Updated 23 October 2026.
Valencia host Villarreal at the Estadio de Mestalla on Saturday 24 October, kick-off 5:30pm UK, and the two sides arrive in very different shapes. Valencia sit 19th in La Liga with 6 points from 9 games, having scored six league goals. Villarreal are 12th on 9 points and have scored 13, and they come off a 4-3 defeat at Liverpool in midweek.
Valencia average 0.67 goals a game, the 3rd fewest in the division. Villarreal average 1.44, the 8th most, and both teams have scored in 67% of Villarreal's league games, the 4th highest rate in the league.
Valencia are unbeaten in two, a 0-0 draw with Athletic Club last Saturday and a 2-2 draw at Racing the weekend before. Before those came a 2-3 home loss to Sociedad, a 1-0 win at Alaves and a 1-0 defeat at Sevilla. They have won once in nine.
Valencia have kept a clean sheet in 33% of their games, the 6th highest rate in the league, though they concede 1.67 a game, the 9th most, and manage just 2.67 shots on target a game, the 2nd fewest.
Villarreal beat Napoli 3-1 in the Champions League, drew 0-0 with Elche on Saturday, then lost 4-3 at Liverpool on Tuesday. Before that came a 1-0 loss at Real Madrid and a 3-1 win over Levante.
Villarreal average 6.33 shots on target a game, the 4th most, and 7.11 corners, the 2nd most. At the back they have kept just one clean sheet in nine, though their 1.44 goals against a game is the 10th fewest in the league. Neither side commits many fouls: Valencia average 10.67 a game, the 5th fewest, and Villarreal 10.78, the 6th fewest.
Valencia possible starting lineup:
Dimitrievski; Maffeo, Tárrega, Diakhaby, Gayà ; Guido RodrÃguez, Pepelu, Raba; Danjuma, Guerra, Rioja
Villarreal possible starting lineup:
Gulácsi; Freeman, Foyth, Veiga, Cardona; Comesaña, Gueye, Moleiro; Akhomach, Ayoze Pérez, Gerard Moreno
Alberto Moleiro has had two or more shots in six straight games and averages 2.7 a game. He is 1.60 at Ladbrokes to keep that run going.
Gerard Moreno has had at least one shot in seven straight, and Santi Comesaña has committed a foul in eight in a row. Moreno is 1.05 at Ladbrokes to shoot again, and Comesaña is 1.18 at bet365 to foul again.
For Valencia, Guido RodrÃguez has made three or more tackles in five straight games and averages 4.2. Three or more tackles is 1.62 at bet365.
Javi Guerra has had three or more shots in three successive games and averages four a game. He is 3.00 at bet365 to make it four.
We back Villarreal, who are 2.15 at bet365 to win. Valencia are 3.30 at bet365 and the draw is 3.70 at Coral.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Valencia win | 3.30 (bet365) | 31% |
| Draw | 3.70 (Coral) | 28% |
| Villarreal win | 2.15 (bet365) | 41% |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 (Midnite) | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 (bet365) | 50% |
Our prediction is Valencia 1-1 Villarreal, the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Villarreal the more likely winners. A draw is in play, and we make Villarreal 41% to win against 31% for Valencia.
Both teams scoring is a 55% chance with us, and over 2.5 goals is 50%. We project Villarreal 1.44 goals to Valencia's 1.23, with 4.6 shots on target to 3.9.
Valencia host Villarreal at the Estadio de Mestalla on Saturday 24 October 2026, kick-off 5:30pm UK.
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Villarreal slightly more likely to win the game.
Villarreal are favourites at 2.15 with bet365. Valencia are 3.30 and the draw is 3.70.
We give both teams to score a 55% chance. Both teams have scored in 67% of Villarreal's league games, the 4th highest rate in La Liga, while Valencia have scored just six goals in nine.
Valencia are 19th with 6 points from 9 games. Villarreal are 12th with 9 points from 9.
Alberto Moleiro has had two or more shots in six straight games, Gerard Moreno has had a shot in seven straight, and Santi Comesaña has committed a foul in eight in a row.
Valencia: Dimitrievski; Maffeo, Tárrega, Diakhaby, Gayà ; Guido RodrÃguez, Pepelu, Raba; Danjuma, Guerra, Rioja. Villarreal: Gulácsi; Freeman, Foyth, Veiga, Cardona; Comesaña, Gueye, Moleiro; Akhomach, Ayoze Pérez, Gerard Moreno.