Saturday’s late kickoff in Philadelphia brings the second Club World Cup quarter-final as Palmeiras take on Chelsea at 2 am BST. Chelsea stand as the Premier League’s last hope after Man City’s surprise elimination in the Round of 16, but they’ll be without midfield lynchpin Moisés Caicedo due to suspension. Palmeiras arrive unbeaten and confident, having edged out Botafogo in extra time and having only conceded two goals in the tournament to date. Statz.ai is predicting a Chelsea 2-1 victory. Read on for our Palmeiras vs Chelsea Betting Tips.
Cole Palmer to Heat Up?
It hasn’t been the best tournament so far for the Englishman, who’s yet to find his shooting boots despite registering six shots each against Benfica and LAFC. Both sides come into this quarter-final clash ranking high for total shots per game — Palmeiras average 17.2andChelsea 16.5, with projections expecting the Premier League side to outshoot that tally to hit around 18 attempts here. Several Chelsea attackers rate well in the shot markets, with Cole Palmer, Liam Delap, Noni Madueke, andAndrey Santos Neto all projected for around three shots apiece, making individual shot bets or builder combos worth exploring. For Palmeiras Mauricio and Victor Roque could provide the threat from the underdogs, with attacking midfielder Mauricio especially attractive on the shots on target market – 5/6 (bet365),and is averaging 1.1 shots on target a game over the last ten games.
Card Market Watch
Potential Yellow Card Bet Builder (Bet 365)
Referee Alireza Faghani can be volatile at times, but isn’t always the most reliable for cards — averaging just two bookings per game across his last seven A-League matches. However, he’s loosened the pockets at this tournament, handing out four and five yellows in his two appearances so far. That uptick makes the fouls and cards market more interesting, particularly with Palmeires having the second most bookings, 11, in the tournament. That makes the cards market worth a look here, especially with Palmeiras’ Richard RÃos topping the booking projections. With a foul expectation close to three, but is just 5/4 (Bet365) for a card. On the Chelsea side, Liam Delap—who picked up a booking in the group stage against Brazilian side Flamengo—ranks highest for a potential slice of cheese among likely starters and is 3/1 (Bet365) to see yellow again. A RÃos + Delap booking double comes in at 8/1, which could be a solid long shot in a match that could get heated.
Betting Tips and Key Angles
Projected Scoreline (Statz.ai): Palmeiras 1-2 Chelsea
Top Player Projections:
Final Word
A shot heavy and Palmeiras tackle approach could prove dividends. The Brazilians’ Giay, Moreno, Micael, Rios and Fuchs all project for more than two tackles here. Add in a Mauricio shot on target and things get even better. Chelsea have shown their vulnerability at this tournament and a surprise result is not off the table.