Updated 5 November 2026.
Peterborough United host Reading at the Weston Homes Stadium on Saturday 7 November in the FA Cup 1st Round, with kick-off at 20:00 UK. Both clubs play in League One, and they come in on different runs: Peterborough have won once in their last ten games, while Reading have taken seven points from their last five league games.
We give both teams to score a 67% chance, and Peterborough have conceded eleven goals across their last five matches in all competitions.
Peterborough have not won any of their last five games, which began with a 2-2 draw with Burton and a 4-1 loss at Huddersfield. A 1-1 at Bromley followed, then a 2-0 defeat at Bradford in the Carabao Cup. Most recently they lost 2-0 at home to Luton, so they have failed to score in their last two and have conceded in each of their last five. Across their last ten they have won one, drawn four and lost five, and their last two home games were a draw with Burton and a defeat to Luton.
Reading have been steadier, winning four, drawing three and losing three of their last ten. They won 1-0 against Orient and 2-1 against Barnsley at home, then drew 0-0 at Plymouth. They lost 2-0 at Oxford United on Wednesday, and had gone down 1-0 at Wigan before those two wins. Away from home they have lost twice and drawn once in their last three on the road. Reading have scored in only two of their last five league games and kept clean sheets in two.
Our projections put Peterborough's goals at 1.55 and Reading's goals at 1.87, with Reading ahead on shots on target, 4.73 to 4.31.
Peterborough United possible starting lineup:
Bass; Johnston, Mills, Feeney, Mendonça; Kelly, O'Connor, Shofowoke; Edwards, Williams, Leonard
Reading possible starting lineup:
Pereira; Godwin-Malife, O'Connor, Roberts, Dorsett; Rinomhota, Wing; Lisbie, Stokes, Marriott; Patton
Harry Leonard and Owura Edwards are in the front three of Peterborough's possible XI.
For Reading, Lewis Wing is in the possible midfield, with Jack Marriott and Sean Patton in the attack, for a side that has not scored in its last three away games.
We back Reading to win at 2.38 with midnite. Peterborough are 2.70 at bet365 and the draw is 3.60 at midnite. Both teams to score is 1.57 at bet365, and over 2.5 goals is 1.67, also at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Peterborough United win | 2.70 (bet365) | 32% |
| Draw | 3.60 (midnite) | 23% |
| Reading win | 2.38 (midnite) | 45% |
| Both teams to score | 1.57 (bet365) | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 (bet365) | 66% |
We predict Peterborough United 1-1 Reading. 1-1 is the single likeliest scoreline at 10%, so a draw is in play, though we make Reading the more likely winners at 45%, against 32% for Peterborough. Both teams to score comes in at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 66%. Peterborough keep a clean sheet in 15% of our simulations and Reading in 21%, and 1-2 and 2-1 are the next likeliest scores at 9% and 7%. Over 1.5 goals is 86%. We project Reading for 12.85 fouls and 1.76 yellow cards, against 9.30 fouls and 1.40 yellow cards for Peterborough.
Peterborough United vs Reading in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Saturday 7 November 2026 at the Weston Homes Stadium. Both clubs play in League One, and we make Reading 45% to win.
We predict Peterborough United 1-1 Reading in the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round on 7 November 2026, with 1-1 the single likeliest scoreline at 10%. We still give Reading a 45% chance of winning, Peterborough United 32% and the draw 23%.
Reading are favourites at 2.38 with midnite for the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round tie, and our model agrees, giving them a 45% chance. Peterborough United are 2.70 at bet365, and the draw is 3.60 at midnite.
We give both teams to score a 67% chance in this 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round tie between Peterborough United and Reading, with over 2.5 goals at 66%. Peterborough have conceded 11 goals in their last 5 matches, and we project Reading for 1.87 goals.
Peterborough United have won 1 of their last 10 games heading into the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round tie with Reading, and have lost 3 of their last 5 across all competitions. Their most recent match was a 2-0 home defeat to Luton on 31 October.
Reading have taken 7 points from their last 5 League One games before the 2026/27 FA Cup 1st Round tie at Peterborough United, with 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats. Their latest result was a 2-0 loss at Oxford United on 4 November.
Predicted lineups for Peterborough vs Reading in the 2026/27 FA Cup on Saturday 7 November 2026: Peterborough United may start Bass; Johnston, Mills, Feeney, Mendonça; Kelly, O'Connor, Shofowoke; Edwards, Williams, Leonard. Reading may start Pereira; Godwin-Malife, O'Connor, Roberts, Dorsett; Rinomhota, Wing; Lisbie, Stokes, Marriott; Patton.