Updated 11 November 2026.
Romania host Poland at the Arena Naţională on Saturday 14 November, kick-off 19:45 UK, in League B of the UEFA Nations League. The hosts have lost all four of their group games and have conceded 13 times along the way. Poland arrive with four points, having beaten these same opponents 6-0 on 2 October.
Romania sit 4th in their League B group with no points from four games and a goal difference of minus ten. They have conceded 3.25 goals a game, the 3rd most in the competition. The latest defeat was a 0-1 loss to Sweden on 5 October, and before that came the 6-0 defeat in Poland and a 2-4 home loss to Bosnia. Their last win came in a June friendly, 2-1 against Wales. At the other end they average just 0.75 goals a game, the 23rd fewest, and 3 shots on target a game.
Poland are 3rd on 4 points, with one win, one draw and two defeats. They have scored 7 and conceded 4, and their 6 shots on target per game is the 9th most in the competition. Before the heavy win over Romania they lost 3-1 in Sweden, and they came away from Bosnia with a 1-0 defeat last time out. They have kept a clean sheet in half of their games, the 8th highest rate, while Romania have not kept one.
Romania average 3.25 cards and 14.5 fouls a game, the 4th and 7th most in the competition. Poland average 2.75 cards, the 13th most.
Romania possible starting lineup:
Hindrich; Rațiu, Drăgușin, Ghiță, Ilie; Marin, Dragomir, Eissat; Man, Coman, Bîrligea
Poland possible starting lineup:
Abramowicz; Cash, Kiwior, Kedziora, Zalewski; Frankowski, Zieliński, Nowak; Szymanski, Urbanski, Żukowski
Piotr Zieliński has had a shot in four straight games, averaging 3.5 a match, and he is 1.10 at Ladbrokes to make it five. Wiktor Nowak has made three or more tackles in three straight games, averaging 4.7, and he is 2.00 at BoyleSports to do it again.
Matty Cash has had at least one shot in four consecutive games from right-back, averaging 2.5, and is 1.22 at Ladbrokes. Jakub Kiwior has made a tackle in four straight games and is 1.25 at bet365.
For Romania, Andrei Rațiu has made two or more tackles in three straight games, averaging 3.7, and is 1.83 at bet365. Dennis Man has had a shot and committed a foul in three straight games, and is 1.33 at bet365 to commit another foul.
Poland are the favourites at 1.85 with Ladbrokes, with Romania at 4.00 at bet365 and the draw at 3.80 at Coral. We make it 43% Poland, 25% draw and 32% Romania.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Romania win | 4.00 (bet365) | 32% |
| Draw | 3.80 (Coral) | 25% |
| Poland win | 1.85 (Ladbrokes) | 43% |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 (bet365) | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 (bet365) | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.73 (bet365) | 51% |
We predict Romania 1-1 Poland, the likeliest single score at 12%, though we make Poland the likelier winner at 43%. We expect about 2.7 goals in total, and both teams to score comes out at 55%. We project 4.2 shots on target for Poland against 3.6 for Romania.
On the Romania side, Daniel Bîrligea has had two shots on target in each of his last five games, and is 1.40 with bet365 to have at least one again.
Romania vs Poland in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League (League B) kicks off at 19:45 UK time on Saturday 14 November 2026 at the Arena Naţională. Poland won the sides' last meeting 6-0 on 2 October.
Our prediction for Romania vs Poland in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League is a 1-1 draw, the likeliest of the scorelines at 12%. We still make Poland slightly more likely to win at 43%, against 32% for Romania.
Poland are the favourites for Romania vs Poland in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, priced at 1.85 with Ladbrokes. Our model gives them a 43% chance of winning, with Romania on 32% and the draw on 25%.
We give both teams to score a 55% chance in Romania vs Poland in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, and 51% for over 2.5 goals. Bet365 have both teams to score at 1.67. Romania have conceded 13 goals in four games this season.
Poland are 3rd and Romania 4th in their 2026/27 UEFA Nations League League B group, with Poland on 4 points from four games. Romania have none, having lost all four of their matches.
Predicted lineups for Romania vs Poland in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Saturday 14 November 2026: Romania may start Hindrich; Rațiu, Drăgușin, Ghiță, Ilie; Marin, Dragomir, Eissat; Man, Coman, Bîrligea. Poland may start Abramowicz; Cash, Kiwior, Kedziora, Zalewski; Frankowski, Zieliński, Nowak; Szymanski, Urbanski, Żukowski.