No, Instituto have taken 50 points over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, within 0.60 of the 50.60 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Instituto create 1.37 expected goals (xG) per game over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 39.79 in all, and have scored 37 goals from those chances, 2.79 fewer than that xG would expect.
Instituto allow 0.79 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 22.92 in all, and have conceded 27 goals from those chances, 4.08 more than that xGA would expect.
Alex Luna has the most expected goals (xG) for Instituto over 29 Liga Profesional de Fútbol games in 2026, 9.11 xG in 27 appearances, and has scored 8 goals; Franco Jara is next with 3.55 xG.
Instituto's results and their chances agree, within 0.6 points of xPts over 29 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/ | 29 | 39.79 | 37 | -2.79 | 22.92 | 27 | -4.08 | 50.60 | 50 | -0.60 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 12.24 | 17 | +4.76 | 8.02 | 8 | +0.02 | 16.42 | 23 | +6.58 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.09 | 12 | +6.91 | 5.68 | 5 | +0.68 | 6.45 | 13 | +6.55 |
| Home | 14 | 20.59 | 22 | +1.41 | 9.79 | 13 | -3.21 | 26.33 | 29 | +2.67 |
| Away | 15 | 19.20 | 15 | -4.20 | 13.13 | 14 | -0.87 | 24.27 | 21 | -3.27 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Defensa y Justicia (A) | 0-1 | 0.44 | 1.65 | 0.51 | 3 | L |
| 9 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Boca Juniors (H) | 2-2 | 0.65 | 1.73 | 0.64 | 1 | L |
| 2 Oct | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Independiente (A) | 1-4 | 1.91 | 0.55 | 2.31 | 3 | W |
| 20 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Talleres Córdoba (H) | 3-1 | 1.29 | 0.50 | 1.98 | 3 | W |
| 15 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (H) | 2-1 | 0.80 | 1.25 | 1.01 | 3 | L |
| 8 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Unión Santa Fe (A) | 3-2 | 0.95 | 0.65 | 1.58 | 0 | W |
| 1 Sep | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | San Lorenzo (H) | 1-0 | 1.87 | 0.39 | 2.40 | 3 | W |
| 22 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Atlético Tucumán (A) | 0-0 | 0.51 | 0.36 | 1.42 | 1 | D |
| 16 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Central Cordoba SdE (A) | 0-1 | 1.33 | 0.63 | 1.90 | 3 | W |
| 9 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (H) | 1-0 | 2.49 | 0.31 | 2.67 | 3 | W |
| 3 Aug | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Lanús (A) | 0-1 | 1.08 | 0.92 | 1.48 | 3 | W |
| 30 Jul | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Platense (H) | 2-1 | 2.43 | 0.89 | 2.31 | 3 | W |
| 24 Jul | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Vélez Sarsfield (A) | 1-0 | 2.56 | 0.61 | 2.52 | 0 | W |
| 5 May | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (A) | 0-2 | 2.60 | 0.46 | 2.61 | 3 | W |
| 26 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Newell's Old Boys (A) | 1-1 | 0.32 | 1.03 | 0.69 | 1 | L |
| 18 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Estudiantes (H) | 0-1 | 1.09 | 0.19 | 2.13 | 0 | W |
| 11 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Deportivo Riestra (A) | 0-1 | 1.63 | 0.77 | 1.99 | 3 | W |
| 7 Apr | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Defensa y Justicia (H) | 2-0 | 1.54 | 0.46 | 2.17 | 3 | W |
| 22 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Boca Juniors (A) | 2-0 | 0.92 | 2.25 | 0.61 | 0 | L |
| 17 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Independiente (H) | 2-1 | 1.28 | 0.61 | 1.88 | 3 | W |
| 12 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Talleres Córdoba (A) | 2-0 | 0.85 | 0.88 | 1.31 | 0 | L |
| 1 Mar | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Unión Santa Fe (H) | 1-2 | 0.88 | 1.06 | 1.20 | 0 | L |
| 24 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | San Lorenzo (A) | 1-1 | 1.03 | 0.71 | 1.60 | 1 | W |
| 20 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Atlético Tucumán (H) | 2-1 | 1.77 | 0.66 | 2.15 | 3 | W |
| 16 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Central Cordoba SdE (H) | 2-0 | 2.47 | 0.36 | 2.63 | 3 | W |
| 9 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza (A) | 1-0 | 1.69 | 0.93 | 1.89 | 0 | W |
| 4 Feb | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Lanús (H) | 2-2 | 1.45 | 1.04 | 1.66 | 1 | W |
| 26 Jan | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Platense (A) | 2-1 | 1.38 | 0.73 | 1.85 | 0 | W |
| 23 Jan | Liga Profesional de Fútbol | Vélez Sarsfield (H) | 0-1 | 0.58 | 0.34 | 1.50 | 0 | D |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giuliano Cerato | defender | 28 | 2402 | 2.22 | 6 | +3.78 | 0.08 |
| Fernando Alarcón | defender | 25 | 2123 | 1.55 | 3 | +1.45 | 0.07 |
| Matías Gallardo | midfielder | 21 | 1142 | 0.86 | 2 | +1.14 | 0.07 |
| Jeremías Lázaro | midfielder | 24 | 938 | 2.01 | 3 | +0.99 | 0.19 |
| Hernán de la Fuente | defender | 6 | 226 | 1.14 | 2 | +0.86 | 0.46 |
| Leonel Mosevich | defender | 29 | 2610 | 1.51 | 2 | +0.49 | 0.05 |
| Luca Rafaelli | attacker | 9 | 240 | 0.52 | 1 | +0.48 | 0.20 |
| Jonatan Galván | defender | 26 | 1975 | 0.53 | 1 | +0.47 | 0.02 |
| Facundo Suárez | attacker | 10 | 218 | 0.80 | 1 | +0.20 | 0.33 |
| Gustavo Abregú | midfielder | 27 | 2174 | 0.69 | 0 | -0.69 | 0.03 |
| Diego Sosa | defender | 29 | 2542 | 1.72 | 1 | -0.72 | 0.06 |
| Alex Luna | midfielder | 27 | 2199 | 9.11 | 8 | -1.11 | 0.37 |
| Matías Fonseca | attacker | 17 | 572 | 2.13 | 1 | -1.13 | 0.33 |
| Jonás Acevedo | attacker | 14 | 238 | 1.19 | 0 | -1.19 | 0.45 |
| Gastón Lodico | midfielder | 15 | 1122 | 1.28 | 0 | -1.28 | 0.10 |
| Jhon Córdoba | attacker | 24 | 1462 | 2.44 | 1 | -1.44 | 0.15 |
| Matías Tissera | attacker | 19 | 1010 | 3.50 | 2 | -1.50 | 0.31 |
| Nicolás Guerra | attacker | 19 | 583 | 3.21 | 1 | -2.21 | 0.50 |
| Franco Jara | attacker | 11 | 711 | 3.55 | 1 | -2.55 | 0.45 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vélez Sarsfield | 29 | 32.4 | 36 | 31.3 | 25 | 40.4 | 52 | +11.6 |
| 2 | Argentinos Juniors | 29 | 37.2 | 34 | 27 | 24 | 44.5 | 54 | +9.5 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 29 | 35.3 | 31 | 35.5 | 23 | 39.1 | 48 | +8.9 |
| 4 | Independiente Rivadavia | 29 | 40.2 | 46 | 31.2 | 36 | 45.2 | 53 | +7.8 |
| 5 | Gimnasia La Plata | 29 | 39.2 | 38 | 35.1 | 37 | 40.7 | 48 | +7.3 |
| 6 | Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza | 29 | 28.7 | 29 | 41 | 35 | 31.7 | 39 | +7.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 29 | 42.2 | 40 | 31.9 | 27 | 45.8 | 53 | +7.2 |
| 8 | Sarmiento | 28 | 28.9 | 34 | 39.3 | 38 | 32.7 | 39 | +6.3 |
| 9 | San Lorenzo | 29 | 26.2 | 21 | 34.9 | 26 | 33.4 | 39 | +5.6 |
| 10 | Barracas Central | 28 | 22.9 | 25 | 30.1 | 24 | 33.7 | 39 | +5.3 |
| 11 | Independiente | 29 | 30.9 | 36 | 34.1 | 33 | 38.1 | 43 | +4.9 |
| 12 | Huracán | 29 | 32.1 | 29 | 33 | 25 | 39 | 41 | +2 |
| 13 | Estudiantes | 29 | 38.4 | 35 | 31.3 | 22 | 43.2 | 45 | +1.8 |
| 14 | Defensa y Justicia | 29 | 35.6 | 36 | 33.1 | 33 | 41.4 | 43 | +1.6 |
| 15 | Lanús | 29 | 37.7 | 34 | 30 | 24 | 45.9 | 47 | +1.1 |
| 16 | Boca Juniors | 29 | 41.7 | 43 | 21.7 | 23 | 53.2 | 54 | +0.8 |
| 17 | Newell's Old Boys | 28 | 26 | 26 | 37.1 | 36 | 32 | 32 | -0 |
| 18 | Instituto | 29 | 39.8 | 37 | 22.9 | 27 | 50.6 | 50 | -0.6 |
| 19 | Central Cordoba SdE | 28 | 26.2 | 21 | 42.4 | 37 | 27.7 | 26 | -1.7 |
| 20 | Banfield | 29 | 33.1 | 31 | 46.7 | 38 | 32.8 | 31 | -1.8 |
| 21 | Talleres Córdoba | 29 | 31.8 | 29 | 35.1 | 33 | 37.3 | 35 | -2.3 |
| 22 | River Plate | 29 | 48.3 | 40 | 22.8 | 25 | 54.5 | 49 | -5.5 |
| 23 | Unión Santa Fe | 28 | 37.3 | 41 | 34.5 | 41 | 40.8 | 34 | -6.8 |
| 24 | Racing Club | 29 | 35.8 | 31 | 35.1 | 35 | 40.2 | 33 | -7.2 |
| 25 | Platense | 29 | 31.2 | 22 | 33.8 | 34 | 37 | 27 | -10 |
| 26 | Atlético Tucumán | 29 | 31.1 | 27 | 31.9 | 33 | 38.1 | 28 | -10.1 |
| 27 | Tigre | 29 | 37.5 | 31 | 29.7 | 30 | 44.8 | 33 | -11.8 |
| 28 | Aldosivi | 29 | 26.3 | 20 | 41.8 | 41 | 29.5 | 16 | -13.5 |
| 29 | Deportivo Riestra | 28 | 24.3 | 14 | 26 | 24 | 36.2 | 22 | -14.2 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Río Cuarto | 29 | 24.8 | 13 | 42.8 | 41 | 29.1 | 14 | -15.1 |