Updated 4 November 2026.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen host Olympique Marseille at the BayArena on Thursday 5 November, kick-off 8pm UK, in the Europa League league stage. Leverkusen have won all three of their games in the competition without conceding a goal. Marseille have lost all three and sit 34th of 36.
Leverkusen are 3rd in the Europa League table with 9 points from 3 games and a goal record of 8 for, 0 against. They average 11 shots on target per game, the most of any team in the competition, and have kept a clean sheet in every outing. Their last European result was a 2-0 win away at OFI on 22 October, and before that a 4-0 win at Lech Poznań.
Domestically it has been rougher. Leverkusen lost 3-0 at Hoffenheim on 25 October and then went down 4-2 at home to Stuttgart last Saturday, so they have conceded seven in two Bundesliga games after letting in none in Europe. They are also among the most foul-heavy sides in the competition, averaging 17.67 fouls per game, the 5th most.
Marseille have scored once in three European games, the 12th fewest in the competition, and they have shipped 6. They lost 1-0 at Sturm Graz on 22 October and 1-0 at home to Olympiacos before that. In Ligue 1 they have bounced back, with a 2-0 win over Toulouse on 1 November and a 4-3 win over Le Havre a week earlier. In Europe they average just 3 shots on target per game, the 24th fewest, and they concede 2 goals a game.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen possible starting lineup:
Blaswich; Vázquez, Quansah, Medina, Gutiérrez; Fernández, GarcÃa; Hofmann, Tillman, Moreira; Schick
Olympique Marseille possible starting lineup:
de Lange; Weah, Aguerd, Meïté, Garcia; Kondogbia, Nnadi; Paixão, Harit, Gomes; Gouiri
Igor Paixão has had two or more shots in each of Marseille's three Europa League games, averaging 3.3 a game. He is 1.60 at Ladbrokes to do it again.
Aleix GarcÃa has been busy in the middle for Leverkusen, with two or more shots and a tackle in each of the three Europa League games. The two-shot line is 2.25 at bet365 and the tackle line is 1.40.
Afonso Moreira has put a shot on target in all three European games, averaging 1.7 per game, and is 1.40 at bet365 to do it again.
Malik Tillman has had at least one shot and one foul in each of the three Europa League games, averaging 2.3 shots and 2.0 fouls. The shot is 1.10 at bet365 and the foul 1.48 at Coral.
Timothy Weah has had a shot in each of his last five games and is 1.73 at bet365. Facundo Medina has made a tackle in four of his last five and is 1.25 at bet365.
We back Leverkusen, who are 1.33 at Ladbrokes to win. Marseille are 9.00 at Midnite and the draw is 6.00 at bet365. On the goals markets, both teams to score is 1.73 at Ladbrokes and over 2.5 goals is 1.40 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Leverkusen win | 1.33 (Ladbrokes) | 63% |
| Draw | 6.00 (bet365) | 20% |
| Marseille win | 9.00 (Midnite) | 17% |
| Both teams to score | 1.73 (Ladbrokes) | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 (bet365) | 66% |
We predict a 2-1 Leverkusen win, the likeliest single score at 10%, with 1-1 next at 9%. We project 2.28 goals for Leverkusen against 1.12 for Marseille, and we give Leverkusen a 33% chance of a clean sheet. Marseille have conceded in each of their three European games, and we put both teams to score at 61%.
Leverkusen vs Marseille kicks off at 20:00 UK time on Thursday 5 November 2026 at the BayArena in the 2026-27 Europa League league stage. It is the fourth league-stage game for both clubs, with Leverkusen 3rd on 9 points and Marseille 34th on 0.
We predict a 2-1 win for Bayer 04 Leverkusen over Olympique Marseille in the 2026-27 Europa League. We give Leverkusen a 63% chance of winning, with a draw at 20% and a Marseille win at 17%.
Leverkusen are favourites at 1.33 with Ladbrokes to beat Marseille in the 2026-27 Europa League on 5 November 2026. They are 3rd in the 36-team table with 9 points from 3 wins, while Marseille are 34th with none.
We give both teams to score a 61% chance in Leverkusen vs Marseille in the 2026-27 Europa League, with Ladbrokes at 1.73. Leverkusen have kept 3 clean sheets in 3 European games, but Marseille have scored in 1 of their 3.
Igor Paixão has had 2 or more shots in each of his last 3 Europa League games, averaging 3.3 per game, ahead of Marseille's trip to Leverkusen in 2026-27. Ladbrokes offer 1.60 on him to have 2 or more shots again.
Leverkusen are 3rd in the 2026-27 Europa League table with 9 points from 3 games, and a goal record of 8 for and 0 against. Marseille are 34th of 36 with 0 points, 1 goal scored and 6 conceded.
Leverkusen's predicted XI for the 5 November 2026 Europa League game has Blaswich in goal and Schick up front, with Tillman, Hofmann and Moreira behind. Marseille's has de Lange in goal and Gouiri leading the line, with Paixão, Harit and Gomes in support.