Updated 5 November 2026.
AGF welcome Sporting Braga to Vejlby Stadion on Thursday 5 November 2026, kick-off 17:45 UK, in the Europa Conference League league stage. The Danish side are still looking for their first win in the competition, while Braga arrive with a defence that has been hard to break down and a 3-0 league win last time out.
We make Braga the likelier winners at 42%, with AGF on 30% and the draw on 28%. Our predicted score is 1-1, the likeliest single score at 13%.
AGF sit 26th of 36 in the league phase table with 1 point from 2 games: a 1-1 home draw with Egnatia and a 1-0 defeat at Gent. They have scored once and conceded twice in Europe.
Domestically it has been patchy: AGF have won two of their last ten games in all competitions. They drew 1-1 at Copenhagen on 18 October, beat Viborg FF 2-1 at home on 25 October and lost 2-0 at Brøndby IF on Sunday. Their shots on target average of 1.5 a game is the 14th fewest of 165 European clubs, though they have kept it tight at the back, with goals against at the 27th fewest.
Braga are 16th with 3 points from 2 games. They lost 3-0 at Copenhagen on matchday one, then beat Gent 2-0 at home on 22 October. Gent also beat AGF 1-0 on matchday one.
In Liga Portugal they lost 1-0 at Nacional, then bounced back with a 3-0 win over Famalicão on 1 November. Their goals against average is the 6th fewest of 165 European clubs and their clean-sheet rate of 88% is the 5th highest. Going forward they average 5 shots on target a game, the 49th most.
AGF possible starting lineup:
Hansen; Mölgaard, Tingager, Luka Callø Carstensen, Bogere; Rasmus Carstensen, Knudsen, Emmery; Arnstad, Bech, McCowatt
Sporting Braga possible starting lineup:
Bernardo; VÃctor Gómez, VÃtor Carvalho, Lagerbielke, Bajrami; Gorby, Moutinho, Gabri MartÃnez; Horta, Pau VÃctor, Milosevic
VÃctor Gómez has had a shot in each of his last five games, nine in total, and is 1.44 at bet365 to have one again.
Pau VÃctor has put a shot on target in four of his last five and is 1.30 at bet365 to do so here.
Centre-back Gustaf Lagerbielke has had a shot in four of his last five. He is 1.80 at bet365 for a shot.
For AGF, Kristian Arnstad has committed a foul in four of his last five and averages 1.4 a game. He is 1.22 at Midnite to commit one.
We make Braga the favourites at 42%, and they are 1.95 at bet365, with AGF at 3.90 at Coral and the draw at 3.60 at Midnite. Both teams to score is 1.80 at bet365 and over 2.5 goals is 1.95 at Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| AGF win | 3.90 | 30% |
| Draw | 3.60 | 28% |
| Braga win | 1.95 | 42% |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 48% |
1-1 is the likeliest score at 13%, though we make Braga more likely to win. We project 1.17 goals for AGF and 1.42 for Braga, with 0-1 and 1-2 the next most likely results. We give AGF a 24% chance of a clean sheet against a Braga side whose own clean-sheet rate is the 5th highest of 165 European clubs.
Our prediction: AGF 1-1 Sporting Braga.
AGF vs Braga in the Europa Conference League league stage kicks off at 17:45 UK on Thursday 5 November 2026 at Vejlby Stadion. It is the third league-phase game of the 2026-27 campaign for both clubs, with AGF 26th of 36 on 1 point and Braga 16th on 3.
Our prediction for AGF vs Braga in the Europa Conference League is a 1-1 draw, which has a 13% chance as the likeliest single score. We still make Sporting Braga the likelier winners at 42%, against 30% for AGF.
Sporting Braga are favourites against AGF in this Europa Conference League league-stage game, with a 42% win chance in our model. They are 1.95 at bet365, while AGF are 3.90 at Coral.
Our model gives both teams to score a 53% chance in AGF vs Braga in the 2026 Europa Conference League. Both teams to score is 1.80 at bet365, and over 2.5 goals has a 48% chance.
Braga are 16th of 36 with 3 points from 2 games in the 2026 Europa Conference League league stage, while AGF are 26th with 1 point from 2. AGF have a draw and a defeat, and Braga a win and a defeat.
VÃctor Gómez has had at least one shot in each of his last 5 games, 9 in total, ahead of Braga's Europa Conference League trip to AGF. He is 1.44 at bet365 to have a shot on 5 November 2026.
AGF's possible starting lineup has Hansen in goal with Arnstad, Bech and McCowatt in attack for the Europa Conference League game on 5 November 2026. Braga's has Bernardo in goal, with Horta, Pau VÃctor and Milosevic leading the line.