Updated 11 November 2026.
Portugal host Denmark at the Estádio Municipal de Braga on Saturday 14 November 2026, kick-off 19:45 UK, in the UEFA Nations League. Portugal have won all four of their League A games and lead the group on 12 points. Denmark are 2nd with six, and they were beaten 4-2 by this same opponent in October.
Denmark scored twice in that defeat and have 7 goals from their four group games, though they have also conceded 7.
Portugal's four wins have come with 9 goals scored and 4 conceded, and they lead their League A group in the Nations League standings. The wins were 1-0 at home to Wales on 24 September, 2-1 at Norway, the 4-2 win in Denmark, and a 2-1 home win over Norway on 4 October. Before that came a 1-0 World Cup defeat to Spain.
Portugal average 2.25 goals a game, the 4th most in the competition, and 6.5 shots on target, also 4th most. Both teams scored in three of their four games, the 7th highest rate, and Portugal take 6.25 corners a game, the 4th most. At the back they are less tight: they have kept a clean sheet in 25% of games, the 23rd lowest.
Denmark have won two and lost two. They lost 3-2 at Norway on 24 September, then beat Wales 2-0 at home and Wales again 1-0 away, with the Portugal defeat in between. They score 1.75 a game, the 10th most, but concede 1.75, the 13th most. They have kept clean sheets in half their games, the 8th highest rate.
Denmark commit few fouls, 8.75 a game, the 4th fewest, and win 3.75 corners, the 23rd fewest. Our projection has Portugal on 5.21 shots on target to 3.65 for Denmark.
Portugal possible starting lineup:
Diogo Costa; Dalot, Rúben Dias, Renato Veiga, Nazinho; Palhinha, Vitinha; Bernardo Silva, Bruno Fernandes, João Félix; Gonçalo Ramos
Denmark possible starting lineup:
Hermansen; Kristensen, Andersen, Provstgaard, Maehle; Hjulmand, Højbjerg, Bidstrup; Isaksen, Daramy, Højlund
Gonçalo Ramos has had a shot on target in four straight games for Portugal, averaging 1.5 a game, and is 1.22 at bet365 for a shot on target. João Félix has had at least one shot in each of his last four, averaging 2.3.
For Denmark, Rasmus Højlund has had two or more shots in four straight games and averages 3 a game. He is 1.62 at bet365 for two or more. Gustav Isaksen has managed two or more shots in three in a row at 3.3 a game, and is 1.44 at bet365 for two or more.
Morten Hjulmand has had a shot in each of his last four, and a foul in each of those same four: he is 1.67 at Ladbrokes for the shot and 1.20 at bet365 for the foul. Joachim Andersen has made a tackle in four straight games and is 1.36 at bet365 to make one.
For Portugal, Bruno Fernandes has had two or more shots in four of his last five, with games of six and four among them, and he is 1.20 at bet365 for two or more again. Diogo Dalot has made at least one tackle in each of his last five, averaging three, and is 1.20 at bet365 for a tackle.
Portugal are 1.53 at bet365 to win, and we make them 62% to win, with the draw at 21% and Denmark at 17%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Portugal win | 1.53 (bet365) | 62% |
| Draw | 4.50 (bet365) | 21% |
| Denmark win | 5.75 (ladbrokes) | 17% |
| Both teams to score | 1.67 (bet365) | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 (bet365) | 79% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 (bet365) | 56% |
We predict a 1-0 Portugal win, the likeliest single score at 10.8%, with 2-0 (10.7%) and 1-1 (10.0%) close behind. We expect 1.98 goals from Portugal and 0.93 from Denmark, and give Portugal a 39% chance of a clean sheet.
Portugal vs Denmark in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League (League A) kicks off at 19:45 UK on Saturday 14 November 2026 at the Estádio Municipal de Braga. Portugal lead the group on 12 points from four games, with Denmark 2nd on 6.
We predict a 1-0 Portugal win for Portugal vs Denmark in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on 14 November 2026, the likeliest single score at 10.8%. We give Portugal a 62% chance of winning, with the draw at 21% and a Denmark win at 17%.
Portugal are the favourites at 1.53 with bet365 for the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League game against Denmark on 14 November 2026, against 5.75 for Denmark at Ladbrokes. We give Portugal a 62% chance, and they lead their League A group on 12 points.
We give both teams to score a 52% chance in Portugal vs Denmark in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, and bet365 offer 1.67. We also make over 2.5 goals 56% likely, with Portugal's projected goals at 1.98 and Denmark's at 0.93.
Rasmus Højlund has had two or more shots in four straight Denmark games in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, averaging 3 a game, ahead of Portugal vs Denmark on 14 November. Bet365 price him at 1.62 to do it again.
Portugal lead their 2026/27 UEFA Nations League (League A) group with 12 points from four wins, and Denmark are 2nd with 6 points from four games. The two meet in Braga on 14 November 2026, after Portugal won the October match 4-2.
Predicted lineups for Portugal vs Denmark in the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League on Saturday 14 November 2026: Portugal may start Diogo Costa; Dalot, Rúben Dias, Renato Veiga, Nazinho; Palhinha, Vitinha; Bernardo Silva, Bruno Fernandes, João Félix; Gonçalo Ramos. Denmark may start Hermansen; Kristensen, Andersen, Provstgaard, Maehle; Hjulmand, Højbjerg, Bidstrup; Isaksen, Daramy, Højlund.