Lech Poznań sit bottom of the 36-team Europa League table with no points and eight goals conceded in two games. On Thursday 22 October, kick-off 17:45 UK, they host Sunderland, who are 9th with six points from two, at the Enea stadion. It is a Europa League league stage game where the two sides have arrived in very different shape, and the bookmakers have Sunderland as clear favourites at 1.67 with bet365.
Lech Poznań are 4.80 at Ladbrokes to win it, with the draw at 4.20 at Coral.
Lech Poznań's European results so far have been heavy ones. They lost 4-0 to Palace on matchday one and 4-0 to Leverkusen last Thursday, so both defeats came by the same margin. In the Ekstraklasa it is a different picture: they beat Korona Kielce 6-1 on Sunday, and before that won 4-1 at Śląsk Wrocław and 5-1 against Radomiak Radom. Across their last six games they average 2.5 goals scored and 6.67 shots on target a game, and they have conceded 1.67 a game.
Sunderland have won both of their Europa League games, 1-0 against AZ and 2-1 away at Torreense. Their Premier League run is less comfortable: a 5-3 loss at Man City, a 2-0 home defeat by Brighton and a 2-0 loss at B'mouth on Sunday. In Europe they have conceded 0.5 goals a game, win 10.5 corners a game, commit 16.5 fouls and collect 3 cards a game.
Lech Poznań possible starting lineup:
Lis; Pereira, Skrzypczak, Gurgul, Yegbe; Berggren, Kozubal; Wålemark, Bengtsson, Palma; Ishak
Sunderland possible starting lineup:
Roefs; Hume, Alderete, O'Nien, Methalie; Ahoka Jules, Sadiki; Angulo, Tuterov, Rigg; Fofana
Mikael Ishak has had two or more shots in each of his last five games, with 16 in total, an average of 3.2. At bet365, two or more shots is 1.29.
Patrik Wålemark has had a shot on target in each of his last five games, nine in all, and is 1.67 at bet365 to manage at least one again.
For Sunderland, Dayann Methalie has made at least one tackle in each of his last five, nine altogether, and that is 1.22 at bet365. Jules Ahoka Jules has committed at least one foul in each of his last five, with 10 in total and a high of five. He is 1.22 at bet365 to commit one again.
The bookmakers make Sunderland the favourites, and the price of 1.67 at bet365 is the shortest on the board. Lech Poznań are 4.80 and the draw is 4.20.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Lech Poznań to win | 4.80 (Ladbrokes) | - |
| Draw | 4.20 (Coral) | - |
| Sunderland to win | 1.67 (bet365) | - |
| Both teams to score | 1.80 (bet365) | - |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 (bet365) | - |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 (bet365) | - |
The goals markets are where the interest lies: Lech Poznań have scored 2.5 a game over their last six, and over 2.5 goals is 1.80 with bet365, but Sunderland have conceded 0.5 a game in Europe and both teams to score is also 1.80.
For the bet builder, Wålemark to have a shot on target, Ishak two or more shots, Methalie a tackle and Ahoka Jules a foul all have a five-from-five recent record and combine at 3.21.