Updated 2 November 2026.
Chapecoense host Mirassol at the Arena Condá on Tuesday 3 November, kick-off 22:30 UK, in a Campeonato Brasileiro game between the bottom side and a team four places and 16 points better off. Chapecoense are 20th of 20 with 21 points from 32 games, and they have lost six of their last ten. Mirassol sit 16th on 37 points and lost 2-0 at Corinthians last time out.
Both teams to score has landed in 63% of Chapecoense's league games and 64% of Mirassol's, and we make it 60% here.
In the league table Chapecoense have won 4 of 32, drawn 9 and lost 19, scoring 32 and conceding 66. They score the fewest goals per game in the division at 1.00 and concede the most at 2.06. They also have the fewest shots on target and the lowest clean-sheet rate, at 6%. They have lost four of their last five. The latest was a 3-0 loss at Bragantino on 28 October, and before that came a 2-1 home win over Fluminense on 24 October, the only win in the run, then a 1-0 defeat at Botafogo, a 4-1 home loss to Athletico PR and a 4-0 beating at Vitória.
Mirassol have won 9, drawn 10 and lost 14 from 33 games, with 37 goals scored and 47 conceded. They score 1.12 a game, the 7th fewest, and concede 1.42, the 8th most. Both teams scoring has landed in 64% of their matches, the 5th highest rate in the league, and they have the 2nd lowest clean-sheet rate at 9%. They lost a 2-0 game at Corinthians on 30 October and drew 1-1 at home with São Paulo on 24 October, after a 2-0 home win over Internacional, a 1-0 defeat at Bahia and a 1-1 draw at Bragantino.
Chapecoense possible starting lineup:
Anderson; Bruno Tubarão, Kauan Faria, João Paulo, Bruno Pacheco; Camilo, Yago Felipe, Marcinho; Giovanni Augusto, Fernando, Yannick Bolasie
Mirassol possible starting lineup:
Walter; Igor Formiga, João Victor, Willian Machado; Reinaldo, Neto Moura, Wallisson Luiz Alves Máximo; Alesson, Eduardo, Carlos Eduardo, André Luis
Marcinho has committed at least one foul in ten straight games, averaging 1.6 a game, and is 1.22 at Midnite to do it again. His team-mate João Paulo has fouled in eight in a row at 2.4 a game, also 1.22 at Midnite.
Yannick Bolasie has had a shot in four straight games and averages 3.0 a game, and bet365 have him at 1.05 to make it five.
For Mirassol, Eduardo has fouled in five consecutive games and is 1.30 at Midnite. Midfielder Wallisson Luiz Alves Máximo has made at least one tackle in four straight, averaging 2.5.
We back Mirassol to avoid defeat, and the bookmakers agree they are favourites: they are 2.00 at Ladbrokes, with Chapecoense 3.60 at bet365 and the draw 3.80 at Coral. For a player angle, Marcinho (1.22) and Eduardo (1.30) to commit a foul are both at Midnite, and both are on runs of five games or more.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense win | 3.60 (bet365) | 33% |
| Draw | 3.80 (Coral) | 27% |
| Mirassol win | 2.00 (Ladbrokes) | 40% |
| Both teams to score | 1.60 (Ladbrokes) | 60% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.67 (bet365) | 57% |
Our prediction is Chapecoense 1-1 Mirassol, the likeliest single score at 12.5%, though we make Mirassol 40% to win against 33% for Chapecoense. We project 1.39 goals for Chapecoense and 1.56 for Mirassol, with both teams to score at 60%. Chapecoense's matches have gone over 2.5 goals more often than Mirassol's, 59% to 45%, and we put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
Chapecoense vs Mirassol in the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro kicks off at 22:30 UK on Tuesday 3 November 2026 at the Arena Condá, with Chapecoense 20th of 20 on 21 points and Mirassol 16th on 37.
Our prediction for Chapecoense vs Mirassol in the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro is a 1-1 draw, which carries a 12.5% chance as the likeliest single scoreline, though we make Mirassol 40% to win.
Mirassol are favourites for Chapecoense vs Mirassol in the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro, with our model giving them a 40% chance of winning against 33% for Chapecoense and 27% for a draw.
We give both teams to score a 60% chance in Chapecoense vs Mirassol in the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro, and both sides have a clean-sheet rate under 10%, with 6% for Chapecoense and 9% for Mirassol.
In the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro, Chapecoense are 20th of 20 with 21 points from 32 games, while Mirassol are 16th with 37 points from 33 games, four places and 16 points ahead.
Marcinho has fouled in 10 straight 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro games for Chapecoense, averaging 1.6 a game, and João Paulo in 8 at 2.4 a game, while Mirassol's Eduardo has fouled in 5 straight.
For Chapecoense vs Mirassol in the 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro, Chapecoense's possible starting lineup has Anderson in goal with Bolasie and Giovanni Augusto forward, while Mirassol's has Walter in goal behind Eduardo, Carlos Eduardo and André Luis.