No, Coquimbo Unido have taken 10 points over their last 6 Copa Libertadores games, within 0.68 of the 10.68 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results match their performances.
Coquimbo Unido create 1.37 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 6 Copa Libertadores games, 8.20 in all, and have scored 8 goals from those chances, 0.20 fewer than that xG would expect.
Coquimbo Unido allow 0.82 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 6 Copa Libertadores games, 4.92 in all, and have conceded 6 goals from those chances, 1.08 more than that xGA would expect.
Coquimbo Unido's results and their chances agree, within 0.7 points of xPts over 6 games. There is no regression case either way. What the table says is roughly what they have earned.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 6 | 6 | 8.20 | 8 | -0.20 | 4.92 | 6 | -1.08 | 10.68 | 10 | -0.68 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.37 | 7 | +0.63 | 4.37 | 5 | -0.63 | 8.42 | 9 | +0.58 |
| Home | 3 | 5.67 | 6 | +0.33 | 1.71 | 2 | -0.29 | 6.76 | 7 | +0.24 |
| Away | 3 | 2.53 | 2 | -0.53 | 3.21 | 4 | -0.79 | 3.92 | 3 | -0.92 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May | Copa Libertadores | Nacional (A) | 1-0 | 0.73 | 0.50 | 1.51 | 0 | D |
| 19 May | Copa Libertadores | Deportes Tolima (H) | 3-0 | 2.36 | 0.52 | 2.51 | 3 | W |
| 8 May | Copa Libertadores | Universitario (H) | 2-1 | 1.48 | 0.64 | 1.99 | 3 | W |
| 29 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Deportes Tolima (A) | 3-0 | 0.38 | 2.28 | 0.29 | 0 | L |
| 15 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Universitario (A) | 0-2 | 1.42 | 0.43 | 2.12 | 3 | W |
| 8 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Nacional (H) | 1-1 | 1.83 | 0.55 | 2.26 | 1 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manuel Fernández | defender | 6 | 540 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Nicolas Johansen | attacker | 6 | 374 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Cristián Zavala | attacker | 6 | 485 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| Guido Vadalá | midfielder | 5 | 290 | 0.00 | 2 | +2.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Rivadavia | 6 | 8.9 | 15 | 5.4 | 6 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 6 | 7.9 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteño | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 7.2 | 2 | 7.3 | 13 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Universidad Católica | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7.4 | 13 | +5.6 |
| 5 | UCV | 6 | 6.2 | 7 | 12.8 | 11 | 5.1 | 9 | +3.9 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 6 | 7.1 | 8 | 6.5 | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 6 | 10.4 | 9 | 6.1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 8 | Mirassol | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | +2 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 6 | 4.1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 10 | Nacional | 6 | 4.8 | 7 | 7.9 | 9 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 4.9 | 8 | 3.9 | 7 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| 12 | Lanús | 6 | 6.3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| 13 | Independiente del Valle | 6 | 12.6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 6 | 7.6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| 15 | Independiente MedellÃn | 6 | 4.3 | 6 | 7.1 | 11 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| 16 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 5.7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -0 |
| 17 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 6 | 3.1 | 2 | 12.2 | 12 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 18 | Coquimbo Unido | 6 | 8.2 | 8 | 4.9 | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| 19 | Estudiantes | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5.1 | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | 5.3 | 3 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 21 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 3.6 | 6 | 10.6 | 13 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 22 | Palmeiras | 6 | 12.2 | 10 | 5.8 | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 23 | Universitario | 6 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| 24 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 7.3 | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| 25 | Junior FC | 6 | 6.1 | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| 26 | Fluminense | 6 | 7.4 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| 27 | Always Ready | 6 | 6.7 | 7 | 10.7 | 9 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| 28 | Club BolÃvar | 6 | 6.4 | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| 29 | Peñarol | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7.7 | 8 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| 30 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 9 | 6 | 4.3 | 5 | 10.9 | 7 | -3.9 |
| 31 | Cusco FC | 6 | 4.9 | 4 | 7.9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | -5 |
| 32 | Libertad | 6 | 5.4 | 4 | 10.8 | 13 | 5.1 | 0 | -5.1 |