No, Deportivo La Guaira have taken 3 points over their last 6 Copa Libertadores games, 0.91 fewer than the 3.91 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Deportivo La Guaira create 0.60 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Copa Libertadores games, 3.59 in all, and have scored 6 goals from those chances, 2.41 more than that xG would expect.
Deportivo La Guaira allow 1.77 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Copa Libertadores games, 10.59 in all, and have conceded 13 goals from those chances, 2.41 more than that xGA would expect.
Deportivo La Guaira have taken 0.9 points fewer than their chances warranted over 6 games: +2.4 goals against their xG, and -2.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 3.59 | 6 | +2.41 | 10.59 | 13 | -2.41 | 3.91 | 3 | -0.91 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 3.43 | 6 | +2.57 | 9.17 | 13 | -3.83 | 3.53 | 2 | -1.53 |
| Home | 3 | 2.15 | 3 | +0.85 | 4.48 | 5 | -0.52 | 2.50 | 2 | -0.50 |
| Away | 3 | 1.44 | 3 | +1.56 | 6.11 | 8 | -1.89 | 1.41 | 1 | -0.41 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Copa Libertadores | Fluminense (A) | 3-1 | 0.82 | 1.51 | 0.87 | 0 | L |
| 21 May | Copa Libertadores | Independiente Rivadavia (H) | 2-4 | 0.81 | 2.11 | 0.59 | 0 | L |
| 6 May | Copa Libertadores | Club BolÃvar (H) | 1-1 | 1.18 | 0.95 | 1.53 | 1 | W |
| 30 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Independiente Rivadavia (A) | 4-1 | 0.33 | 2.88 | 0.16 | 0 | L |
| 15 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Club BolÃvar (A) | 1-1 | 0.29 | 1.72 | 0.38 | 1 | L |
| 7 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Fluminense (H) | 0-0 | 0.16 | 1.42 | 0.38 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flabian Londoño | attacker | 6 | 450 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Diego OsÃo | defender | 5 | 450 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| José Alà Meza | attacker | 6 | 400 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Juan Castellanos | midfielder | 3 | 155 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Guillermo Ortiz | defender | 4 | 360 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Rivadavia | 6 | 8.9 | 15 | 5.4 | 6 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 6 | 7.9 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteño | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 7.2 | 2 | 7.3 | 13 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Universidad Católica | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7.4 | 13 | +5.6 |
| 5 | UCV | 6 | 6.2 | 7 | 12.8 | 11 | 5.1 | 9 | +3.9 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 6 | 7.1 | 8 | 6.5 | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 6 | 10.4 | 9 | 6.1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 8 | Mirassol | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | +2 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 6 | 4.1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 10 | Nacional | 6 | 4.8 | 7 | 7.9 | 9 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 4.9 | 8 | 3.9 | 7 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| 12 | Lanús | 6 | 6.3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| 13 | Independiente del Valle | 6 | 12.6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 6 | 7.6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| 15 | Independiente MedellÃn | 6 | 4.3 | 6 | 7.1 | 11 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| 16 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 5.7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -0 |
| 17 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 6 | 3.1 | 2 | 12.2 | 12 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 18 | Coquimbo Unido | 6 | 8.2 | 8 | 4.9 | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| 19 | Estudiantes | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5.1 | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | 5.3 | 3 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 21 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 3.6 | 6 | 10.6 | 13 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 22 | Palmeiras | 6 | 12.2 | 10 | 5.8 | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 23 | Universitario | 6 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| 24 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 7.3 | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| 25 | Junior FC | 6 | 6.1 | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| 26 | Fluminense | 6 | 7.4 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| 27 | Always Ready | 6 | 6.7 | 7 | 10.7 | 9 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| 28 | Club BolÃvar | 6 | 6.4 | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| 29 | Peñarol | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7.7 | 8 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| 30 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 9 | 6 | 4.3 | 5 | 10.9 | 7 | -3.9 |
| 31 | Cusco FC | 6 | 4.9 | 4 | 7.9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | -5 |
| 32 | Libertad | 6 | 5.4 | 4 | 10.8 | 13 | 5.1 | 0 | -5.1 |