Win probabilities, projected goals, market odds and edges for upcoming matches.
Updated 5 November 2026
Every match projection on this page is generated by the Statz model, trained on historical team data, current form and live betting markets to surface where the real value sits. Each fixture shows win probabilities, projected goal totals, BTTS likelihood, and over/under edge indicators calculated against Bet365's implied odds. It's not a tipster's gut call. It's a model-driven view of what the market is mispricing. Use the filters to zero in on competition, market type or minimum edge threshold, then click straight through to place the bet. Updated before kick-off across all live competitions.
| Match | Competition | Kick-off (UK) |
|---|---|---|
| Gillingham v Barrow | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
| York v Northampton | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
| Newport v Walsall | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
| Fleetwood v Rochdale | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
| Barnet v Tranmere | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
| Oldham v Sheff Wed | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
| Crewe v Wimbledon | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
| Bristol Rovers v Cambridge | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
| Accrington v Wycombe | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
| MK Dons v Swindon | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
| Huddersfield v Exeter City | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
| Bromley v Rotherham | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
| Peterborough v Reading | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
| Oxford Utd v Stevenage | FA Cup | Sat 7 Nov, 15:00 |
Statz fixture projections for the 2026/27 season model each game from team form, expected goals, home and away splits and recent results, across the 14 games on this page on Saturday 7 November, producing win, draw and away probabilities, projected goals and both teams to score.
Statz projects Gillingham v Barrow on Saturday 7 November at 50% Gillingham, 26% the draw and 24% Barrow, with 2.7 goals projected and both teams to score at 54%; it is the free game on the page.
The bookmaker odds on Statz fixture projections come from 5 bookmakers, Bet365 first with Ladbrokes, Coral, Midnite and BoyleSports where they price the market, so each game shows the best price beside the model's probability and the edge between the two.
The edge column on Statz fixture projections is the model's probability minus the bookmaker's implied probability for the match result, both teams to score and over/under markets, so a 55% projection against a price implying 45% shows a 10-point edge.
A game joins Statz fixture projections once it is inside the projection window and its data has landed, which gives 14 games on Saturday 7 November on this page; competitions without enough stats coverage, and games too far ahead, wait until their data is in.
Statz fixture projections list games by kick-off by default, all 14 of them, and you can re-sort by the best match result edge, the over 1.5 or 2.5 goals edge or the both teams to score edge to bring the biggest prices to the top.