Bristol Rovers have recorded 15 expected goals (xG) across 9 League Two games in 2026/2027, averaging 1.7 per match. F. Cavegn leads the squad with 2 expected goals (xG) - 0.56 per game. B. Kamwa is next with 2.
Over their last 10 games, Bristol Rovers are averaging 1.7 expected goals (xG) per match - F. Cavegn leads that period with 2. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Bristol Rovers vs Barnet on 10.10.2026.
Bristol Rovers average 1.7 expected goals (xG) per League Two game in 2026/2027, based on 9 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.7 per match.
F. Cavegn leads Bristol Rovers for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 2 in League Two - an average of 0.56 per game. B. Kamwa is second with 2.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Bristol Rovers's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Bristol Rovers have taken 13.7 points more than their chances warranted over 20 games: +5.5 goals against their xG, and +4.2 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 29.50 | 35 | +5.50 | 25.19 | 21 | +4.19 | 29.35 | 43 | +13.65 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 17.08 | 15 | -2.08 | 12.46 | 15 | -2.54 | 15.82 | 16 | +0.18 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 4.98 | 3 | -1.98 | 6.26 | 8 | -1.74 | 5.84 | 6 | +0.16 |
| Home | 9 | 14.07 | 20 | +5.93 | 9.36 | 4 | +5.36 | 15.17 | 27 | +11.83 |
| Away | 11 | 15.43 | 15 | -0.43 | 15.83 | 17 | -1.17 | 14.18 | 16 | +1.82 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct | League Two | Crewe (A) | 3-1 | 0.99 | 1.51 | 1.00 | 0 | L |
| 26 Sep | League Two | Exeter City (H) | 1-0 | 1.91 | 0.42 | 2.40 | 3 | W |
| 19 Sep | League Two | Gillingham (A) | 3-0 | 0.88 | 2.34 | 0.55 | 0 | L |
| 12 Sep | League Two | Grimsby (A) | 2-0 | 0.12 | 0.86 | 0.57 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | League Two | Rotherham (H) | 1-0 | 1.08 | 1.13 | 1.32 | 3 | L |
| 1 Sep | League Two | Colchester (H) | 2-0 | 2.64 | 1.12 | 2.25 | 3 | W |
| 29 Aug | League Two | Crawley (A) | 0-2 | 2.88 | 0.81 | 2.51 | 3 | W |
| 22 Aug | League Two | Newport (H) | 5-3 | 3.27 | 0.59 | 2.70 | 3 | W |
| 15 Aug | League Two | York (A) | 3-2 | 2.02 | 2.04 | 1.38 | 0 | L |
| 2 May | League Two | Notts County (A) | 1-1 | 1.29 | 1.64 | 1.14 | 1 | L |
| 25 Apr | League Two | Cheltenham (H) | 4-0 | 0.82 | 0.66 | 1.46 | 3 | D |
| 18 Apr | League Two | Tranmere (A) | 1-2 | 0.58 | 1.21 | 0.83 | 3 | L |
| 11 Apr | League Two | Crawley (H) | 3-1 | 2.07 | 2.10 | 1.38 | 3 | L |
| 6 Apr | League Two | Harrogate Town (A) | 2-3 | 2.50 | 1.49 | 1.97 | 3 | W |
| 3 Apr | League Two | Fleetwood (H) | 1-0 | 0.76 | 2.56 | 0.42 | 3 | L |
| 28 Mar | League Two | Accrington (H) | 2-0 | 1.02 | 0.47 | 1.80 | 3 | W |
| 21 Mar | League Two | Gillingham (A) | 1-2 | 1.82 | 1.17 | 1.81 | 3 | W |
| 17 Mar | League Two | Shrewsbury (H) | 1-0 | 0.50 | 0.31 | 1.44 | 3 | D |
| 14 Mar | League Two | Bromley (A) | 1-0 | 0.86 | 1.29 | 1.03 | 0 | L |
| 10 Mar | League Two | Barrow (A) | 0-2 | 1.49 | 1.47 | 1.39 | 3 | W |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ellis Harrison | attacker | 18 | 842 | 5.13 | 9 | +3.87 | 0.55 |
| Thomas James | defender | 8 | 715 | 0.27 | 2 | +1.73 | 0.03 |
| Tommy Leigh | midfielder | 16 | 990 | 2.52 | 4 | +1.48 | 0.23 |
| Bobby Kamwa | attacker | 9 | 521 | 2.09 | 3 | +0.91 | 0.36 |
| Jack Sparkes | defender | 13 | 1082 | 0.33 | 1 | +0.67 | 0.03 |
| Yusuf Akhamrich | attacker | 9 | 368 | 1.41 | 2 | +0.59 | 0.34 |
| A. Kilgour | defender | 9 | 658 | 0.42 | 1 | +0.58 | 0.06 |
| Promise Omochere | attacker | 3 | 141 | 0.51 | 1 | +0.49 | 0.32 |
| Riley Harbottle | defender | 15 | 1171 | 0.70 | 1 | +0.30 | 0.05 |
| Clinton Mola | defender | 18 | 1553 | 0.88 | 1 | +0.12 | 0.05 |
| Joe Quigley | attacker | 16 | 647 | 1.19 | 1 | -0.19 | 0.17 |
| B. Purrington | defender | 8 | 585 | 1.19 | 1 | -0.19 | 0.18 |
| Fabrizio Cavegn | attacker | 17 | 959 | 4.40 | 4 | -0.40 | 0.41 |
| J. Aitchison | midfielder | 6 | 191 | 0.54 | 0 | -0.54 | 0.25 |
| Mees Rijks | attacker | 7 | 217 | 1.58 | 1 | -0.58 | 0.65 |
| Joel Senior | defender | 11 | 990 | 0.66 | 0 | -0.66 | 0.06 |
| Shaqai Forde | attacker | 17 | 1239 | 2.92 | 2 | -0.92 | 0.21 |
| Kofi Balmer | defender | 20 | 1753 | 0.96 | 0 | -0.96 | 0.05 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cheltenham Town | 9 | 11.2 | 16 | 15.9 | 14 | 9.9 | 15 | +5.1 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 9 | 8.5 | 10 | 13.7 | 11 | 8.9 | 13 | +4.1 |
| 3 | Barnet | 7 | 13 | 17 | 9.3 | 10 | 11.8 | 15 | +3.2 |
| 4 | Crewe Alexandra | 9 | 11.4 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 11.8 | 15 | +3.2 |
| 5 | Salford City | 9 | 11.8 | 13 | 10.9 | 10 | 12.9 | 16 | +3.1 |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 9 | 9.1 | 9 | 16.2 | 13 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 9 | 10.4 | 11 | 13.6 | 9 | 10.7 | 13 | +2.3 |
| 8 | Walsall | 8 | 14.2 | 11 | 12.1 | 5 | 12.5 | 14 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Tranmere Rovers | 9 | 11.3 | 12 | 15.4 | 12 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| 10 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 10.5 | 9 | 15.9 | 10 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 15.8 | 14 | 10.8 | 14 | 14.7 | 15 | +0.3 |
| 12 | York City | 8 | 15.6 | 16 | 10.8 | 10 | 14.2 | 14 | -0.2 |
| 13 | Colchester United | 8 | 12 | 10 | 13.4 | 12 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury Town | 9 | 10.2 | 9 | 10.3 | 14 | 12.2 | 11 | -1.2 |
| 15 | Newport County | 9 | 10.5 | 12 | 12.1 | 12 | 12.1 | 10 | -2.1 |
| 16 | Northampton Town | 7 | 5.2 | 3 | 6.9 | 6 | 8.4 | 6 | -2.4 |
| 17 | Accrington Stanley | 9 | 14.6 | 13 | 14.6 | 14 | 12.6 | 10 | -2.6 |
| 18 | Exeter City | 9 | 10.7 | 5 | 10.6 | 6 | 12.5 | 9 | -3.5 |
| 19 | Rotherham United | 9 | 13.7 | 11 | 10.8 | 12 | 13.9 | 10 | -3.9 |
| 20 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 17.6 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 13 | -4 |
| 21 | Crawley Town | 7 | 10.8 | 6 | 14.7 | 13 | 8.1 | 4 | -4.1 |
| 22 | Chesterfield | 9 | 20.1 | 15 | 10.4 | 12 | 18.2 | 14 | -4.2 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 7.6 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9.8 | 5 | -4.8 |
| 24 | Oldham Athletic | 8 | 12.2 | 9 | 10.7 | 13 | 11.9 | 7 | -4.9 |