Too early to say: Eritrea have 6 points over their last 2 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications games against 2.28 expected points (xPts), and 2 games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything.
Eritrea create 0.88 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 2 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications games, 1.76 in all, and have scored 4 goals from those chances, 2.24 more than that xG would expect.
Eritrea allow 1.09 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 2 Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications games, 2.18 in all, and have conceded 1 goal from those chances, 1.18 fewer than that xGA would expect.
2 tracked games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything. The numbers below are real, the verdict is not yet.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 2 | 2 | 1.76 | 4 | +2.24 | 2.18 | 1 | +1.18 | 2.28 | 6 | +3.72 |
| Home | 1 | 1.35 | 2 | +0.65 | 1.37 | 0 | +1.37 | 1.36 | 3 | +1.64 |
| Away | 1 | 0.41 | 2 | +1.59 | 0.81 | 1 | -0.19 | 0.92 | 3 | +2.08 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Eswatini (A) | 1-2 | 0.41 | 0.81 | 0.92 | 3 | L |
| 25 Mar | Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications | Eswatini (H) | 2-0 | 1.35 | 1.37 | 1.36 | 3 | L |