Too early to say: Bahrain have 6 points over their last 3 AFC Asian Cup games against 4.36 expected points (xPts), and 3 games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything.
Bahrain create 0.89 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 3 AFC Asian Cup games, 2.67 in all, and have scored 3 goals from those chances, 0.33 more than that xG would expect.
Bahrain allow 0.81 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 3 AFC Asian Cup games, 2.43 in all, and have conceded 3 goals from those chances, 0.57 more than that xGA would expect.
3 tracked games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything. The numbers below are real, the verdict is not yet.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 3 | 3 | 2.67 | 3 | +0.33 | 2.43 | 3 | -0.57 | 4.36 | 6 | +1.64 |
| Home | 1 | 0.51 | 1 | +0.49 | 0.29 | 0 | +0.29 | 1.48 | 3 | +1.52 |
| Away | 2 | 2.16 | 2 | -0.16 | 2.14 | 3 | -0.86 | 2.88 | 3 | +0.12 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | AFC Asian Cup | Jordan (A) | 0-1 | 0.89 | 0.30 | 1.86 | 3 | W |
| 20 Jan | AFC Asian Cup | Malaysia (H) | 1-0 | 0.51 | 0.29 | 1.48 | 3 | D |
| 15 Jan | AFC Asian Cup | South Korea (A) | 3-1 | 1.27 | 1.84 | 1.02 | 0 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Madan | attacker | 3 | 234 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |
| Yusuf | attacker | 3 | 149 | 0.00 | 1 | +1.00 | 0.00 |