Updated 23 October 2026
Philadelphia Union host New England at Subaru Park in Major League Soccer, with kick-off at 00:30 UK on Sunday 25 October. The Union have not lost in ten and score 2.03 a game, the 5th most in MLS, while New England sit higher in the Eastern Conference and have one of the better defences.
Philadelphia are 6th in the Eastern Conference on 46 points from 30 games. New England are 3rd on 52 from the same number of games, six points clear. The Union have scored more, though: 61 goals against 49.
The Union's last five brought four wins and a draw, the latest a 2-2 at home to Charlotte in a game that ended a run of eight straight league wins. Before that came a 3-1 win at Chicago Fire, a 2-1 home win over RSL, a 4-2 win against Orlando City and a 4-3 win at Sporting KC. That's 15 goals scored in five games, and nine conceded.
At the other end, the Union concede 1.6 a game, the 15th fewest, and 70% of their matches have seen both teams score, the 7th highest rate in the division. They also lead MLS for fouls at 15.6 a game and are 3rd for cards, while their shots on target (5.37 a game) rank 5th.
New England have won their last two, 3-2 at Cincinnati and 1-0 at home to Chicago Fire, after a 3-0 defeat at RSL and a 3-0 home loss to Seattle. A 4-2 win over Orlando City came before those.
Their strength is at the back, where they concede 1.37 a game, the 6th fewest. They commit the fewest fouls in the league at 9.53 a game and pick up the 5th fewest cards.
Philadelphia Union possible starting lineup:
Blake; Westfield, Pierre, Harriel, Wagner; Lukić, Jean Jacques, Sullivan; Vassilev, Iloski, Damiani
New England possible starting lineup:
Turner; Feingold, Wynder, Kohler, Sands; Polster, Raines, Gil; Miller, Langoni, Turgeman
Peyton Miller has had at least one shot in 17 straight games for New England and averages 3.1 a game. His shots on target run is shorter at six straight games, and he is 1.73 at bet365 to get one on target again.
Dor Turgeman has had a shot in 14 consecutive games for the visitors, at 2.6 a game.
Milan Iloski has had a shot on target in nine straight for Philadelphia, averaging 1.7 a game, and he is 1.14 at bet365 to make it ten.
Cavan Sullivan has had a shot on target in five straight games and is 1.44 at bet365 to make it six. He has also committed a foul in six in a row for the Union.
Danley Jean Jacques has committed a foul in 12 straight matches, and Midnite make him 1.30 to extend it.
We back Philadelphia Union to win, and Ladbrokes have them at 1.50. We give them a 60% chance, with the draw at 21% and a New England win at 19%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union win | 1.50 (Ladbrokes) | 60% |
| Draw | 4.75 (bet365) | 21% |
| New England win | 5.50 (Midnite) | 19% |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 (bet365) | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.40 (bet365) | 67% |
We project 2.23 goals for Philadelphia and 1.21 for New England. We predict a 2-1 home win, the likeliest scoreline at 9.7%, though 1-1 is almost level with it, so a draw is in play. Both teams to score comes out at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.
Kick-off at Subaru Park is at 00:30 UK on Sunday 25 October 2026.
We predict a 2-1 win for Philadelphia Union. A 1-1 draw is almost as likely, at 9.5% against 9.7% for 2-1.
Philadelphia Union, at 1.50 with Ladbrokes. We give them a 60% chance of winning, against 19% for New England.
We put both teams to score at 64%, and it is 1.50 at bet365. 70% of Philadelphia's league games have seen both teams score.
Peyton Miller has had a shot in 17 straight games for New England and Dor Turgeman in 14. For Philadelphia, Milan Iloski has had a shot on target in nine in a row.
New England are 3rd in the Eastern Conference with 52 points from 30 games. Philadelphia Union are 6th on 46 points from the same number.
Philadelphia: Blake; Westfield, Pierre, Harriel, Wagner; Lukić, Jean Jacques, Sullivan; Vassilev, Iloski, Damiani. New England: Turner; Feingold, Wynder, Kohler, Sands; Polster, Raines, Gil; Miller, Langoni, Turgeman.