Seattle Sounders welcome CF Montréal to Seattle Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture that kicks off at 3:30am UK on Sunday 18 October. The hosts sit 7th in the Western Conference on 41 points, while the visitors are 15th in the East on 24 and arrive on a run of seven defeats in their last ten. Seattle have the better record at both ends of the pitch, and the home side are the clear choice with the bookmakers.
Seattle have won 11, drawn 8 and lost 10 from 29 games, scoring 38 and conceding 36. Their defence is the stronger part of the side: they have the 4th fewest goals against in the league and have kept a clean sheet in 28% of games, the 6th highest rate. They are less prolific, with the 6th fewest goals scored per game, and just 45% of their matches go over 2.5 goals, the 2nd lowest in MLS.
Seattle won four in a row before a 1-0 defeat at Dallas on Thursday. The wins included a 3-0 victory at New England, a 2-1 home win over Sporting KC and a 3-1 success against Minnesota. They are also among the league's cleaner sides, with the 4th fewest fouls and the 2nd fewest cards per game.
CF Montréal have won 6, drawn 6 and lost 17, with 35 scored and 59 conceded. Only three sides have let in more goals per game than their 2.03, and they keep a clean sheet in just 14% of matches. A 3-0 home defeat to Atlanta on Wednesday followed a 2-1 loss at Toronto. Their one recent bright spot was a 3-1 win over Cincinnati on 26 September. They commit the 8th most fouls per game.
Seattle Sounders possible starting lineup:
Thomas; Kossa-Rienzi, Hawkins, Ragen, Nouhou; Brunell, Roldán; Arriola, Rusnák, Gomez; Joveljić
CF Montréal possible starting lineup:
Breza; Bugaj, Neal, Craig, Petrasso; Pereira, Longstaff, Carmona Torres; Streit, Ríos, Sánchez
Dejan Joveljić has had two or more shots in seven straight games, averaging 3.7 per game. He is 1.07 at midnite to keep that run going.
Albert Rusnák has had a shot in nine consecutive matches and has hit the target in four of his last five. A shot on target is 1.35 at ladbrokes, and he is the first leg of our bet builder.
Paul Arriola has had a shot in eight straight games, while Cristian Roldán has committed a foul in four of his last five and averages 1.8 per game, with the foul at 1.29 at midnite.
For Montréal, Prince Owusu is the one to track: he has had a shot in 19 straight games and averages 3.2 per game. Gennadiy Synchuk has had a shot in 13 in a row, priced at 1.18 at bet365.
We back Seattle to win, with the best price of 1.40 at ladbrokes. Our model gives them a 61% chance, with the draw at 23% and a Montréal win at 16%. For the player markets, Rusnák, Roldán and Nouhou combine in our bet builder at 2.32, each having cleared his line in four of his last five.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Seattle win | 1.40 (ladbrokes) | 61% |
| Draw | 5.00 (bet365) | 23% |
| CF Montréal win | 7.00 (midnite) | 16% |
| Both teams to score | 1.65 (ladbrokes) | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.13 (bet365) | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.48 (bet365) | 59% |
We expect Seattle to score around two and Montréal about one. 1-1 is the likeliest single scoreline, so a draw is in play, but 2-0 and 2-1 are almost level with it and we make Seattle clear favourites. Our prediction is Seattle Sounders 1-1 CF Montréal, with the hosts the likelier side to take the points.