Yes, Cerro Porteño have taken 19 points over their last 11 Copa Libertadores games, 6.52 more than the 12.48 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their results are running ahead of their performances.
Cerro Porteño create 0.91 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 11 Copa Libertadores games, 10.00 in all, and have scored 11 goals from those chances, 1.00 more than that xG would expect.
Cerro Porteño allow 1.45 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 11 Copa Libertadores games, 15.97 in all, and have conceded 11 goals from those chances, 4.97 fewer than that xGA would expect.
Cerro Porteño have taken 6.5 points more than their chances warranted over 11 games: +1.0 goals against their xG, and +5.0 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 11 | 11 | 10.00 | 11 | +1.00 | 15.97 | 11 | +4.97 | 12.48 | 19 | +6.52 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 8.03 | 7 | -1.03 | 15.59 | 9 | +6.59 | 10.02 | 16 | +5.98 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 5.17 | 6 | +0.83 | 5.09 | 1 | +4.09 | 7.12 | 13 | +5.88 |
| Home | 5 | 6.16 | 8 | +1.84 | 5.31 | 5 | +0.31 | 7.68 | 10 | +2.32 |
| Away | 6 | 3.84 | 3 | -0.84 | 10.66 | 6 | +4.66 | 4.80 | 9 | +4.20 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May | Copa Libertadores | Sporting Cristal (H) | 2-0 | 1.56 | 0.21 | 2.40 | 3 | W |
| 21 May | Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras (A) | 0-1 | 0.70 | 0.80 | 1.23 | 3 | D |
| 8 May | Copa Libertadores | Junior FC (A) | 0-1 | 0.85 | 0.73 | 1.42 | 3 | W |
| 30 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras (H) | 1-1 | 0.89 | 2.42 | 0.53 | 1 | L |
| 14 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Junior FC (H) | 1-0 | 1.17 | 0.93 | 1.54 | 3 | W |
| 9 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Sporting Cristal (A) | 1-0 | 0.08 | 2.12 | 0.16 | 0 | L |
| 29 May | Copa Libertadores | Club Bolívar (A) | 4-0 | 0.51 | 3.35 | 0.16 | 0 | L |
| 14 May | Copa Libertadores | Sporting Cristal (A) | 0-1 | 1.49 | 1.05 | 1.68 | 3 | W |
| 8 May | Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras (H) | 0-2 | 0.57 | 1.37 | 0.75 | 0 | L |
| 10 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Palmeiras (A) | 1-0 | 0.21 | 2.61 | 0.15 | 0 | L |
| 1 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Club Bolívar (H) | 4-2 | 1.97 | 0.38 | 2.46 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Torres | attacker | 10 | 788 | 0.00 | 4 | +4.00 | 0.00 |
| Pablo Vegetti | attacker | 6 | 536 | 0.00 | 3 | +3.00 | 0.00 |
| Jorge Morel | midfielder | 10 | 774 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Juan Iturbe | attacker | 9 | 316 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Cecilio Domínguez | attacker | 5 | 300 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Rivadavia | 6 | 8.9 | 15 | 5.4 | 6 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 6 | 7.9 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteño | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 7.2 | 2 | 7.3 | 13 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Universidad Católica | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7.4 | 13 | +5.6 |
| 5 | UCV | 6 | 6.2 | 7 | 12.8 | 11 | 5.1 | 9 | +3.9 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 6 | 7.1 | 8 | 6.5 | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 6 | 10.4 | 9 | 6.1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 8 | Mirassol | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | +2 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 6 | 4.1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 10 | Nacional | 6 | 4.8 | 7 | 7.9 | 9 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 4.9 | 8 | 3.9 | 7 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| 12 | Lanús | 6 | 6.3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| 13 | Independiente del Valle | 6 | 12.6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 6 | 7.6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| 15 | Independiente Medellín | 6 | 4.3 | 6 | 7.1 | 11 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| 16 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 5.7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -0 |
| 17 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 6 | 3.1 | 2 | 12.2 | 12 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 18 | Coquimbo Unido | 6 | 8.2 | 8 | 4.9 | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| 19 | Estudiantes | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5.1 | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | 5.3 | 3 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 21 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 3.6 | 6 | 10.6 | 13 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 22 | Palmeiras | 6 | 12.2 | 10 | 5.8 | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 23 | Universitario | 6 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| 24 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 7.3 | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| 25 | Junior FC | 6 | 6.1 | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| 26 | Fluminense | 6 | 7.4 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| 27 | Always Ready | 6 | 6.7 | 7 | 10.7 | 9 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| 28 | Club Bolívar | 6 | 6.4 | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| 29 | Peñarol | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7.7 | 8 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| 30 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 9 | 6 | 4.3 | 5 | 10.9 | 7 | -3.9 |
| 31 | Cusco FC | 6 | 4.9 | 4 | 7.9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | -5 |
| 32 | Libertad | 6 | 5.4 | 4 | 10.8 | 13 | 5.1 | 0 | -5.1 |