No, Fatih Karagümrük have taken 30 points over 34 Super Lig games in 2025/2026, 6.89 fewer than the 36.89 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Fatih Karagümrük create 0.98 expected goals (xG) per game over 34 Super Lig games in 2025/2026, 33.22 in all, and have scored 31 goals from those chances, 2.22 fewer than that xG would expect.
Fatih Karagümrük allow 1.50 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 34 Super Lig games in 2025/2026, 51.05 in all, and have conceded 54 goals from those chances, 2.95 more than that xGA would expect.
Serginho has the most expected goals (xG) for Fatih Karagümrük over 34 Super Lig games in 2025/2026, 5.93 xG in 32 appearances, and has scored 8 goals; Sam Larsson is next with 5.32 xG.
Fatih Karagümrük have taken 6.9 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: -2.2 goals against their xG, and -3.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/26 | 34 | 33.22 | 31 | -2.22 | 51.05 | 54 | -2.95 | 36.89 | 30 | -6.89 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 10.32 | 10 | -0.32 | 12.57 | 9 | +3.57 | 12.43 | 17 | +4.57 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.19 | 5 | -0.19 | 6.12 | 3 | +3.12 | 6.41 | 10 | +3.59 |
| Home | 17 | 19.59 | 18 | -1.59 | 22.56 | 23 | -0.44 | 22.34 | 21 | -1.34 |
| Away | 17 | 13.63 | 13 | -0.63 | 28.49 | 31 | -2.51 | 14.55 | 9 | -5.55 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May | Super Lig | Alanyaspor (H) | 2-1 | 1.67 | 0.84 | 1.95 | 3 | W |
| 9 May | Super Lig | Kocaelispor (A) | 0-1 | 0.38 | 0.47 | 1.14 | 3 | D |
| 3 May | Super Lig | Gençler (H) | 1-0 | 0.78 | 2.15 | 0.56 | 3 | L |
| 27 Apr | Super Lig | Beşiktaş (A) | 0-0 | 0.77 | 2.24 | 0.52 | 1 | L |
| 18 Apr | Super Lig | Eyüpspor (H) | 1-2 | 1.59 | 0.42 | 2.24 | 0 | W |
| 12 Apr | Super Lig | Konyaspor (A) | 3-0 | 1.56 | 1.07 | 1.71 | 0 | W |
| 5 Apr | Super Lig | Rizespor (H) | 2-1 | 1.18 | 1.69 | 1.04 | 3 | L |
| 19 Mar | Super Lig | Kayserispor (A) | 1-0 | 0.29 | 2.01 | 0.30 | 0 | L |
| 13 Mar | Super Lig | Fenerbahçe (H) | 2-0 | 1.43 | 0.83 | 1.81 | 3 | W |
| 8 Mar | Super Lig | Gaziantep (A) | 1-1 | 0.67 | 0.85 | 1.16 | 1 | L |
| 27 Feb | Super Lig | Trabzonspor (A) | 3-1 | 0.71 | 1.54 | 0.77 | 0 | L |
| 22 Feb | Super Lig | Samsunspor (H) | 0-0 | 0.77 | 0.57 | 1.49 | 1 | D |
| 16 Feb | Super Lig | Kasımpaşa (A) | 3-2 | 0.96 | 1.57 | 0.94 | 0 | L |
| 7 Feb | Super Lig | Antalyaspor (H) | 1-0 | 2.37 | 0.47 | 2.54 | 3 | W |
| 31 Jan | Super Lig | Göztepe (A) | 2-1 | 0.81 | 1.13 | 1.09 | 0 | L |
| 24 Jan | Super Lig | Galatasaray (H) | 1-3 | 0.60 | 1.14 | 0.90 | 0 | L |
| 17 Jan | Super Lig | Başakşehir (A) | 2-1 | 0.96 | 2.54 | 0.53 | 0 | L |
| 21 Dec | Super Lig | Alanyaspor (A) | 2-0 | 0.30 | 0.69 | 0.88 | 0 | D |
| 14 Dec | Super Lig | Kocaelispor (H) | 1-1 | 0.86 | 1.12 | 1.14 | 1 | L |
| 7 Dec | Super Lig | Gençler (A) | 3-0 | 0.53 | 1.84 | 0.51 | 0 | L |
| 30 Nov | Super Lig | Beşiktaş (H) | 0-2 | 0.57 | 3.41 | 0.17 | 0 | L |
| 22 Nov | Super Lig | Eyüpspor (A) | 1-1 | 1.14 | 1.43 | 1.16 | 1 | L |
| 9 Nov | Super Lig | Konyaspor (H) | 2-0 | 0.96 | 0.44 | 1.78 | 3 | W |
| 3 Nov | Super Lig | Rizespor (A) | 1-0 | 1.05 | 1.81 | 0.89 | 0 | L |
| 24 Oct | Super Lig | Kayserispor (H) | 2-2 | 1.67 | 1.76 | 1.33 | 1 | L |
| 19 Oct | Super Lig | Fenerbahçe (A) | 2-1 | 0.74 | 3.09 | 0.28 | 0 | L |
| 5 Oct | Super Lig | Gaziantep (H) | 0-2 | 1.97 | 2.78 | 0.99 | 0 | L |
| 27 Sep | Super Lig | Trabzonspor (H) | 3-4 | 1.31 | 2.64 | 0.68 | 0 | L |
| 21 Sep | Super Lig | Samsunspor (A) | 3-2 | 0.68 | 2.35 | 0.43 | 0 | L |
| 17 Sep | Super Lig | Başakşehir (H) | 0-2 | 0.58 | 0.18 | 1.67 | 0 | D |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Datro Fofana | attacker | 13 | 982 | 3.91 | 6 | +2.09 | 0.36 |
| Serginho | attacker | 32 | 2227 | 5.93 | 8 | +2.07 | 0.24 |
| Anıl Yiğit Çınar | defender | 16 | 1100 | 0.77 | 2 | +1.23 | 0.06 |
| Filip Mladenovic | defender | 10 | 849 | 0.19 | 1 | +0.81 | 0.02 |
| Matías Kranevitter | midfielder | 23 | 1780 | 0.59 | 1 | +0.41 | 0.03 |
| Ahmed Traore | attacker | 14 | 410 | 0.59 | 1 | +0.41 | 0.13 |
| Bartuğ Elmaz | midfielder | 16 | 1042 | 0.65 | 1 | +0.35 | 0.06 |
| Daniel Johnson | midfielder | 17 | 1012 | 0.78 | 1 | +0.22 | 0.07 |
| Atakan Cankaya | midfielder | 17 | 1530 | 1.24 | 1 | -0.24 | 0.07 |
| Daniele Verde | attacker | 8 | 492 | 1.32 | 1 | -0.32 | 0.24 |
| Tiago Çukur | attacker | 28 | 1535 | 2.38 | 2 | -0.38 | 0.14 |
| João Camacho | attacker | 8 | 317 | 0.55 | 0 | -0.55 | 0.16 |
| Shavy Babicka | attacker | 15 | 860 | 1.58 | 1 | -0.58 | 0.17 |
| Ahmet Sivri | attacker | 9 | 296 | 0.64 | 0 | -0.64 | 0.19 |
| Marius Tresor Doh | midfielder | 17 | 1016 | 0.66 | 0 | -0.66 | 0.06 |
| Barış Kalaycı | attacker | 29 | 1316 | 2.16 | 1 | -1.16 | 0.15 |
| Berkay Özcan | midfielder | 33 | 2375 | 2.03 | 0 | -2.03 | 0.08 |
| Sam Larsson | midfielder | 22 | 1580 | 5.32 | 3 | -2.32 | 0.30 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trabzonspor | 34 | 52 | 61 | 41.8 | 39 | 53.6 | 69 | +15.4 |
| 2 | Galatasaray | 34 | 67.4 | 77 | 32.5 | 30 | 64.6 | 77 | +12.4 |
| 3 | Fenerbahçe | 34 | 65.6 | 77 | 32.4 | 37 | 66 | 74 | +8 |
| 4 | Antalyaspor | 34 | 27.2 | 33 | 54 | 55 | 30.3 | 32 | +1.7 |
| 5 | İstanbul Başakşehir | 34 | 56.4 | 58 | 42.1 | 35 | 56.1 | 57 | +0.9 |
| 6 | Samsunspor | 34 | 46.9 | 46 | 42.9 | 45 | 50.4 | 51 | +0.6 |
| 7 | Göztepe | 34 | 49.4 | 42 | 37.5 | 32 | 55.1 | 55 | -0.1 |
| 8 | Beşiktaş | 34 | 61 | 59 | 37.7 | 40 | 61.8 | 60 | -1.8 |
| 9 | Gençlerbirliği | 34 | 35.6 | 36 | 53.9 | 47 | 36 | 34 | -2 |
| 10 | Eyüpspor | 34 | 35.9 | 33 | 52.2 | 48 | 36.2 | 33 | -3.2 |
| 11 | Konyaspor | 34 | 46.2 | 43 | 50.1 | 50 | 44.9 | 40 | -4.9 |
| 12 | Kasımpaşa | 34 | 33.5 | 33 | 44.3 | 49 | 39.9 | 35 | -4.9 |
| 13 | Rizespor | 34 | 44.1 | 46 | 45.8 | 52 | 46.1 | 41 | -5.1 |
| 14 | Gaziantep F.K. | 34 | 42 | 43 | 50.4 | 58 | 42.1 | 37 | -5.1 |
| 15 | Alanyaspor | 34 | 35.1 | 41 | 42.7 | 41 | 42.7 | 37 | -5.7 |
| 16 | Kocaelispor | 34 | 33.3 | 26 | 37.9 | 38 | 43.5 | 37 | -6.5 |
| 17 | Fatih Karagümrük | 34 | 33.2 | 31 | 51 | 54 | 36.9 | 30 | -6.9 |
| 18 | Kayserispor | 34 | 37.9 | 27 | 53.2 | 62 | 38 | 30 | -8 |