AEK Larnaca xG 2026/2027

AEK Larnaca expected goals 2026/2027: last 6

Games: 6
Expected goals (xG): 7.55
Goals scored: 7
Goals minus xG: -0.55
Expected goals against (xGA): 6.37
Goals conceded: 1
xGA minus goals conceded: +5.37
Expected points (xPts): 8.49
Points: 12
Points minus xPts: +3.51
Verdict: Riding their luck

Are AEK Larnaca overperforming their expected goals?

AEK Larnaca have taken 3.5 points more than their chances warranted over 6 games: -0.6 goals against their xG, and +5.4 on the goals their xGA expected them to concede. Finishing and goalkeeping at that level rarely hold, so the table is the optimistic reading of this side.

AEK Larnaca results against expected goals by form window and venue

Window	Games	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xGA	Conceded	xGA minus conceded	xPts	Points	Points minus xPts
Last 6	6	7.55	7	-0.55	6.37	1	+5.37	8.49	12	+3.51
Last 5	5	4.60	3	-1.60	5.51	1	+4.51	5.99	9	+3.01
Home	3	5.96	5	-0.96	1.87	0	+1.87	6.47	7	+0.53
Away	3	1.59	2	+0.41	4.50	1	+3.50	2.02	5	+2.98

AEK Larnaca expected goals match by match, last 6

Date	Competition	Opponent	Score	xG	xGA	xPts	Points	Deserved result
18 Dec	Europa Conference League	Skendija 79 (H)	1-0	2.20	0.22	2.64	3	W
11 Dec	Europa Conference League	Häcken (A)	1-1	0.85	1.31	1.01	1	L
27 Nov	Europa Conference League	Rijeka (A)	0-0	0.47	1.31	0.69	1	L
6 Nov	Europa Conference League	Aberdeen (H)	0-0	0.81	0.79	1.33	1	D
23 Oct	Europa Conference League	Palace (A)	0-1	0.27	1.88	0.32	3	L
2 Oct	Europa Conference League	AZ (H)	4-0	2.95	0.86	2.50	3	W

AEK Larnaca players: goals against expected goals, last 6

Player	Position	Apps	Minutes	xG	Goals	Goals minus xG	xG per 90
Riad Bajic	attacker	6	441	1.92	3	+1.08	0.39
Djordje Ivanovic	attacker	6	449	0.98	2	+1.02	0.20
Jorge Miramón	defender	6	476	0.60	1	+0.40	0.11
Waldo Rubio	attacker	5	304	1.08	1	-0.08	0.32
Hrvoje Milicevic	defender	6	540	0.59	0	-0.59	0.10