Updated 5 November 2026.
Thun host Hearts at the Stockhorn Arena on Thursday 5 November, kick-off 17:45 UK, in the league stage of the Europa Conference League. Neither side has won yet. Thun have lost both of their games, to FC Twente and Hajduk Split, both by a single goal, and have yet to score. Hearts have a point from a draw and a defeat.
Both teams are in the bottom nine of the 36-team table, and we have them level at 38% each to win.
Thun sit 32nd in the league-stage table with no points and no goals from two games. They did find the net at the weekend, though: a 5-4 win at Lausanne in the Super League on 1 November, which ended a run of four defeats in a row. Before that they went down 3-2 at home to Lugano. In Europe this season they are averaging 21 fouls a game, the 3rd most, and conceding one a game, the 27th fewest.
Hearts are 28th with a point. A 1-1 draw at home to Nordsjælland was followed by a 2-0 defeat at Trabzonspor. In the Scottish Premiership they were beaten 7-1 at Celtic on 18 October, then won 2-0 at Motherwell and drew 2-2 at home with Rangers in their last two league games.
Hearts' shots on target average 4.75 a game, the 59th most, and both teams have scored in 75% of their games, the 41st highest rate. They also collect cards, with 3.25 a game, the 21st most.
Thun possible starting lineup:
Steffen; Mambwa, Fehr, Bürki, Bamert; Roth, Käit, Maier; Reichmuth, Labeau, Dursun
Hearts possible starting lineup:
Reus; Altena, McCart, Fagan-Walcott, Kingsley; Mendy, Pollock, Kerjota; Braga, McPake, Wilson
Cláudio Braga has had a shot on target in four of his last five games, with three in one of them, and averages 1.4 a game over that spell.
Laurent Mendy has had at least one shot in each of his last five matches and averages two a game.
For Thun, Fabio Fehr is the Thun player our model has 3rd likeliest in the match to have two or more shots.
At the back, Jan Bamert has committed a foul in each of his last five games and averages 2.4 a game. Marco Bürki has fouled in each of his last five too, at 1.4 a game.
Our model has little to separate the sides: Thun and Hearts are both 38% to win, with the draw at 24%. The bookmakers lean slightly to the hosts, who are 2.30 at midnite, with Hearts 3.00 at bet365 and the draw 3.75 at midnite.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Thun win | 2.30 (midnite) | 38% |
| Draw | 3.75 (midnite) | 24% |
| Hearts win | 3.00 (bet365) | 38% |
| Both teams to score | 1.44 (bet365) | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.50 (bet365) | 62% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%, with 1-2 and 2-1 next at 8% each. We project 1.59 goals for each side, and give both teams to score 64% and over 2.5 goals 62%. We have Thun at 14.2 shots a game and Hearts at 13.7.
Braga to have a shot on target is 1.40 at bet365. Mendy to have a shot is 1.25 at bet365 and midnite, and he has done it in each of his last five.
Thun vs Hearts in the Europa Conference League league stage kicks off at 17:45 UK on Thursday 5 November 2026 at the Stockhorn Arena. It is the third league-stage game for both clubs this season.
Our prediction for Thun vs Hearts in the 2026 Europa Conference League is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single scoreline at 11%. We have the two sides level at 38% to win, with the draw at 24%.
Neither side is a clear favourite in Thun vs Hearts: our model gives Thun and Hearts 38% each to win this 2026 Europa Conference League game. Bookmakers lean marginally to Thun at 2.30 with midnite, against 3.00 for Hearts at bet365.
We rate both teams to score at 64% in Thun vs Hearts in the 2026 Europa Conference League, with bet365 offering 1.44. Hearts have seen both sides score in 75% of their games this season, the 41st highest rate.
Ahead of Thun vs Hearts, Thun are 32nd of 36 with 0 points from 2 games, and Hearts are 28th with 1 point from 2, in the 2026 Europa Conference League league stage. Neither club has won yet.
Cláudio Braga has had a shot on target in 4 of his last 5 games for Hearts, averaging 1.4 per game. He is 1.40 at bet365 to have one against Thun in the 2026 Europa Conference League.
For Thun vs Hearts in the 2026 Europa Conference League (17:45 UK, Thursday 5 November), Thun's predicted XI is Steffen; Mambwa, Fehr, Bürki, Bamert; Roth, Käit, Maier; Reichmuth, Labeau, Dursun. Hearts' is Reus; Altena, McCart, Fagan-Walcott, Kingsley; Mendy, Pollock, Kerjota; Braga, McPake, Wilson.