LAFC vs Austin Predictions, Team News and Betting Tips

Los Angeles FC welcome Austin to BMO Stadium on Thursday 15 October, with kick-off at 3:30am UK (7:30pm local on Wednesday evening). LAFC have one of the tightest defences in the league and Austin are coming off a 4-1 home defeat, and the gap shows in the Western Conference table, where LAFC are 6th on 42 points and Austin 13th on 31.

LAFC concede 1.07 goals a game and have kept a clean sheet in 45% of their matches. Austin have scored just 36 in 28 games and conceded 51.

How the teams arrive

Los Angeles FC are winless in their last four. They drew 1-1 at home to Vancouver on 11 October, lost 1-0 at Dallas, shared a 2-2 draw with San Jose and went down 3-1 at Sporting KC. Before that run came a 2-0 home win over New York RB. They are 11-9-9 over 29 games with 44 goals scored and 31 conceded.

Austin are 7-10-11 from 28 games with 36 scored and 51 against. Their latest outing was a 4-1 home defeat to Nashville SC, which followed a wild 3-3 draw with San Diego. Before that they drew 0-0 at Dallas, won 2-1 at Vancouver and drew 1-1 with Colorado.

Austin's matches are open: 68% of them have gone over 2.5 goals and 68% have seen both sides score. Yet they score only 1.29 a game, so they concede freely without creating much themselves.

Predicted lineups

Los Angeles FC possible starting lineup:
Lloris; Palencia, Porteous, Segura, Cheberko; Vásquez, Walta; Bouanga, Shaffelburg, Son; Sieb

Austin possible starting lineup:
Stuver; Desler, Hines-Ike, Biro; Sánchez, Torres, Gallagher; Facundo Torres, Uzuni, Vazquez; Ramirez

Players to watch

  • Denis Bouanga (LAFC) has had a shot in nine straight games, averaging 3.1 a match, and a shot on target in seven in a row. He is 1.12 at Ladbrokes to make it eight on target.
  • Heung-min Son (LAFC) has managed two or more shots in seven consecutive games at 4.7 a match, and has hit the target in five straight. He is 1.06 at bet365 for two or more shots and 1.18 at Ladbrokes for a shot on target.
  • Yevgen Cheberko (LAFC) has made at least one tackle in 14 straight games, averaging 2.9.
  • Facundo Torres (Austin) has had a shot in nine straight games and is 1.25 at bet365 to extend that run, having managed it in each of his last five.
  • Myrto Uzuni (Austin) has had a shot in five in a row at 2.2 a game and is 1.14 at bet365 to keep it going.

Match Leaders

Odds and Statz prediction

We back Los Angeles FC to win, and they are 1.41 at bet365. The model makes them 67% likely to take the points, with the draw at 20% and an Austin win at 13%. Beyond the result, the player markets hold the interest, notably Son and Bouanga's shooting runs.

MarketBest priceStatz chance
LAFC to win1.41 (bet365)67%
Draw4.50 (bet365)20%
Austin to win6.00 (Ladbrokes)13%
Both teams to score1.70 (bet365)54%
Over 1.5 goals1.17 (bet365)83%
Over 2.5 goals1.57 (bet365)61%

We predict a 2-0 win for Los Angeles FC. The model projects 2.25 goals for the hosts against 0.91 for Austin, and LAFC keep a clean sheet in 40% of its simulations. 2-1 and 1-1 are both within a point of the headline scoreline, so a draw is in play, but we make LAFC clear favourites.

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