Rotherham have recorded 13 expected goals (xG) across 9 League Two games in 2026/2027, averaging 1.4 per match. P. Mullin leads the squad with 3 expected goals (xG) - 0.35 per game. T. Bradshaw is next with 2.
Over their last 10 games, Rotherham are averaging 1.4 expected goals (xG) per match - P. Mullin leads that period with 3. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Rotherham vs Gillingham on 10.10.2026.
Rotherham average 1.4 expected goals (xG) per League Two game in 2026/2027, based on 9 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.4 per match.
P. Mullin leads Rotherham for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 3 in League Two - an average of 0.35 per game. T. Bradshaw is second with 2.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Rotherham's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Rotherham have taken 3.9 points fewer than their chances warranted over 9 games: -2.8 goals against their xG, and -1.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 9 | 9 | 13.75 | 11 | -2.75 | 10.85 | 12 | -1.15 | 13.94 | 10 | -3.94 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 6.22 | 5 | -1.22 | 6.06 | 6 | +0.06 | 6.74 | 5 | -1.74 |
| Home | 4 | 6.37 | 7 | +0.63 | 5.48 | 6 | -0.52 | 5.91 | 6 | +0.09 |
| Away | 5 | 7.38 | 4 | -3.38 | 5.37 | 6 | -0.63 | 8.03 | 4 | -4.03 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct | League Two | Exeter City (A) | 1-0 | 0.52 | 1.63 | 0.58 | 0 | L |
| 26 Sep | League Two | Crewe (H) | 1-1 | 0.44 | 0.36 | 1.32 | 1 | D |
| 19 Sep | League Two | Northampton (A) | 0-1 | 1.55 | 1.16 | 1.64 | 3 | W |
| 12 Sep | League Two | Salford (H) | 3-3 | 2.58 | 1.83 | 1.81 | 1 | W |
| 5 Sep | League Two | Bristol Rovers (A) | 1-0 | 1.13 | 1.08 | 1.39 | 0 | W |
| 1 Sep | League Two | Tranmere (A) | 2-2 | 1.75 | 1.08 | 1.83 | 1 | W |
| 29 Aug | League Two | Chesterfield (H) | 2-1 | 2.52 | 1.10 | 2.21 | 3 | W |
| 22 Aug | League Two | York (H) | 1-1 | 0.83 | 2.19 | 0.57 | 1 | L |
| 15 Aug | League Two | Cheltenham (A) | 2-1 | 2.43 | 0.42 | 2.59 | 0 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nemane | midfielder | 6 | 257 | 0.07 | 1 | +0.93 | 0.03 |
| Ossama Ashley | midfielder | 7 | 430 | 0.08 | 1 | +0.92 | 0.02 |
| Paul Mullin | attacker | 9 | 596 | 3.14 | 4 | +0.86 | 0.47 |
| Ewan Otoo | defender | 7 | 630 | 0.47 | 1 | +0.53 | 0.07 |
| Brandon Cover | midfielder | 7 | 583 | 0.47 | 1 | +0.53 | 0.07 |
| Jili Buyabu | defender | 9 | 636 | 0.75 | 1 | +0.25 | 0.11 |
| Josh Austerfield | midfielder | 7 | 566 | 0.58 | 0 | -0.58 | 0.09 |
| Denzel Hall | defender | 9 | 810 | 0.79 | 0 | -0.79 | 0.09 |
| Fábio André Tavares Desidério | attacker | 7 | 525 | 1.83 | 1 | -0.83 | 0.31 |
| Tom Bradshaw | attacker | 9 | 326 | 2.09 | 1 | -1.09 | 0.58 |
| Kian Spence | midfielder | 7 | 440 | 1.59 | 0 | -1.59 | 0.33 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cheltenham Town | 9 | 11.2 | 16 | 15.9 | 14 | 9.9 | 15 | +5.1 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 9 | 8.5 | 10 | 13.7 | 11 | 8.9 | 13 | +4.1 |
| 3 | Barnet | 7 | 13 | 17 | 9.3 | 10 | 11.8 | 15 | +3.2 |
| 4 | Crewe Alexandra | 9 | 11.4 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 11.8 | 15 | +3.2 |
| 5 | Salford City | 9 | 11.8 | 13 | 10.9 | 10 | 12.9 | 16 | +3.1 |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 9 | 9.1 | 9 | 16.2 | 13 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 9 | 10.4 | 11 | 13.6 | 9 | 10.7 | 13 | +2.3 |
| 8 | Walsall | 8 | 14.2 | 11 | 12.1 | 5 | 12.5 | 14 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Tranmere Rovers | 9 | 11.3 | 12 | 15.4 | 12 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| 10 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 10.5 | 9 | 15.9 | 10 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 15.8 | 14 | 10.8 | 14 | 14.7 | 15 | +0.3 |
| 12 | York City | 8 | 15.6 | 16 | 10.8 | 10 | 14.2 | 14 | -0.2 |
| 13 | Colchester United | 8 | 12 | 10 | 13.4 | 12 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury Town | 9 | 10.2 | 9 | 10.3 | 14 | 12.2 | 11 | -1.2 |
| 15 | Newport County | 9 | 10.5 | 12 | 12.1 | 12 | 12.1 | 10 | -2.1 |
| 16 | Northampton Town | 7 | 5.2 | 3 | 6.9 | 6 | 8.4 | 6 | -2.4 |
| 17 | Accrington Stanley | 9 | 14.6 | 13 | 14.6 | 14 | 12.6 | 10 | -2.6 |
| 18 | Exeter City | 9 | 10.7 | 5 | 10.6 | 6 | 12.5 | 9 | -3.5 |
| 19 | Rotherham United | 9 | 13.7 | 11 | 10.8 | 12 | 13.9 | 10 | -3.9 |
| 20 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 17.6 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 13 | -4 |
| 21 | Crawley Town | 7 | 10.8 | 6 | 14.7 | 13 | 8.1 | 4 | -4.1 |
| 22 | Chesterfield | 9 | 20.1 | 15 | 10.4 | 12 | 18.2 | 14 | -4.2 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 7.6 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9.8 | 5 | -4.8 |
| 24 | Oldham Athletic | 8 | 12.2 | 9 | 10.7 | 13 | 11.9 | 7 | -4.9 |