Updated 5 November 2026.
Bristol City host Norwich City at Ashton Gate Stadium on Saturday 7 November 2026, with a 12:30 UK kick-off. Both sides sit on 18 points after 14 games, but they have got there in very different ways: Bristol City have scored 16 and conceded 19, while Norwich have scored 27 and conceded 24. Games involving Norwich tend to be open, and 79% of theirs this season have gone over 2.5 goals, the highest rate in the division.
Bristol City are 15th in the Championship table with five wins, three draws and six defeats. Wednesday brought a 1-2 home loss to Wolves, their third defeat in five, and it followed a 3-2 win at Bolton on 31 October. Before that came a goalless draw at Stoke, and home losses to Sheffield United and Blackburn, both by 1-0. They score 1.14 a game, the 6th fewest in the league, and they have kept a clean sheet in 14% of matches.
Norwich are 12th with six wins and eight defeats, but have won their last three, beginning with a 3-1 at Charlton, then a 3-2 against Watford, and finally a 4-0 at Derby on 3 November. That followed six defeats in the seven games before it, including home losses to Portsmouth and Southampton. They score 1.93 a game, the 4th most in the division, and average 5.21 shots on target, also the 4th most.
The flip side is at the back. Norwich have kept a clean sheet in 7% of their games, the 4th lowest rate in the league, and they concede 1.71 a game, the 7th most. Bristol City have scored in only two of their last five league games, one goal against Wolves and two at Bolton.
Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Collins; Tanner, McNally, Eissat, Pring; Knight, Williams; Bell, Twine, Cardines; Tolaj
Norwich City possible starting lineup:
Grimshaw; Stacey, Darling, McConville, Yongwa; Field, Wright; Brooks, Maghoma, Musaba; Kvistgaarden
Anthony Musaba has had two or more shots in five straight games, averaging 2.0 over the run, and a shot on target in four straight. He is 1.73 at bet365 for a shot on target and 1.50 for two or more shots.
Mathias Kvistgaarden has had a shot in six games in a row, averaging 1.3 over the run, and is 1.08 at bet365 to extend that.
Jack Stacey has made at least one tackle in 11 consecutive games for Norwich, averaging 3.4 a game over the run. Scott Twine has made a tackle in seven straight for Bristol City, averaging 2.3 a game over the run.
We back Norwich City, who are 2.55 at bet365, and our model makes them 39% to win. Bristol City are 2.63 at Midnite, with our model at 33%, and the draw is 3.50 at Ladbrokes against our 28%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Bristol City win | 2.63 (Midnite) | 33% |
| Draw | 3.50 (Ladbrokes) | 28% |
| Norwich City win | 2.55 (bet365) | 39% |
| Both teams to score | 1.62 (bet365) | 56% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.80 (bet365) | 50% |
We predict a 1-1 draw, the likeliest single score at 13%, though we make Norwich the likelier winner at 39%, against 33% for Bristol City. Our model projects 1.29 goals for Bristol City and 1.40 for Norwich, puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams to score at 56%, and makes Norwich 28% to keep a clean sheet and Bristol City 25%.
For player angles, Sam Field has had a shot in four of his last five and is 1.73 at bet365 for a shot. Jason Knight has committed a foul in four of his last five, at 1.36 with Midnite, and Darlin Yongwa has committed a foul in five straight games, at 1.22 with Midnite.
Prediction: Bristol City 1-1 Norwich City
Bristol City vs Norwich City in the 2026-27 Championship kicks off at 12:30 UK time on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Ashton Gate Stadium. Both sides arrive on 18 points after 14 league games.
We predict a 1-1 draw for this 2026-27 Championship fixture at Ashton Gate, the likeliest scoreline at 13%. We still make Norwich City slightly more likely to win, at 39% against 33% for Bristol City.
Norwich City are marginal favourites for this 2026-27 Championship match at 2.55 with bet365, ahead of Bristol City at 2.63 with Midnite. Our model gives Norwich a 39% chance of winning, Bristol City 33% and the draw 28%.
Our model gives both teams to score a 56% chance in this 2026-27 Championship game, with bet365 offering 1.62. Norwich have kept a clean sheet in only 7% of their matches and 64% of their games have seen both sides score.
Norwich City have won their last 3 games in the 2026-27 Championship, scoring 10 goals, including a 4-0 win at Derby on 3 November 2026. They sit 12th on 18 points, while Bristol City are 15th and lost 2-1 to Wolves on 4 November.
Predicted lineups for Bristol City vs Norwich in the 2026/27 Championship on Saturday 7 November 2026: Bristol City may start Collins; Tanner, McNally, Eissat, Pring; Knight, Williams; Bell, Twine, Cardines; Tolaj. Norwich City may start Grimshaw; Stacey, Darling, McConville, Yongwa; Field, Wright; Brooks, Maghoma, Musaba; Kvistgaarden.