Updated 5 November 2026.
Portsmouth host Stoke City at Fratton Park on Saturday 7 November, with a 12:30 kick-off. It pits one of the division's tightest defences against a side that has won eight of its 14 league games and sits six places higher. Portsmouth have conceded fewer goals per game than all but three teams in the Championship.
Portsmouth are 10th in the Championship table on 22 points from 14 games, with six wins, four draws and four defeats. They have lost only once in their last ten and come into this one unbeaten in five. The latest result was a 3-1 home win over Swansea on 3 November, which followed a 0-0 draw at Burnley. Before that came a 2-1 win against Millwall, a 1-1 draw at Wolves and a 1-0 win at Norwich.
The strength is at the back. Portsmouth have kept a clean sheet in 29% of their games, the 5th highest rate in the division, and they concede 1.14 goals a game, the 4th fewest. They are less threatening going forward, with 3.64 shots on target per game, the 6th fewest.
Stoke City are 4th on 26 points, with eight wins from 14 and a goals record of 22 for and 17 against. They won 2-1 at Blackburn on 3 November and 2-0 against Preston three days before that. Earlier there was a 0-0 draw with Bristol City and a 1-0 win at Derby, and their only defeat in the last ten was a 3-2 home loss to Middlesbrough. They have kept a clean sheet in 36% of games, the 2nd highest rate in the Championship.
Stoke are the most foul-prone side in the division, at 13.43 per game, and they collect the 5th most cards.
Portsmouth possible starting lineup:
Schmid; Poole, Devlin, Meghoma, Mohamed; Adams, Dia, Shade; Segecic, Bailey, Waddingham
Stoke City possible starting lineup:
Johansson; Johnson, Graham, Wilmot, Taloverov; McGlynn, Soumaré, Bombino; Manhoef, Devenny, BoženÃk
Ebou Adams has made at least one tackle in all 14 of Portsmouth's league games, averaging 2.7 a game. Iyad Mohamed has committed a foul in six straight and is 1.22 at Midnite to make it seven.
Jack McGlynn has had a shot in eight consecutive games for Stoke, averaging 1.8, and he is 1.15 at Ladbrokes. Justin Devenny has had a shot in four in a row and is 1.20 at Ladbrokes.
Ben Wilmot has committed a foul in four of his last five games and is 1.50 at Midnite to commit another.
We back Portsmouth, who are 2.37 at Ladbrokes to win at home, and our model makes them 41% to do it. Stoke are 3.10 at bet365 and the draw is 3.25 at bet365.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth win | 2.37 | 41% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 30% |
| Stoke City win | 3.10 | 29% |
| Both teams to score | 1.85 | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.20 | 40% |
We predict 1-1, though we make Portsmouth slightly more likely to win. Our model has Portsmouth on 1.27 goals and Stoke on 1.03, and 1-1 comes out at 14%, ahead of 1-0 on 12% and 0-0 on 11%. Both sides are in the top six for fewest goals conceded, and we put over 2.5 goals at 40%. Portsmouth are 36% to keep a clean sheet and Stoke 28%.
Portsmouth vs Stoke City kicks off at 12:30 UK time on Saturday 7 November 2026 at Fratton Park in the 2026-27 Championship. It is the 15th league game of the season for both clubs, who have each played 14.
We predict a 1-1 draw in this 2026-27 Championship fixture, which our model puts at 14%, the likeliest single score. We still make Portsmouth slightly more likely to win, at 41% against 29% for Stoke City.
Portsmouth are the favourites at 2.37 with Ladbrokes, with Stoke City at 3.10 and the draw at 3.25 with bet365. Our model gives Portsmouth a 41% chance of winning this 2026-27 Championship game at Fratton Park.
We rate both teams to score at 47% in Portsmouth vs Stoke City in the 2026-27 Championship, with a price of 1.85 at Ladbrokes. Portsmouth have kept a clean sheet in 29% of their 14 Championship games this season, and Stoke City in 36%.
In the 2026-27 Championship, Stoke City are 4th on 26 points from 14 games and Portsmouth are 10th on 22 points from 14. Stoke have won eight league games this season to Portsmouth's six, but Portsmouth are unbeaten in their last five.
Jack McGlynn has had at least one shot in eight straight 2026-27 Championship games for Stoke City, averaging 1.8 a game. He is 1.15 at Ladbrokes to have another shot at Portsmouth on Saturday 7 November.
Predicted lineups for Portsmouth vs Stoke in the 2026/27 Championship on Saturday 7 November 2026: Portsmouth may start Schmid; Poole, Devlin, Meghoma, Mohamed; Adams, Dia, Shade; Segecic, Bailey, Waddingham. Stoke City may start Johansson; Johnson, Graham, Wilmot, Taloverov; McGlynn, Soumaré, Bombino; Manhoef, Devenny, BoženÃk.