No, Kayserispor have taken 30 points over 34 Super Lig games in 2025/2026, 8.04 fewer than the 38.04 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Kayserispor create 1.11 expected goals (xG) per game over 34 Super Lig games in 2025/2026, 37.84 in all, and have scored 27 goals from those chances, 10.84 fewer than that xG would expect.
Kayserispor allow 1.56 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 34 Super Lig games in 2025/2026, 53.19 in all, and have conceded 62 goals from those chances, 8.81 more than that xGA would expect.
German Onugkha has the most expected goals (xG) for Kayserispor over 34 Super Lig games in 2025/2026, 8.62 xG in 27 appearances, and has scored 8 goals; Miguel Cardoso is next with 5.59 xG.
Kayserispor have taken 8.0 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: -10.8 goals against their xG, and -8.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/26 | 34 | 37.84 | 27 | -10.84 | 53.19 | 62 | -8.81 | 38.04 | 30 | -8.04 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.10 | 9 | -3.10 | 16.69 | 19 | -2.31 | 11.12 | 10 | -1.12 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.88 | 6 | -0.88 | 7.96 | 8 | -0.04 | 6.31 | 7 | +0.69 |
| Home | 17 | 21.16 | 15 | -6.16 | 22.99 | 32 | -9.01 | 22.30 | 19 | -3.30 |
| Away | 17 | 16.68 | 12 | -4.68 | 30.20 | 30 | +0.20 | 15.74 | 11 | -4.74 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May | Super Lig | Konyaspor (H) | 2-1 | 1.33 | 1.53 | 1.24 | 3 | L |
| 9 May | Super Lig | Alanyaspor (A) | 3-1 | 1.61 | 1.89 | 1.22 | 0 | L |
| 3 May | Super Lig | Eyüpspor (H) | 1-1 | 1.76 | 0.95 | 1.93 | 1 | W |
| 25 Apr | Super Lig | Rizespor (H) | 2-0 | 1.02 | 1.17 | 1.24 | 3 | L |
| 20 Apr | Super Lig | Gaziantep (A) | 3-0 | 1.16 | 2.42 | 0.68 | 0 | L |
| 11 Apr | Super Lig | Fenerbahçe (H) | 0-4 | 0.50 | 1.61 | 0.58 | 0 | L |
| 4 Apr | Super Lig | Kasımpaşa (A) | 2-0 | 0.31 | 1.40 | 0.51 | 0 | L |
| 19 Mar | Super Lig | Fatih Karagümrük (H) | 1-0 | 2.01 | 0.29 | 2.53 | 3 | W |
| 15 Mar | Super Lig | Samsunspor (A) | 2-1 | 0.94 | 2.47 | 0.54 | 0 | L |
| 9 Mar | Super Lig | Trabzonspor (H) | 1-3 | 1.46 | 2.96 | 0.65 | 0 | L |
| 1 Mar | Super Lig | Gençler (A) | 0-0 | 0.54 | 0.57 | 1.25 | 1 | D |
| 22 Feb | Super Lig | Antalyaspor (H) | 1-0 | 2.47 | 1.29 | 2.08 | 3 | W |
| 15 Feb | Super Lig | Göztepe (A) | 0-0 | 1.13 | 1.02 | 1.44 | 1 | W |
| 9 Feb | Super Lig | Kocaelispor (H) | 1-2 | 2.18 | 0.88 | 2.20 | 0 | W |
| 1 Feb | Super Lig | Galatasaray (A) | 4-0 | 0.29 | 3.91 | 0.06 | 0 | L |
| 24 Jan | Super Lig | BaÅŸakÅŸehir (H) | 0-3 | 0.36 | 1.75 | 0.42 | 0 | L |
| 19 Jan | Super Lig | BeÅŸiktaÅŸ (A) | 1-0 | 0.67 | 1.88 | 0.59 | 0 | L |
| 20 Dec | Super Lig | Konyaspor (A) | 1-1 | 1.81 | 1.18 | 1.80 | 1 | W |
| 13 Dec | Super Lig | Alanyaspor (H) | 0-0 | 0.66 | 1.14 | 0.95 | 1 | L |
| 6 Dec | Super Lig | Eyüpspor (A) | 1-1 | 0.56 | 1.46 | 0.69 | 1 | L |
| 29 Nov | Super Lig | Rizespor (A) | 0-1 | 0.65 | 1.72 | 0.64 | 3 | L |
| 22 Nov | Super Lig | Gaziantep (H) | 0-3 | 0.87 | 1.16 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 9 Nov | Super Lig | Fenerbahçe (A) | 4-2 | 1.44 | 2.19 | 0.95 | 0 | L |
| 2 Nov | Super Lig | Kasımpaşa (H) | 3-2 | 1.03 | 0.50 | 1.78 | 3 | W |
| 24 Oct | Super Lig | Fatih Karagümrük (A) | 2-2 | 1.76 | 1.67 | 1.44 | 1 | W |
| 19 Oct | Super Lig | Samsunspor (H) | 1-3 | 1.22 | 2.47 | 0.70 | 0 | L |
| 3 Oct | Super Lig | Trabzonspor (A) | 4-0 | 1.59 | 3.35 | 0.58 | 0 | L |
| 28 Sep | Super Lig | Gençler (H) | 1-1 | 2.47 | 0.20 | 2.72 | 1 | W |
| 24 Sep | Super Lig | BeÅŸiktaÅŸ (H) | 0-4 | 0.37 | 1.78 | 0.42 | 0 | L |
| 20 Sep | Super Lig | Antalyaspor (A) | 1-1 | 0.85 | 0.72 | 1.44 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| László Bénes | midfielder | 32 | 2581 | 4.46 | 7 | +2.54 | 0.16 |
| Talha Sarıarslan | attacker | 14 | 153 | 0.86 | 2 | +1.14 | 0.51 |
| Fedor Chalov | attacker | 14 | 856 | 1.66 | 2 | +0.34 | 0.17 |
| Ramazan Civelek | defender | 30 | 2152 | 0.51 | 0 | -0.51 | 0.02 |
| German Onugkha | attacker | 27 | 1888 | 8.62 | 8 | -0.62 | 0.41 |
| Semih Güler | defender | 17 | 1379 | 0.65 | 0 | -0.65 | 0.04 |
| Stefano Denswil | defender | 31 | 2723 | 1.68 | 1 | -0.68 | 0.06 |
| Aaron Opoku | attacker | 19 | 1234 | 0.81 | 0 | -0.81 | 0.06 |
| Furkan Soyalp | midfielder | 28 | 1811 | 1.85 | 1 | -0.85 | 0.09 |
| Carlos Mané | attacker | 22 | 1046 | 0.96 | 0 | -0.96 | 0.08 |
| Indrit Tuci | attacker | 20 | 780 | 4.08 | 3 | -1.08 | 0.47 |
| João Mendes | midfielder | 26 | 1504 | 1.66 | 0 | -1.66 | 0.10 |
| Denis Makarov | attacker | 13 | 647 | 2.33 | 0 | -2.33 | 0.32 |
| Miguel Cardoso | attacker | 32 | 2856 | 5.59 | 2 | -3.59 | 0.18 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 52 | 61 | 41.8 | 39 | 53.6 | 69 | +15.4 |
| 2 | Galatasaray | 34 | 67.4 | 77 | 32.5 | 30 | 64.6 | 77 | +12.4 |
| 3 | Fenerbahçe | 34 | 65.6 | 77 | 32.4 | 37 | 66 | 74 | +8 |
| 4 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 27.2 | 33 | 54 | 55 | 30.3 | 32 | +1.7 |
| 5 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 34 | 56.4 | 58 | 42.1 | 35 | 56.1 | 57 | +0.9 |
| 6 | Samsunspor | 34 | 46.9 | 46 | 42.9 | 45 | 50.4 | 51 | +0.6 |
| 7 | Göztepe | 34 | 49.4 | 42 | 37.5 | 32 | 55.1 | 55 | -0.1 |
| 8 | BeÅŸiktaÅŸ | 34 | 61 | 59 | 37.7 | 40 | 61.8 | 60 | -1.8 |
| 9 | Gençlerbirliği | 34 | 35.6 | 36 | 53.9 | 47 | 36 | 34 | -2 |
| 10 | Eyüpspor | 34 | 35.9 | 33 | 52.2 | 48 | 36.2 | 33 | -3.2 |
| 11 | Konyaspor | 34 | 46.2 | 43 | 50.1 | 50 | 44.9 | 40 | -4.9 |
| 12 | Kasımpaşa | 34 | 33.5 | 33 | 44.3 | 49 | 39.9 | 35 | -4.9 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 34 | 44.1 | 46 | 45.8 | 52 | 46.1 | 41 | -5.1 |
| 14 | Gaziantep F.K. | 34 | 42 | 43 | 50.4 | 58 | 42.1 | 37 | -5.1 |
| 15 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 35.1 | 41 | 42.7 | 41 | 42.7 | 37 | -5.7 |
| 16 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 33.3 | 26 | 37.9 | 38 | 43.5 | 37 | -6.5 |
| 17 | Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | 33.2 | 31 | 51 | 54 | 36.9 | 30 | -6.9 |
| 18 | Kayserispor | 34 | 37.9 | 27 | 53.2 | 62 | 38 | 30 | -8 |