Updated 30 October 2026.
FC Union Berlin host FC Köln at Stadion An der Alten Försterei on Sunday 1 November, kick-off 14:30 UK. Union are 17th in the Bundesliga with 6 points from 7 games, and they've shipped 18 goals in that time. Köln are 12th on 8 points, two wins from seven and a defence that has kept things tighter.
Neither side scores freely: Union average 0.86 goals a game, the 4th fewest in the Bundesliga, and Köln 1.14, the 5th fewest. Both teams have scored in 71% of Köln's games, the 4th highest rate in the league. We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 13%.
Union's record is 1 win, 3 draws and 3 defeats. A 7-0 defeat at Bayern and a 3-1 home loss to Schalke came in September, and they are three games unbeaten since. They beat Elversberg 1-0, held Dortmund 0-0 at home and came away from Augsburg with a 1-1 draw. Those three games brought only two goals.
Union concede 2.57 goals a game, the 2nd most in the division, though they have kept a clean sheet in 29% of their matches, the 5th highest rate. They take 3.57 corners a game, the 2nd fewest, and sit 4th fewest for shots on target, at 3.86 a game.
Köln have drawn 0-0 with Schalke in their last outing, after a 1-0 defeat at Frankfurt and a 2-1 home win over Gladbach. Before that came a 2-1 loss at Hamburg and a 1-1 draw with Bremen. They concede 1.57 a game, the 6th fewest, and average 6 corners a game, the 5th most.
FC Union Berlin possible starting lineup:
Rönnow; Haberer, Van Den Bosch, Querfeld, Rothe; Khedira, Schäfer, Aebischer; Jeong, Skarke, Latte Lath
FC Köln possible starting lineup:
Schwäbe; Castro-Montes, Schmied, Simpson-Pusey, Sosa; Krauß, Okon-Engstler; Maina, Moore, El Mala; Bülter
Said El Mala has had at least three shots in four straight games, averaging 5 a game over that run, and he is 1.53 at Ladbrokes to keep it going.
Tom Krauß has made three or more tackles in three straight games, averaging 6, and he's 1.83 at bet365 to make it four.
For Union, Tom Rothe has made at least one tackle in seven straight games, averaging 3 a game. Rani Khedira has committed two or more fouls in four in a row and is 2.20 at bet365 for another. Janik Haberer has had a shot in each of his last four, and 1.67 at bet365 is on offer for a fifth.
Our model leans slightly to Union Berlin, who we make 39% to win against 34% for Köln, with the draw at 27%. The bookmakers see it as close to a three-way toss-up, with Union 2.60 at bet365, the draw 3.70 at Coral and Köln 2.63 at bet365. Both teams to score is 1.53 at bet365 and over 2.5 goals is 1.67.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin win | 2.60 (bet365) | 39% |
| Draw | 3.70 (Coral) | 27% |
| Köln win | 2.63 (bet365) | 34% |
| Both teams to score | 1.53 (bet365) | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 (bet365) | 53% |
1-1 is the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Union slightly more likely to win overall, at 39% against 34% for Köln. We expect 1.45 goals from Union and 1.34 from Köln. Our prediction is Union Berlin 1-1 Köln.
András Schäfer has had at least one shot in each of his last five games and is 1.22 at Ladbrokes and Coral for another. Khedira has fouled at least once in each of his last five, at 1.25 with bet365.
Union Berlin vs Köln in the Bundesliga 2026/27 kicks off at 14:30 UK on Sunday 1 November 2026 at Stadion An der Alten Försterei. Union are 17th with 6 points from 7 games and Köln are 12th with 8 points from the same number of games.
We predict Union Berlin 1-1 Köln in the Bundesliga 2026/27, the likeliest single scoreline at 13%, though we make Union slightly more likely to win overall at 39%, with Köln on 34% and a draw on 27%. We project 1.45 goals for Union and 1.34 for Köln.
We make Union Berlin narrow favourites against Köln in the Bundesliga 2026/27, at 39% to win against 34% for Köln and 27% for a draw. We project 1.45 goals for Union and 1.34 for Köln, so we expect a close game at Stadion An der Alten Försterei.
We give both teams to score a 57% chance in Union Berlin vs Köln, a Bundesliga 2026/27 game. Both teams have scored in 71% of Köln's matches, the 4th highest rate in the league, while Union's games have seen both sides score 43% of the time, the 6th lowest.
In the Bundesliga 2026/27 table Union Berlin are 17th of 18 with 6 points from 7 games, while Köln are 12th with 8 points from 7 games. Union have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 3, scoring 6 and conceding 18; Köln have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 3, scoring 8 and conceding 11.
Said El Mala of Köln has had at least 3 shots in 4 straight games, averaging 5 a game, going into Union Berlin vs Köln in the Bundesliga 2026/27. For Union, Janik Haberer has had a shot in each of his last 4 games.
For the 14:30 UK kick-off on 1 November 2026, Union Berlin's possible starting lineup is Rönnow; Haberer, Van Den Bosch, Querfeld, Rothe; Khedira, Schäfer, Aebischer; Jeong, Skarke, Latte Lath. Köln's is Schwäbe; Castro-Montes, Schmied, Simpson-Pusey, Sosa; Krauß, Okon-Engstler; Maina, Moore, El Mala; Bülter.