No, Barcelona Guayaquil have taken 6 points over their last 10 Copa Libertadores games, 2.39 fewer than the 8.39 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.
Barcelona Guayaquil create 0.78 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 10 Copa Libertadores games, 7.81 in all, and have scored 6 goals from those chances, 1.81 fewer than that xG would expect.
Barcelona Guayaquil allow 1.77 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 10 Copa Libertadores games, 17.69 in all, and have conceded 18 goals from those chances, 0.31 more than that xGA would expect.
Barcelona Guayaquil have taken 2.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 10 games: -1.8 goals against their xG, and -0.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 10 | 10 | 7.81 | 6 | -1.81 | 17.69 | 18 | -0.31 | 8.39 | 6 | -2.39 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 2.34 | 2 | -0.34 | 10.36 | 11 | -0.64 | 2.69 | 3 | +0.31 |
| Home | 5 | 4.98 | 5 | +0.02 | 6.75 | 6 | +0.75 | 5.70 | 6 | +0.30 |
| Away | 5 | 2.83 | 1 | -1.83 | 10.94 | 12 | -1.06 | 2.69 | 0 | -2.69 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May | Copa Libertadores | Cruzeiro (A) | 4-0 | 0.46 | 2.75 | 0.23 | 0 | L |
| 22 May | Copa Libertadores | Universidad Católica (A) | 2-0 | 0.18 | 3.37 | 0.07 | 0 | L |
| 6 May | Copa Libertadores | Boca Juniors (H) | 1-0 | 1.00 | 1.19 | 1.21 | 3 | L |
| 30 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Universidad Católica (H) | 1-2 | 0.51 | 0.90 | 0.97 | 0 | L |
| 15 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Boca Juniors (A) | 3-0 | 0.19 | 2.15 | 0.21 | 0 | L |
| 8 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Cruzeiro (H) | 0-1 | 0.76 | 1.83 | 0.67 | 0 | L |
| 28 May | Copa Libertadores | Independiente del Valle (A) | 2-1 | 0.55 | 1.07 | 0.90 | 0 | L |
| 15 May | Copa Libertadores | Universitario (A) | 1-0 | 1.45 | 1.60 | 1.28 | 0 | L |
| 9 May | Copa Libertadores | River Plate (H) | 2-3 | 0.48 | 2.45 | 0.30 | 0 | L |
| 2 Apr | Copa Libertadores | Independiente del Valle (H) | 1-0 | 2.23 | 0.38 | 2.55 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Octavio Rivero | attacker | 4 | 299 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Felipe Caicedo | attacker | 3 | 91 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Bryan Carabalà | defender | 10 | 893 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Milton Céliz | midfielder | 4 | 285 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Héctor Villalba | attacker | 6 | 227 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Independiente Rivadavia | 6 | 8.9 | 15 | 5.4 | 6 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 2 | Flamengo | 6 | 7.9 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 9.8 | 16 | +6.2 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteño | 6 | 5.3 | 6 | 7.2 | 2 | 7.3 | 13 | +5.7 |
| 4 | Universidad Católica | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7.4 | 13 | +5.6 |
| 5 | UCV | 6 | 6.2 | 7 | 12.8 | 11 | 5.1 | 9 | +3.9 |
| 6 | LDU Quito | 6 | 7.1 | 8 | 6.5 | 5 | 8.7 | 12 | +3.3 |
| 7 | Rosario Central | 6 | 10.4 | 9 | 6.1 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +2 |
| 8 | Mirassol | 6 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | +2 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 6 | 4.1 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 10 | Nacional | 6 | 4.8 | 7 | 7.9 | 9 | 6.4 | 8 | +1.6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 4.9 | 8 | 3.9 | 7 | 8.7 | 10 | +1.3 |
| 12 | Lanús | 6 | 6.3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 8.4 | 9 | +0.6 |
| 13 | Independiente del Valle | 6 | 12.6 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 12.5 | 13 | +0.5 |
| 14 | Corinthians | 6 | 7.6 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10.6 | 11 | +0.4 |
| 15 | Independiente MedellÃn | 6 | 4.3 | 6 | 7.1 | 11 | 6.8 | 7 | +0.2 |
| 16 | Deportes Tolima | 6 | 6.4 | 7 | 5.7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -0 |
| 17 | Barcelona Guayaquil | 6 | 3.1 | 2 | 12.2 | 12 | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 18 | Coquimbo Unido | 6 | 8.2 | 8 | 4.9 | 6 | 10.7 | 10 | -0.7 |
| 19 | Estudiantes | 6 | 8 | 6 | 5.1 | 5 | 9.7 | 9 | -0.7 |
| 20 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 10.8 | 8 | 5.3 | 3 | 11.9 | 11 | -0.9 |
| 21 | Deportivo La Guaira | 6 | 3.6 | 6 | 10.6 | 13 | 3.9 | 3 | -0.9 |
| 22 | Palmeiras | 6 | 12.2 | 10 | 5.8 | 5 | 12.1 | 11 | -1.1 |
| 23 | Universitario | 6 | 4.5 | 5 | 5.5 | 6 | 7.4 | 6 | -1.4 |
| 24 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 7.3 | 6 | 8.7 | 9 | 7.7 | 6 | -1.7 |
| 25 | Junior FC | 6 | 6.1 | 5 | 9.2 | 11 | 6.2 | 4 | -2.2 |
| 26 | Fluminense | 6 | 7.4 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 10.7 | 8 | -2.7 |
| 27 | Always Ready | 6 | 6.7 | 7 | 10.7 | 9 | 5.9 | 3 | -2.9 |
| 28 | Club BolÃvar | 6 | 6.4 | 6 | 7.3 | 8 | 8.1 | 5 | -3.1 |
| 29 | Peñarol | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7.7 | 8 | 6.4 | 3 | -3.4 |
| 30 | Boca Juniors | 6 | 9 | 6 | 4.3 | 5 | 10.9 | 7 | -3.9 |
| 31 | Cusco FC | 6 | 4.9 | 4 | 7.9 | 12 | 6 | 1 | -5 |
| 32 | Libertad | 6 | 5.4 | 4 | 10.8 | 13 | 5.1 | 0 | -5.1 |