Updated 13 October 2026.
Dallas welcome Seattle Sounders to Toyota Stadium for a Major League Soccer fixture that kicks off at 1:30am UK time on Thursday 15 October (7:30pm local on Wednesday). Dallas are 3rd in the Western Conference, while Seattle Sounders come in on four straight wins and the strongest recent form of the pair.
The headline matchup is up front: Petar Musa has had a shot in 24 consecutive games for Dallas, and Dejan Joveljić has done the same in 16 for Seattle.
Dallas sit 3rd in the Western Conference with 47 points from 28 games, a record of 13 wins, 8 draws and 7 defeats. They have scored 52, 1.86 a game, and conceded 45.
Their last five were mixed. They lost 3-2 at Charlotte on 10 October, a defeat that followed a 1-0 home win over LAFC and a goalless draw with Austin. Before that came a 2-1 win over Portland and a 2-1 success at Minnesota.
Seattle Sounders are 7th with 41 points from 28 games, on 11 wins, 8 draws and 9 defeats. Their strength is at the back: 35 goals conceded, 1.25 a game, with a clean sheet in 29% of games.
The run is the point. Seattle have won their last four, beginning with a 2-0 win over RSL, then 3-1 against Minnesota, 2-1 against Sporting KC and a 3-0 win at New England last time out. Before that they drew five in a row, so the recent surge is a clear change of pattern. Only 46% of their games have gone over 2.5 goals, against 68% for Dallas.
Dallas possible starting lineup:
Daniel; Norris, Ibeagha, Urhoghide, Johansson; Moore, Cappis, Kaick; Valiente, Binyamin, Musa
Seattle Sounders possible starting lineup:
Thomas; Álex Roldán, Ragen, Hawkins, Nouhou; Dotson, Cristian Roldán; Arriola, Rusnák, Morris; Joveljić
Petar Musa is the one to start with. He has had a shot in 24 straight games, averaging 3.3 a game over that run.
Dejan Joveljić is Seattle's answer: a shot in 16 in a row, and a shot on target in each of his last eight, which is 1.40 at Ladbrokes to continue.
Logan Farrington has had a shot on target in seven straight and a shot in nine, so Dallas have two forwards in rhythm. His shot on target run is 1.36 at bet365.
Cristian Roldán has had a shot in five straight games and averages 2.0 a game, with a 1.40 price at bet365 for another one.
We back Dallas, who are 2.01 at bet365 to win at home, and we make them the likeliest winners at 48%.
| Market | Best price | Statz chance |
|---|---|---|
| Dallas win | 2.01 (bet365) | 48% |
| Draw | 3.80 (bet365) | 25% |
| Seattle Sounders win | 3.40 (bet365) | 27% |
| Both teams to score | 1.50 (bet365) | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.53 (bet365) | 59% |
Our model projects 1.77 goals for Dallas and 1.29 for Seattle Sounders, and 1-1 is the likeliest score, with a draw very much in play. We still make Dallas the more likely winners, and our prediction is a 1-1 draw. A 2-1 home win is next at 9%, with 2-0 and 1-0 close together after that.
Both teams scoring is 61% in the model, and Dallas are projected for 5.19 shots on target against 4.16 for Seattle Sounders. In the player markets, Joveljić at 1.40 for a shot on target and Farrington at 1.36 both come with unbroken recent runs behind them.
Kick-off is at 1:30am UK time on Thursday 15 October 2026, at Toyota Stadium.
We predict a 1-1 draw, though we make Dallas slightly more likely to win the game, at 48% against 27% for Seattle Sounders.
Dallas are favourites at 2.01 with bet365, with Seattle Sounders at 3.40 and the draw at 3.80.
Both teams to score is 1.50 at bet365 and 61% in our model. Dallas have scored 52 goals this season and Seattle Sounders have conceded 35.
Petar Musa has had a shot in 24 straight games for Dallas, and Dejan Joveljić has had a shot in 16 in a row for Seattle Sounders, including a shot on target in each of his last eight.
In the Western Conference, Dallas are 3rd on 47 points from 28 games, and Seattle Sounders are 7th on 41 points from 28.
Dallas: Daniel; Norris, Ibeagha, Urhoghide, Johansson; Moore, Cappis, Kaick; Valiente, Binyamin, Musa. Seattle Sounders: Thomas; Álex Roldán, Ragen, Hawkins, Nouhou; Dotson, Cristian Roldán; Arriola, Rusnák, Morris; Joveljić.