No, Junior FC have taken 4 points over their last 6 Copa Libertadores games, 2.15 fewer than the 6.15 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Junior FC create 1.02 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Copa Libertadores games, 6.12 in all, and have scored 5 goals from those chances, 1.12 fewer than that xG would expect.
Junior FC allow 1.53 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Copa Libertadores games, 9.17 in all, and have conceded 11 goals from those chances, 1.83 more than that xGA would expect.
Junior FC have taken 2.2 points fewer than their chances warranted over 6 games: -1.1 goals against their xG, and -1.8 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 6.12 | 5 | -1.12 | 9.17 | 11 | -1.83 | 6.15 | 4 | -2.15 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.95 | 4 | -0.95 | 7.32 | 10 | -2.68 | 5.20 | 3 | -2.20 |
| Home | 3 | 3.32 | 4 | +0.68 | 4.25 | 4 | +0.25 | 3.46 | 4 | +0.54 |
| Away | 3 | 2.80 | 1 | -1.80 | 4.92 | 7 | -2.08 | 2.69 | 0 | -2.69 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras (A) | 4-1 | 1.21 | 2.14 | 0.83 | 0 | L |
| 21 May | Copa Libertadores | Sporting Cristal (H) | 3-2 | 1.42 | 1.55 | 1.29 | 3 | L |
| 8 May | Copa Libertadores | Cerro Porteño (H) | 0-1 | 0.73 | 0.85 | 1.22 | 0 | L |
| 29 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Sporting Cristal (A) | 2-0 | 0.66 | 1.61 | 0.70 | 0 | L |
| 14 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Cerro Porteño (A) | 1-0 | 0.93 | 1.17 | 1.16 | 0 | L |
| 9 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras (H) | 1-1 | 1.17 | 1.85 | 0.95 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luis Fernando Muriel Fruto | attacker | 6 | 309 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Kevin Pérez | attacker | 5 | 316 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Teófilo Gutiérrez | attacker | 5 | 269 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Rivadavia | 6 | 8.9 | 15 | 5.4 | 6 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 6 | 7.9 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteño | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 7.2 | 2 | 7.3 | 13 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Universidad Católica | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7.4 | 13 | +5.6 |
| 5 | UCV | 6 | 6.2 | 7 | 12.8 | 11 | 5.1 | 9 | +3.9 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 6 | 7.1 | 8 | 6.5 | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 6 | 10.4 | 9 | 6.1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 8 | Mirassol | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | +2 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 6 | 4.1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 10 | Nacional | 6 | 4.8 | 7 | 7.9 | 9 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 4.9 | 8 | 3.9 | 7 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| 12 | Lanús | 6 | 6.3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| 13 | Independiente del Valle | 6 | 12.6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 6 | 7.6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| 15 | Independiente MedellÃn | 6 | 4.3 | 6 | 7.1 | 11 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| 16 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 5.7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -0 |
| 17 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 6 | 3.1 | 2 | 12.2 | 12 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 18 | Coquimbo Unido | 6 | 8.2 | 8 | 4.9 | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| 19 | Estudiantes | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5.1 | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | 5.3 | 3 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 21 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 3.6 | 6 | 10.6 | 13 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 22 | Palmeiras | 6 | 12.2 | 10 | 5.8 | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 23 | Universitario | 6 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| 24 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 7.3 | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| 25 | Junior FC | 6 | 6.1 | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| 26 | Fluminense | 6 | 7.4 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| 27 | Always Ready | 6 | 6.7 | 7 | 10.7 | 9 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| 28 | Club BolÃvar | 6 | 6.4 | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| 29 | Peñarol | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7.7 | 8 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| 30 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 9 | 6 | 4.3 | 5 | 10.9 | 7 | -3.9 |
| 31 | Cusco FC | 6 | 4.9 | 4 | 7.9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | -5 |
| 32 | Libertad | 6 | 5.4 | 4 | 10.8 | 13 | 5.1 | 0 | -5.1 |