Al Akhdoud xG 2025/2026

Al Akhdoud xG Questions

Are Al Akhdoud overperforming their xG this season?

No, Al Akhdoud have taken 20 points over 34 Saudi Pro League games in 2025/2026, 7.39 fewer than the 27.39 expected points (xPts) their chances were worth, so their performances deserve better than their results.

What is Al Akhdoud's xG per game this season?

Al Akhdoud create 0.84 expected goals (xG) per game over 34 Saudi Pro League games in 2025/2026, 28.48 in all, and have scored 27 goals from those chances, 1.48 fewer than that xG would expect.

What is Al Akhdoud's xGA per game this season?

Al Akhdoud allow 1.97 expected goals against (xGA) per game over 34 Saudi Pro League games in 2025/2026, 66.94 in all, and have conceded 70 goals from those chances, 3.06 more than that xGA would expect.

Who has the most xG for Al Akhdoud this season?

Christian Bassogog has the most expected goals (xG) for Al Akhdoud over 34 Saudi Pro League games in 2025/2026, 4.18 xG in 29 appearances, and has scored 4 goals; Khaled Narey is next with 4.01 xG.

Al Akhdoud expected goals 2025/2026: 2025/2026

Games: 34
Expected goals (xG): 28.48
Goals scored: 27
Goals minus xG: -1.48
Expected goals against (xGA): 66.94
Goals conceded: 70
xGA minus goals conceded: -3.06
Expected points (xPts): 27.39
Points: 20
Points minus xPts: -7.39
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Al Akhdoud overperforming their expected goals?

Al Akhdoud have taken 7.4 points fewer than their chances warranted over 34 games: -1.5 goals against their xG, and -3.1 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Al Akhdoud results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
25/26	34	28.48	27	-1.48	66.94	70	-3.06	27.39	20	-7.39
Last 10	10	7.14	5	-2.14	18.10	20	-1.90	7.58	7	-0.58
Last 5	5	5.29	4	-1.29	7.13	9	-1.87	5.37	4	-1.37
Home	17	16.11	19	+2.89	32.08	38	-5.92	15.84	15	-0.84
Away	17	12.37	8	-4.37	34.86	32	+2.86	11.55	5	-6.55

Al Akhdoud expected goals match by match, 2025/2026

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
21 May	Saudi Pro League	Al Riyadh (A)	1-0	0.45	1.07	0.80	0	L
16 May	Saudi Pro League	Al Khaleej (H)	3-1	1.34	1.30	1.39	3	W
12 May	Saudi Pro League	Al Kholood (A)	0-0	0.43	0.79	0.96	1	L
3 May	Saudi Pro League	Al Ahli (A)	4-0	0.39	2.25	0.30	0	L
30 Apr	Saudi Pro League	Al Ettifaq (H)	1-3	2.68	1.72	1.92	0	W
23 Apr	Saudi Pro League	Damac FC (A)	2-0	0.58	1.40	0.73	0	L
11 Apr	Saudi Pro League	Al Nassr (H)	0-2	0.13	2.76	0.10	0	L
5 Apr	Saudi Pro League	Al Fateh (H)	1-0	0.63	0.90	1.09	3	L
14 Mar	Saudi Pro League	Al Shabab (A)	2-0	0.26	3.55	0.08	0	L
7 Mar	Saudi Pro League	Al-Fayha (H)	0-5	0.25	2.36	0.21	0	L
28 Feb	Saudi Pro League	Al Najma (A)	1-3	2.42	1.82	1.74	3	W
23 Feb	Saudi Pro League	Al Fateh (A)	2-1	0.79	3.61	0.21	0	L
20 Feb	Saudi Pro League	Al-Qadsiah (H)	2-4	1.10	3.32	0.38	0	L
12 Feb	Saudi Pro League	Al Hazm (A)	2-1	0.67	2.25	0.46	0	L
5 Feb	Saudi Pro League	Al Hilal (H)	0-6	0.83	5.52	0.06	0	L
2 Feb	Saudi Pro League	NEOM SC (H)	1-1	0.60	2.49	0.35	1	L
30 Jan	Saudi Pro League	Al Taawoun (A)	1-0	2.14	1.81	1.59	0	W
26 Jan	Saudi Pro League	Al Ittihad (A)	2-1	0.59	1.18	0.87	0	L
21 Jan	Saudi Pro League	Al Riyadh (H)	2-2	1.28	1.57	1.18	1	L
16 Jan	Saudi Pro League	Al Khaleej (A)	4-1	0.26	2.62	0.17	0	L
13 Jan	Saudi Pro League	Al Kholood (H)	1-0	0.89	1.01	1.25	3	L
10 Jan	Saudi Pro League	Al Ahli (H)	0-1	0.47	1.43	0.63	0	L
2 Jan	Saudi Pro League	Al Ettifaq (A)	2-0	0.39	2.09	0.34	0	L
30 Dec	Saudi Pro League	Damac FC (H)	0-1	0.69	0.38	1.59	0	D
27 Dec	Saudi Pro League	Al Nassr (A)	3-0	1.24	4.93	0.16	0	L
23 Nov	Saudi Pro League	Al Shabab (H)	1-1	0.94	1.21	1.15	1	L
7 Nov	Saudi Pro League	Al-Fayha (A)	2-0	0.60	1.13	0.91	0	L
31 Oct	Saudi Pro League	Al Najma (H)	2-1	1.88	0.59	2.26	3	W
25 Oct	Saudi Pro League	Al-Qadsiah (A)	0-0	0.34	0.52	1.06	1	D
18 Oct	Saudi Pro League	Al Hazm (H)	1-2	0.73	1.41	0.86	0	L

Al Akhdoud players: goals against expected goals, 2025/2026

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Saeed Al-Rubaie	defender	19	1575	2.08	4	+1.92	0.12
Juan Sebastián Pedroza	midfielder	30	2453	1.88	3	+1.12	0.07
Abdulaziz Al-Hatila	midfielder	31	1258	2.95	4	+1.05	0.21
Koray Günter	defender	27	2346	0.46	1	+0.54	0.02
Naif Asiri	defender	18	1251	0.59	1	+0.41	0.04
Ghassan Hawsawi	defender	15	814	0.60	1	+0.40	0.07
Khaled Narey	attacker	22	1732	4.01	4	-0.01	0.21
Burak Ince	attacker	25	1400	1.10	1	-0.10	0.07
Christian Bassogog	attacker	29	2242	4.18	4	-0.18	0.17
Gökhan Gül	midfielder	33	2584	1.27	1	-0.27	0.04
Ali Al-Salem	defender	18	1414	0.58	0	-0.58	0.04
M. Borrell	midfielder	17	1092	0.68	0	-0.68	0.06
Saleh Al-Abbas	attacker	20	705	1.69	1	-0.69	0.22
Tokmac Nguen	attacker	13	742	2.28	1	-1.28	0.28
Blaz Kramer	attacker	13	995	2.31	1	-1.31	0.21

Saudi Pro League 2025/2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Al Ahli	34	60.4	71	26.8	25	65.7	81	+15.3
2	Al-Qadsiah	34	68	83	38.5	34	64.3	77	+12.7
3	Al Nassr	34	77.6	91	27.9	28	74.3	86	+11.7
4	Al Ettifaq	34	42.5	51	61.3	55	39.6	50	+10.4
5	Al Hilal	34	81.7	85	25.3	27	76.4	84	+7.6
6	Al Taawoun	34	48.5	59	49.2	46	46.9	53	+6.1
7	Al Ittihad	34	54.8	55	46.3	48	51.4	55	+3.6
8	Al Hazm	34	43.6	38	49.8	57	42.8	42	-0.8
9	Al-Fayha	34	36.4	41	47.1	54	40.6	38	-2.6
10	Al Kholood	34	34.8	39	56	61	35.7	33	-2.7
11	NEOM SC	34	47.5	43	44.1	48	50	45	-5
12	Damac FC	34	31	32	50.5	55	35.3	29	-6.3
13	Al Fateh	34	47.7	41	52.6	55	43.9	37	-6.9
14	Al Akhdoud	34	28.5	27	66.9	70	27.4	20	-7.4
15	Al Khaleej	34	47.4	54	48	62	45.9	37	-8.9
16	Al Riyadh	34	43.2	35	58.5	63	38.9	30	-8.9
17	Al Shabab	34	50.7	44	56.9	57	44.2	35	-9.2
18	Al Najma	34	28.7	32	67.3	76	25.4	16	-9.4