FA Cup Fixture Projections

Win probabilities, projected goals, market odds and edges for upcoming matches.

FA Cup Fixture Projections

Every match projection on this page is generated by the Statz model, trained on historical team data, current form and live betting markets to surface where the real value sits. Each fixture shows win probabilities, projected goal totals, BTTS likelihood, and over/under edge indicators calculated against Bet365's implied odds. It's not a tipster's gut call. It's a model-driven view of what the market is mispricing. Use the filters to zero in on competition, market type or minimum edge threshold, then click straight through to place the bet. Updated before kick-off across all live competitions.

Frequently Asked Questions

How are fixture projections calculated?

Statz fixture projections for the 2026/27 season model each game from team form, expected goals, home and away splits and recent results, producing win, draw and away probabilities, projected goals and both teams to score.

Where do the bookmaker odds come from?

The bookmaker odds on Statz fixture projections come from Bet365 first with Ladbrokes, Coral, Midnite and BoyleSports where they price the market, so each game shows the best price beside the model's probability and the edge between the two.

What does the "edge" column show?

The edge column on Statz fixture projections is the model's probability minus the bookmaker's implied probability for the match result, both teams to score and over/under markets, so a 55% projection against a price implying 45% shows a 10-point edge.

Why are some fixtures not listed?

A game joins Statz fixture projections once it is inside the projection window and its data has landed; competitions without enough stats coverage, and games too far ahead, wait until their data is in.

How are matches sorted?

Statz fixture projections list games by kick-off by default, and you can re-sort by the best match result edge, the over 1.5 or 2.5 goals edge or the both teams to score edge to bring the biggest prices to the top.

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