Updated 31 October 2026.
Benfica host Alverca at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica on Monday 2 November, with kick-off at 20:15 UK. The league's top scorers meet a side that has conceded in eight of its nine games, and Benfica's two main shooters have both had 2+ shots in every league game this season.
Benfica sit 2nd in the Liga Portugal table on 22 points from nine games, while Alverca are 8th on 11. Our model gives the hosts a 78% chance of winning, and the bookmakers agree.
Benfica have won seven of their nine league games, drawn one and lost one, scoring 26 and conceding 8. At 2.89 goals a game they score more than any side in the division, and they also have the most shots on target and the most corners. In 89% of their league games the match has gone over 2.5 goals, the highest rate in the league.
Their last five brought four wins. They won 2-1 at Santa Clara on 26 October, after a 4-1 win away at Omonia on 22 October and a 4-1 win against Celtic on 15 October, both in the Europa League. Before those they beat Vitória SC 2-0 on 11 October. The only defeat in the five was a 3-1 loss at Porto on 20 September.
Alverca have won three, drawn two and lost four. They score 1.44 a game, the 6th most in the league, but keep a clean sheet in only 11% of their games, the 6th lowest rate. Both teams have scored in 67% of their matches, the 2nd highest figure in the division.
Their recent form is mixed. They lost 1-0 at home to Arouca on 24 October, but before that won 4-1 at Famalicão and beat Rio Ave 1-0. They give away the 4th most fouls in the league, at 14 a game.
Benfica possible starting lineup:
Soares; Bah, Araújo, Lenglet, Dahl; Aursnes, Palhinha, Sudakov; Prestianni, Rafa Silva, Pavlidis
Alverca possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Bojang, Sergi Gómez, James, Spencer; Gui, Lucas, Chissumba; Oliveira, Camara, Figueiredo
Vangelis Pavlidis has had 2+ shots in all nine of Benfica's league games, averaging 3.3 a game. He is 1.03 at bet365 for 2+ shots.
Gianluca Prestianni has matched that run, with 2+ shots in nine straight games and 3.7 a game. He is 1.04 at bet365 for 2+ shots.
João Palhinha has made a tackle in seven straight games, averaging three, and has committed a foul in five in a row.
For Alverca, Figueiredo has had a shot in four straight games and is 1.44 at bet365 for a shot. He has also committed a foul in each of his last four. Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui has made a tackle in six straight games, averaging three a game.
We back Benfica to win, a result priced at 1.18 with Ladbrokes. For the player markets, Pavlidis and Prestianni are 1.03 and 1.04 at bet365 for 2+ shots, and both have done it in every league game this season.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica win | 1.18 (Ladbrokes) | 78% |
| Draw | 8.00 (bet365) | 15% |
| Alverca win | 15.00 (bet365) | 7% |
| Both teams to score | 2.05 (bet365) | 50% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 (bet365) | 67% |
We predict a 2-0 Benfica win, projecting 2.68 goals for the hosts and 0.75 for Alverca. We give Benfica a 47% chance of a clean sheet, and 3-0 and 2-1 are the next likeliest scorelines. We project Benfica for 22 shots, 7.4 of them on target, against 7.9 shots and 2.8 on target for Alverca.
Benfica vs Alverca in Liga Portugal 2026/27 kicks off at 20:15 UK on Monday 2 November 2026, at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica. Benfica are 2nd on 22 points and Alverca are 8th on 11 after nine games each.
We predict a 2-0 Benfica win over Alverca in Liga Portugal 2026/27, with a 12% chance of that exact score. Our model gives Benfica a 78% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Alverca 7%.
We give both teams to score a 50% chance in Benfica vs Alverca, Liga Portugal 2026/27. Alverca's games have seen both teams score 67% of the time, the 2nd highest rate in the league.
Benfica are 2nd in Liga Portugal 2026/27 with 22 points from 9 games, and Alverca are 8th with 11 points from 9. Benfica have scored 26 goals and conceded 8, while Alverca have scored 13 and conceded 13.
Vangelis Pavlidis and Gianluca Prestianni have each had 2+ shots in 9 straight Liga Portugal 2026/27 games for Benfica. Pavlidis averages 3.3 shots a game over that run, while Prestianni averages 3.7.
Benfica's predicted XI for Benfica vs Alverca in Liga Portugal 2026/27 on 2 November is Soares; Bah, Araújo, Lenglet, Dahl; Aursnes, Palhinha, Sudakov; Prestianni, Rafa Silva, Pavlidis. Alverca are predicted to line up with Matheus in goal and Camara and Figueiredo in attack.