Too early to say: Aruba have 12 points over their last 4 Friendly International games against 6.08 expected points (xPts), and 4 games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything.
Aruba create 1.40 expected goals (xG) per game over their last 4 Friendly International games, 5.60 in all, and have scored 13 goals from those chances, 7.40 more than that xG would expect.
Aruba allow 1.14 expected goals against (xGA) per game over their last 4 Friendly International games, 4.57 in all, and have conceded 3 goals from those chances, 1.57 fewer than that xGA would expect.
4 tracked games is not enough for the gap between results and chances to mean anything. The numbers below are real, the verdict is not yet.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 4 | 4 | 5.60 | 13 | +7.40 | 4.57 | 3 | +1.57 | 6.08 | 12 | +5.92 |
| Home | 2 | 3.84 | 8 | +4.16 | 2.36 | 2 | +0.36 | 3.69 | 6 | +2.31 |
| Away | 2 | 1.76 | 5 | +3.24 | 2.21 | 1 | +1.21 | 2.39 | 6 | +3.61 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar | Friendly International | Liechtenstein (H) | 4-1 | 1.66 | 1.44 | 1.52 | 3 | W |
| 26 Mar | Friendly International | Macao (H) | 4-1 | 2.18 | 0.92 | 2.17 | 3 | W |
| 15 Nov | Friendly International | Barbados (A) | 0-3 | 1.13 | 0.77 | 1.63 | 3 | W |
| 25 Mar | Friendly International | Cambodia (A) | 1-2 | 0.63 | 1.44 | 0.76 | 3 | L |