Breidablik xG 2025/2026

Breidablik expected goals 2025/2026: last 6

Games: 6
Expected goals (xG): 7.28
Goals scored: 6
Goals minus xG: -1.28
Expected goals against (xGA): 10.08
Goals conceded: 11
xGA minus goals conceded: -0.92
Expected points (xPts): 6.91
Points: 5
Points minus xPts: -1.91
Verdict: A bit unlucky

Are Breidablik overperforming their expected goals?

Breidablik have taken 1.9 points fewer than their chances warranted over 6 games: -1.3 goals against their xG, and -0.9 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. The performances are better than the results, which is the side of this table where prices tend to be generous.

Breidablik results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 6	6	7.28	6	-1.28	10.08	11	-0.92	6.91	5	-1.91
Last 5	5	6.11	6	-0.11	8.29	8	+0.29	5.93	5	-0.93
Home	3	4.90	5	+0.10	3.30	3	+0.30	5.16	5	-0.16
Away	3	2.38	1	-1.38	6.78	8	-1.22	1.75	0	-1.75

Breidablik expected goals match by match, last 6

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 Dec	Europa Conference League	Strasbourg (A)	3-1	0.79	3.43	0.24	0	L
11 Dec	Europa Conference League	Shamrock (H)	3-1	1.06	0.57	1.74	3	W
27 Nov	Europa Conference League	Samsunspor (H)	2-2	1.44	1.64	1.25	1	L
6 Nov	Europa Conference League	Shakhtar Donetsk (A)	2-0	0.42	1.56	0.53	0	L
23 Oct	Europa Conference League	KuPS (H)	0-0	2.40	1.09	2.17	1	W
2 Oct	Europa Conference League	Lausanne (A)	3-0	1.17	1.79	0.98	0	L

Breidablik players: goals against expected goals, last 6

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Kristinn Jónsson	defender	5	343	0.07	1	+0.93	0.02
Óli Valur Ómarsson	defender	6	341	0.14	1	+0.86	0.04
Viktor Örn Margeirsson	defender	6	540	0.55	1	+0.45	0.09
Kristófer Kristinsson	attacker	4	106	0.99	1	+0.01	0.84
Davíd Ingvarsson	defender	5	405	1.47	1	-0.47	0.33
Höskuldur Gunnlaugsson	midfielder	6	519	1.65	1	-0.65	0.29
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson	midfielder	6	514	0.69	0	-0.69	0.12

Europa Conference League 2025/2026: every team's points against expected points

#	Team	MP	xG	Goals	xGA	Conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
1	Strasbourg	6	12	11	7.4	5	10.8	16	+5.2
2	AEK Larnaca	6	7.5	7	6.4	1	8.5	12	+3.5
3	FSV Mainz 05	6	11.1	7	7.5	3	10	13	+3
4	Raków Częstochowa	6	8.8	9	4.6	2	11.1	14	+2.9
5	Lincoln Red Imps	6	5.8	7	14.8	15	4.2	7	+2.8
6	AEK Athens	6	15.3	14	8	7	11	13	+2
7	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	9.1	10	4.4	5	11	13	+2
8	Sparta Praha	6	8	10	3.3	3	11	13	+2
9	Drita	6	4.2	4	7.8	8	6	8	+2
10	Rijeka	6	5.1	5	6.4	2	7.2	9	+1.8
11	Jagiellonia Białystok	6	5.8	5	7.2	4	7.3	9	+1.7
12	Celje	6	9.8	8	9.3	7	8.5	10	+1.5
13	KuPS	6	5.4	6	9.6	5	5.5	7	+1.5
14	Omonia Nicosia	6	6.1	5	8.6	4	6.9	8	+1.1
15	Noah	6	5.4	6	7.2	7	7.2	8	+0.8
16	Rayo Vallecano	6	10.9	13	4.5	7	12.3	13	+0.7
17	Lausanne Sport	6	10	6	6.5	3	10.4	11	+0.6
18	Samsunspor	6	9.1	10	7	6	9.5	10	+0.5
19	Universitatea Craiova	6	6.1	6	8.9	8	6.5	7	+0.5
20	Skendija 79	6	3.7	4	6.1	5	6.6	7	+0.4
21	Slovan Bratislava	6	6.2	5	12	9	5.6	6	+0.4
22	Zrinjski	6	7.3	8	10.1	10	7.2	7	-0.2
23	Dynamo Kyiv	6	5.8	9	10.2	9	6.2	6	-0.2
24	Lech Poznań	6	12.5	12	8.9	8	10.4	10	-0.4
25	AZ	6	12.3	7	7.5	7	10.9	10	-0.9
26	Shamrock Rovers	6	8.5	7	13.4	13	5.2	4	-1.2
27	Fiorentina	6	10.8	8	6.6	5	10.8	9	-1.8
28	Breidablik	6	7.3	6	10.1	11	6.9	5	-1.9
29	Sigma Olomouc	6	9	7	7.4	9	9	7	-2
30	Hamrun Spartans	6	5.8	4	13.5	11	5.1	3	-2.1
31	Shelbourne	6	4	0	10.5	7	4.8	2	-2.8
32	Crystal Palace	6	14.1	11	4.7	6	13.5	10	-3.5
33	Aberdeen	6	5.2	3	10.1	14	6.1	2	-4.1
34	Legia Warszawa	6	10.8	8	5.5	8	11	6	-5
35	SK Rapid	6	6.4	3	10.5	14	6.1	1	-5.1
36	Häcken	6	8.4	5	7.3	8	9.2	3	-6.2