Updated 24 October 2026.
TSG Hoffenheim welcome Bayer 04 Leverkusen to the PreZero Arena on Sunday 25 October, with kick-off at 14:30 UK. Hoffenheim sit 14th on six points. Leverkusen are 4th on 13, and they arrive having won six straight in all competitions.
Leverkusen have the better record, but we make this a close game, with 1-1 the likeliest single score.
Hoffenheim have lost four of their six Bundesliga games and conceded 14 goals, which is the 5th most in the division, but they've also scored 11. Both sides have scored in all six of Hoffenheim's league games, the highest rate in the league, and every one of them has gone over 2.5 goals.
Results across all competitions have picked up lately. Hoffenheim beat Lyon 3-0 in the Europa League on Thursday in their latest outing, and won 2-1 at Gladbach in last Sunday's league game. Before that they lost 2-3 to BeÅŸiktaÅŸ and 2-3 to Hamburg, both at home. They take the 3rd most fouls per game in the league, and they win the 3rd most corners.
Leverkusen have won their last six, a run that includes a 2-0 win at OFI in midweek and a 2-1 home win over Freiburg. Before that came a 4-0 win at Lech Poznań and a 4-3 win at Mainz, and they beat RB Leipzig 2-0 in September. They score 2.67 a game, the 2nd most in the league, and win the 2nd most corners. At the back they concede 1.5 a game, the 5th fewest, and at the other end they have the 5th most shots on target, at 6.17 a game.
TSG Hoffenheim possible starting lineup:
Baumann; Coufal, Hranac, Machida, Rots; Avdullahu, Prass; Conté, Hlozek, Lemperle; Asllani
Bayer 04 Leverkusen possible starting lineup:
Flekken; Quansah, Tapsoba, Medina, Gutiérrez; GarcÃa, Fernández; Diaby, Maza, Moreira; Schick
Patrik Schick has had a shot on target in six straight games, averaging 1.7, and has had a shot of any kind in all six, 3.8 a game. A shot on target is 1.29 at bet365.
Ibrahim Maza has had at least one shot in six straight league games, averaging 3.3.
Bambasé Conté has made two or more tackles in four straight games and averages 2.3. He has also had at least two shots in each of his last five, 3.2 on average, and two or more shots is 1.40 at bet365.
Koki Machida has committed a foul in each of his last five games, averaging 2.6. One or more fouls is 1.25 at bet365 and 1.48 at Ladbrokes.
Tim Lemperle has fouled in four straight games and averages 1.5, priced at 1.33 with Ladbrokes.
Leverkusen are favourites at 2.30 with bet365, and we make them 39% to win, Hoffenheim 37% and the draw 24%. Hoffenheim are 2.88 at bet365 and the draw is 4.00 at Ladbrokes.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim to win | 2.88 (bet365) | 37% |
| Draw | 4.00 (Ladbrokes) | 24% |
| Leverkusen to win | 2.30 (bet365) | 39% |
| Both teams to score | 1.36 (Ladbrokes) | 69% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 (bet365) | 67% |
Our projection is 1.71 goals for Hoffenheim and 1.76 for Leverkusen. We make both teams to score 69% likely and over 2.5 goals 67%. Hoffenheim have scored and conceded in every league game, while Leverkusen have kept a clean sheet in a third of theirs, the 4th highest rate in the league.
1-1 is the likeliest score, though we make Leverkusen slightly more likely to win. Our prediction is Hoffenheim 1-1 Leverkusen, with 1-2 and 2-1 the next most likely scorelines.
On the player markets, the runs above point to Schick's shots on target, Conté's shots and the foul lines for Machida and Lemperle.
Kick-off at the PreZero Arena is 14:30 UK on Sunday 25 October 2026.
We predict Hoffenheim 1-1 Leverkusen. We make Leverkusen slightly more likely to win, at 39% to Hoffenheim's 37%, with the draw at 24%.
Leverkusen, at 2.30 with bet365. Hoffenheim are 2.88 and the draw is 4.00.
We make it 69% likely, and both teams have scored in all six of Hoffenheim's league games. Both teams to score is 1.36 at Ladbrokes.
Our model gives it a 67% chance. All six of Hoffenheim's league games have gone over 2.5 goals, and Leverkusen's goals-for rate is the 2nd highest in the league.
Patrik Schick has had a shot on target in six straight games and a shot of any kind in all six. Ibrahim Maza has also had at least one shot in six in a row.
Leverkusen are 4th with 13 points from six games. Hoffenheim are 14th with six points.
Hoffenheim: Baumann; Coufal, Hranac, Machida, Rots; Avdullahu, Prass; Conté, Hlozek, Lemperle; Asllani. Leverkusen: Flekken; Quansah, Tapsoba, Medina, Gutiérrez; GarcÃa, Fernández; Diaby, Maza, Moreira; Schick.