Accrington have recorded 13 expected goals (xG) across 9 League Two games in 2026/2027, averaging 1.4 per match. C. Caton leads the squad with 3 expected goals (xG) - 0.5 per game. J. Woods is next with 3.
Over their last 10 games, Accrington are averaging 1.4 expected goals (xG) per match - C. Caton leads that period with 3. Use the match-by-match table above to compare expected goals (xG) game by game, with home and away filters ahead of Accrington vs Oldham on 10.10.2026.
Accrington average 1.4 expected goals (xG) per League Two game in 2026/2027, based on 9 matches. Over their last 10 games that figure is 1.4 per match.
C. Caton leads Accrington for expected goals (xG) in 2026/2027 with 3 in League Two - an average of 0.5 per game. J. Woods is second with 3.
Use the Home / Away filter above the data table to compare Accrington's expected goals (xG) totals and per-game averages split by venue across 2026/2027.
Accrington have taken 6.5 points fewer than their chances warranted over 20 games: -1.3 goals against their xG, and -3.3 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.
| Window | Games | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xGA | Conceded | xGA minus conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 20 | 20 | 23.34 | 22 | -1.34 | 31.66 | 35 | -3.34 | 22.50 | 16 | -6.50 |
| Last 10 | 10 | 15.04 | 13 | -2.04 | 15.71 | 17 | -1.29 | 13.38 | 10 | -3.38 |
| Last 5 | 5 | 7.47 | 7 | -0.47 | 6.41 | 5 | +1.41 | 7.55 | 8 | +0.45 |
| Home | 10 | 13.31 | 15 | +1.69 | 14.71 | 16 | -1.29 | 13.44 | 13 | -0.44 |
| Away | 10 | 10.03 | 7 | -3.03 | 16.95 | 19 | -2.05 | 9.06 | 3 | -6.06 |
| Date | Competition | Opponent | Score | xG | xGA | xPts | Points | Deserved result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct | League Two | Cheltenham (H) | 2-0 | 2.40 | 0.48 | 2.54 | 3 | W |
| 26 Sep | League Two | Swindon (A) | 1-1 | 1.57 | 1.43 | 1.47 | 1 | W |
| 19 Sep | League Two | Newport (H) | 0-0 | 0.81 | 0.82 | 1.32 | 1 | D |
| 12 Sep | League Two | Barnet (A) | 2-1 | 0.72 | 2.27 | 0.48 | 0 | L |
| 5 Sep | League Two | Crawley (H) | 3-2 | 1.97 | 1.41 | 1.74 | 3 | W |
| 1 Sep | League Two | Grimsby (H) | 2-2 | 1.83 | 2.31 | 1.13 | 1 | L |
| 29 Aug | League Two | Walsall (A) | 3-2 | 2.37 | 2.63 | 1.27 | 0 | L |
| 22 Aug | League Two | Exeter City (A) | 2-0 | 0.73 | 2.39 | 0.45 | 0 | L |
| 15 Aug | League Two | Colchester (H) | 2-2 | 2.23 | 0.87 | 2.23 | 1 | W |
| 2 May | League Two | Oldham (A) | 3-0 | 0.41 | 1.10 | 0.75 | 0 | L |
| 25 Apr | League Two | Crawley (H) | 3-3 | 0.58 | 2.28 | 0.40 | 1 | L |
| 18 Apr | League Two | Swindon (A) | 2-2 | 1.99 | 1.14 | 1.93 | 1 | W |
| 14 Apr | League Two | Colchester (A) | 2-1 | 0.97 | 2.34 | 0.60 | 0 | L |
| 11 Apr | League Two | Fleetwood (H) | 1-2 | 0.88 | 1.18 | 1.12 | 0 | L |
| 6 Apr | League Two | Gillingham (A) | 2-0 | 0.29 | 1.40 | 0.49 | 0 | L |
| 3 Apr | League Two | Crewe (H) | 2-0 | 1.16 | 0.20 | 2.17 | 3 | W |
| 28 Mar | League Two | Bristol Rovers (A) | 2-0 | 0.47 | 1.02 | 0.85 | 0 | L |
| 21 Mar | League Two | Chesterfield (H) | 0-1 | 0.87 | 2.45 | 0.50 | 0 | L |
| 17 Mar | League Two | Notts County (H) | 0-4 | 0.58 | 2.71 | 0.29 | 0 | L |
| 14 Mar | League Two | Barrow (A) | 0-0 | 0.51 | 1.23 | 0.77 | 1 | L |
| Player | Position | Apps | Minutes | xG | Goals | Goals minus xG | xG per 90 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlie Caton | attacker | 7 | 497 | 3.48 | 5 | +1.52 | 0.63 |
| Josh Woods | attacker | 20 | 1714 | 5.98 | 7 | +1.02 | 0.31 |
| Charlie Warren | attacker | 4 | 108 | 1.11 | 2 | +0.89 | 0.92 |
| Isaac Sinclair | midfielder | 10 | 756 | 0.32 | 1 | +0.68 | 0.04 |
| Freddie Sass | defender | 9 | 562 | 0.36 | 1 | +0.64 | 0.06 |
| Luke Butterfield | midfielder | 7 | 531 | 0.36 | 1 | +0.64 | 0.06 |
| Seamus Conneely | midfielder | 16 | 1030 | 0.52 | 1 | +0.48 | 0.05 |
| Stefan Mols | midfielder | 6 | 341 | 1.01 | 1 | -0.01 | 0.27 |
| Devon Matthews | defender | 18 | 1492 | 1.17 | 1 | -0.17 | 0.07 |
| Tyler Walton | midfielder | 13 | 839 | 1.38 | 1 | -0.38 | 0.15 |
| Shaun Whalley | attacker | 17 | 1315 | 1.41 | 1 | -0.41 | 0.10 |
| Donald Love | defender | 16 | 1308 | 0.59 | 0 | -0.59 | 0.04 |
| Alex Henderson | midfielder | 8 | 299 | 0.83 | 0 | -0.83 | 0.25 |
| Paddy Madden | attacker | 9 | 413 | 1.08 | 0 | -1.08 | 0.24 |
| # | Team | MP | xG | Goals | xGA | Conceded | xPts | Points | Points minus xPts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cheltenham Town | 9 | 11.2 | 16 | 15.9 | 14 | 9.9 | 15 | +5.1 |
| 2 | Rochdale | 9 | 8.5 | 10 | 13.7 | 11 | 8.9 | 13 | +4.1 |
| 3 | Barnet | 7 | 13 | 17 | 9.3 | 10 | 11.8 | 15 | +3.2 |
| 4 | Crewe Alexandra | 9 | 11.4 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 11.8 | 15 | +3.2 |
| 5 | Salford City | 9 | 11.8 | 13 | 10.9 | 10 | 12.9 | 16 | +3.1 |
| 6 | Swindon Town | 9 | 9.1 | 9 | 16.2 | 13 | 8.2 | 11 | +2.8 |
| 7 | Gillingham | 9 | 10.4 | 11 | 13.6 | 9 | 10.7 | 13 | +2.3 |
| 8 | Walsall | 8 | 14.2 | 11 | 12.1 | 5 | 12.5 | 14 | +1.5 |
| 9 | Tranmere Rovers | 9 | 11.3 | 12 | 15.4 | 12 | 9.9 | 11 | +1.1 |
| 10 | Fleetwood Town | 9 | 10.5 | 9 | 15.9 | 10 | 9.4 | 10 | +0.6 |
| 11 | Bristol Rovers | 9 | 15.8 | 14 | 10.8 | 14 | 14.7 | 15 | +0.3 |
| 12 | York City | 8 | 15.6 | 16 | 10.8 | 10 | 14.2 | 14 | -0.2 |
| 13 | Colchester United | 8 | 12 | 10 | 13.4 | 12 | 10.5 | 10 | -0.5 |
| 14 | Shrewsbury Town | 9 | 10.2 | 9 | 10.3 | 14 | 12.2 | 11 | -1.2 |
| 15 | Newport County | 9 | 10.5 | 12 | 12.1 | 12 | 12.1 | 10 | -2.1 |
| 16 | Northampton Town | 7 | 5.2 | 3 | 6.9 | 6 | 8.4 | 6 | -2.4 |
| 17 | Accrington Stanley | 9 | 14.6 | 13 | 14.6 | 14 | 12.6 | 10 | -2.6 |
| 18 | Exeter City | 9 | 10.7 | 5 | 10.6 | 6 | 12.5 | 9 | -3.5 |
| 19 | Rotherham United | 9 | 13.7 | 11 | 10.8 | 12 | 13.9 | 10 | -3.9 |
| 20 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 17.6 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 13 | -4 |
| 21 | Crawley Town | 7 | 10.8 | 6 | 14.7 | 13 | 8.1 | 4 | -4.1 |
| 22 | Chesterfield | 9 | 20.1 | 15 | 10.4 | 12 | 18.2 | 14 | -4.2 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 7 | 7.6 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 9.8 | 5 | -4.8 |
| 24 | Oldham Athletic | 8 | 12.2 | 9 | 10.7 | 13 | 11.9 | 7 | -4.9 |