | 1.48 | 0.43 | 0 | L |
| 9 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Talleres Córdoba (H) | 1-1 | 1.14 | 0.72 | 1.68 | 1 | W |
| 4 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Instituto (A) | 2-2 | 1.04 | 1.45 | 1.07 | 1 | L |
| 29 Jan | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Unión Santa Fe (H) | 2-1 | 1.81 | 1.01 | 1.91 | 3 | W |
| 23 Jan | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | San Lorenzo (A) | 2-3 | 1.56 | 1.71 | 1.29 | 3 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Aquino | attacker | 19 | 826 | 3.47 | 6 | +2.53 | 0.38 |
| Yoshan Valois | attacker | 21 | 775 | 1.88 | 4 | +2.12 | 0.22 |
| Carlos Izquierdoz | defender | 25 | 2247 | 2.09 | 3 | +0.91 | 0.08 |
| Sasha Marcich | defender | 28 | 2404 | 1.24 | 2 | +0.76 | 0.05 |
| Felipe Peña Biafore | midfielder | 26 | 1364 | 2.66 | 3 | +0.34 | 0.18 |
| Gonzalo Thomás Lobos | attacker | 6 | 133 | 0.70 | 1 | +0.30 | 0.47 |
| Walter Bou | attacker | 11 | 604 | 1.72 | 2 | +0.28 | 0.26 |
| Rodrigo Castillo | attacker | 5 | 358 | 0.76 | 1 | +0.24 | 0.19 |
| Marcelino Moreno | midfielder | 11 | 647 | 3.03 | 3 | -0.03 | 0.42 |
| Allan Wlk | attacker | 13 | 776 | 4.23 | 4 | -0.23 | 0.49 |
| Agustín Medina | midfielder | 23 | 1193 | 0.60 | 0 | -0.60 | 0.05 |
| Lucas Besozzi | attacker | 25 | 940 | 0.75 | 0 | -0.75 | 0.07 |
| Ronaldo Dejesús | defender | 18 | 1221 | 0.77 | 0 | -0.77 | 0.06 |
| Bruno Cabrera | attacker | 8 | 299 | 0.79 | 0 | -0.79 | 0.24 |
| Matías Sepúlveda | midfielder | 23 | 972 | 0.95 | 0 | -0.95 | 0.09 |
| Franco Watson | midfielder | 18 | 808 | 1.81 | 0 | -1.81 | 0.20 |
| Ramiro Carrera | midfielder | 23 | 1297 | 3.82 | 2 | -1.82 | 0.27 |
| Eduardo Salvio | attacker | 28 | 1971 | 4.63 | 2 | -2.63 | 0.21 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vélez Sarsfield | 29 | 32.4 | 36 | 31.3 | 25 | 40.4 | 52 | +11.6 |
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 29 | 37.2 | 34 | 27 | 24 | 44.5 | 54 | +9.5 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 29 | 35.3 | 31 | 35.5 | 23 | 39.1 | 48 | +8.9 |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 29 | 40.2 | 46 | 31.2 | 36 | 45.2 | 53 | +7.8 |
| 5 | Gimnasia La Plata | 29 | 39.2 | 38 | 35.1 | 37 | 40.7 | 48 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza | 29 | 28.7 | 29 | 41 | 35 | 31.7 | 39 | +7.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 29 | 42.2 | 40 | 31.9 | 27 | 45.8 | 53 | +7.2 |
| 8 | Sarmiento | 28 | 28.9 | 34 | 39.3 | 38 | 32.7 | 39 | +6.3 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 29 | 26.2 | 21 | 34.9 | 26 | 33.4 | 39 | +5.6 |
| 10 | Barracas Central | 28 | 22.9 | 25 | 30.1 | 24 | 33.7 | 39 | +5.3 |
| 11 | Independiente | 29 | 30.9 | 36 | 34.1 | 33 | 38.1 | 43 | +4.9 |
| 12 | Huracán | 29 | 32.1 | 29 | 33 | 25 | 39 | 41 | +2 |
| 13 | Estudiantes | 29 | 38.4 | 35 | 31.3 | 22 | 43.2 | 45 | +1.8 |
| 14 | Defensa y Justicia | 29 | 35.6 | 36 | 33.1 | 33 | 41.4 | 43 | +1.6 |
| 15 | Lanús | 29 | 37.7 | 34 | 30 | 24 | 45.9 | 47 | +1.1 |
| 16 | Boca Juniors | 29 | 41.7 | 43 | 21.7 | 23 | 53.2 | 54 | +0.8 |
| 17 | Newell's Old Boys | 28 | 26 | 26 | 37.1 | 36 | 32 | 32 | -0 |
| 18 | Instituto | 29 | 39.8 | 37 | 22.9 | 27 | 50.6 | 50 | -0.6 |
| 19 | Central Cordoba SdE | 28 | 26.2 | 21 | 42.4 | 37 | 27.7 | 26 | -1.7 |
| 20 | Banfield | 29 | 33.1 | 31 | 46.7 | 38 | 32.8 | 31 | -1.8 |
| 21 | Talleres Córdoba | 29 | 31.8 | 29 | 35.1 | 33 | 37.3 | 35 | -2.3 |
| 22 | River Plate | 29 | 48.3 | 40 | 22.8 | 25 | 54.5 | 49 | -5.5 |
| 23 | Unión Santa Fe | 28 | 37.3 | 41 | 34.5 | 41 | 40.8 | 34 | -6.8 |
| 24 | Racing Club | 29 | 35.8 | 31 | 35.1 | 35 | 40.2 | 33 | -7.2 |
| 25 | Platense | 29 | 31.2 | 22 | 33.8 | 34 | 37 | 27 | -10 |
| 26 | Atlético Tucumán | 29 | 31.1 | 27 | 31.9 | 33 | 38.1 | 28 | -10.1 |
| 27 | Tigre | 29 | 37.5 | 31 | 29.7 | 30 | 44.8 | 33 | -11.8 |
| 28 | Aldosivi | 29 | 26.3 | 20 | 41.8 | 41 | 29.5 | 16 | -13.5 |
| 29 | Deportivo Riestra | 28 | 24.3 | 14 | 26 | 24 | 36.2 | 22 | -14.2 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 29 | 24.8 | 13 | 42.8 | 41 | 29.1 | 14 | -15.1 |